WON Tip WON France 3-1 Senegal
F

France

Home
W L W W W
8W 1D 1L ▲ Improving
VS
3-1
S
Senegal
Away
D L W W L
6W 2D 2L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Tuesday, 16th June 2026
1X
Backing France to win or draw
Implied Prob 88.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +1.5% Value detected
Kelly % 13.1% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1X — France to win or draw
1.13
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
France vs Senegal Competition: World Cup 2026 Date: Tuesday, 16th June 2026 Pick: 1X (France to win or draw) Odds: 1.13 Confidence: 90% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
0
France
0
Draws
1
Senegal
1
Meetings
1
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
France
Metric
Senegal
2.5
Goals For / Game
1.6
0.9
Goals Against / Game
0.9
30%
Clean Sheets
50%
8-1-1
W — D — L
6-2-2
Win Rate
80%
60%
3
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
F0
0-0 5.2%
0-1 6.5%
0-2 4.1%
0-3 1.7%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
F1
1-0 8.9%
1-1 11.1%
1-2 7.0%
1-3 2.9%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
F2
2-0 7.6%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 5.9%
2-3 2.5%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.2%
F3
3-0 4.3%
3-1 5.4%
3-2 3.4%
3-3 1.4%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
F4
4-0 1.8%
4-1 2.3%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
F5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(11.1%) 2-1(9.5%) 1-0(8.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip F=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
France
Overall
8.3
Scoring
8.3
Defence
7.0
Senegal
Overall
6.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
7.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 23%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 17%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 36%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 27%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
31.05.02WC
France0
Senegal1
Recent Form
France
08.06.26FI
France3
Northern Ireland1
W
04.06.26FI
France1
Ivory Coast2
L
29.03.26FI
Colombia1
France3
W
26.03.26FI
Brazil1
France2
W
16.11.25WC
Azerbaijan1
France3
W
13.11.25WC
France4
Ukraine0
W
13.10.25WC
Iceland2
France2
D
10.10.25WC
France3
Azerbaijan0
W
09.09.25WC
France2
Iceland1
W
05.09.25WC
Ukraine0
France2
W
Senegal
10.06.26FI
Saudi Arabia0
Senegal0
D
31.05.26FI
USA3
Senegal2
L
31.03.26FI
Senegal3
Gambia1
W
28.03.26FI
Senegal2
Peru0
W
18.01.26ACN
Senegal0
Morocco3
L
14.01.26ACN
Senegal1
Egypt0
W
09.01.26ACN
Mali0
Senegal1
W
03.01.26ACN
Senegal3
Sudan1
W
30.12.25ACN
Benin0
Senegal3
W
27.12.25ACN
Senegal1
D.R. Congo1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 16th June 2026, France host Senegal in World Cup 2026. We recommend France to win or draw as the standout selection.

France arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Senegal are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 2D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour France, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Senegal's 1, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: france to win or draw at odds of 1.13 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming World Cup 2026 match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1X, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.13. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for France vs Senegal?
Our selection is 1X — France to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.13. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is France's current form?
France have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Senegal been performing recently?
Senegal have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
France lead with 0 wins versus Senegal's 1, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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