Moderate Signal 54% Confidence
I

Iraq

Home
L D W W L
5W 2D 3L ▲ Improving
VS
N
Norway
Away
D W D L W
6W 3D 1L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Tuesday, 16th June 2026
2
Backing Norway to win
Iraq 20%
Draw 30%
Norway 50%
H Fair Odds 5
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 83.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -29.3% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Norway to win
1.20
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Iraq vs Norway Competition: World Cup 2026 Date: Tuesday, 16th June 2026 Pick: 2 (Norway to win) Odds: 1.20 Confidence: 54% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Head to Head
Record
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Iraq
Metric
Norway
1.1
Goals For / Game
3.1
1
Goals Against / Game
0.8
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
5-2-3
W — D — L
6-3-1
Win Rate
50%
60%
3
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
I0
0-0 5.0%
0-1 10.2%
0-2 10.5%
0-3 7.2%
0-4 3.7%
0-5 1.5%
I1
1-0 4.7%
1-1 9.7%
1-2 9.9%
1-3 6.8%
1-4 3.5%
1-5 1.4%
I2
2-0 2.3%
2-1 4.6%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 3.2%
2-4 1.7%
2-5 0.7%
I3
3-0 0.7%
3-1 1.5%
3-2 1.5%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.2%
I4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.4%
4-2 0.4%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.1%
I5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-2(10.5%) 0-1(10.2%) 1-2(9.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip I=Home goals ↓   N=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Iraq Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Norway Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Iraq
Overall
5.6
Scoring
3.7
Defence
6.7
Norway
Overall
6.9
Scoring
10.0
Defence
7.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Home Win & BTTS No 15%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 17%
Home Win & Under 2.5 20%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 20%
Away Win & Under 2.5 24%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Iraq
10.06.26FI
Iraq0
Venezuela2
L
04.06.26FI
Spain1
Iraq1
D
29.05.26FI
Iraq1
Andorra0
W
01.04.26WC
Iraq2
Bolivia1
W
12.12.25ARC
Jordan1
Iraq0
L
09.12.25ARC
Algeria2
Iraq0
L
06.12.25ARC
Sudan0
Iraq2
W
03.12.25ARC
Iraq2
Bahrain1
W
18.11.25WC
Iraq2
United Arab Emirates1
W
13.11.25WC
United Arab Emirates1
Iraq1
D
Norway
07.06.26FI
Morocco1
Norway1
D
01.06.26FI
Norway3
Sweden1
W
31.03.26FI
Norway0
Switzerland0
D
27.03.26FI
Netherlands2
Norway1
L
16.11.25WC
Italy1
Norway4
W
13.11.25WC
Norway4
Estonia1
W
14.10.25FI
Norway1
New Zealand1
D
11.10.25WC
Norway5
Israel0
W
09.09.25WC
Norway11
Moldova1
W
04.09.25FI
Norway1
Finland0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 16th June 2026, Iraq host Norway in World Cup 2026. We recommend Norway to win as the standout selection.

Iraq arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Norway are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 3D 1L across 10 matches.

Our verdict: norway to win at odds of 1.20 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming World Cup 2026 match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 2, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.20. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Iraq vs Norway?
Our selection is 2 — Norway to win, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 54%.
What is Iraq's current form?
Iraq have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Norway been performing recently?
Norway have recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game.
⚠️
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