WON Tip WON Zalgiris 3-0 FK Panevezys
Z

Zalgiris

Home
W W L L D
4W 2D 4L → Steady
VS
3-0
F
FK Panevezys
Away
L L W W W
5W 1D 4L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Tuesday, 16th June 2026
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob 87.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -0.7% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.14
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys Competition: Lithuania TopLyga Date: Tuesday, 16th June 2026 Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals) Odds: 1.14 Confidence: 87% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Head to Head
Record
5
Zalgiris
1
Draws
4
FK Panevezys
10
Meetings
3.8
Avg Goals
90%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 1.5 in 90% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Zalgiris
Metric
FK Panevezys
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.5
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.2
20%
Clean Sheets
40%
4-2-4
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
40%
50%
2.8
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
Z0
0-0 6.4%
0-1 9.0%
0-2 6.3%
0-3 2.9%
0-4 1.0%
0-5 0.3%
Z1
1-0 8.6%
1-1 12.1%
1-2 8.5%
1-3 4.0%
1-4 1.4%
1-5 0.4%
Z2
2-0 5.8%
2-1 8.2%
2-2 5.7%
2-3 2.7%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.3%
Z3
3-0 2.6%
3-1 3.7%
3-2 2.6%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
Z4
4-0 0.9%
4-1 1.2%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
Z5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(12.1%) 0-1(9.0%) 1-0(8.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip Z=Home goals ↓   F=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Zalgiris
Overall
4.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
5.7
FK Panevezys
Overall
5.3
Scoring
5.0
Defence
6.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Away Win & BTTS No 22%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 29%
Away Win & Under 2.5 19%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
03.05.26TL
FK Panevezys2
Zalgiris1
27.02.26TL
Zalgiris4
FK Panevezys1
08.11.25TL
FK Panevezys3
Zalgiris1
31.08.25TL
Zalgiris2
FK Panevezys1
29.06.25TL
FK Panevezys2
Zalgiris4
25.04.25TL
Zalgiris2
FK Panevezys3
03.11.24TL
Zalgiris2
FK Panevezys4
11.08.24TL
FK Panevezys0
Zalgiris0
16.06.24TL
Zalgiris2
FK Panevezys1
06.05.24CUP
Zalgiris2
FK Panevezys1
Recent Form
Zalgiris
12.06.26TL
Zalgiris3
Riteriai2
W
31.05.26TL
Kauno Zalgiris0
Zalgiris1
W
24.05.26TL
Zalgiris1
Hegelmann3
L
17.05.26TL
Transinvest1
Zalgiris0
L
10.05.26TL
Suduva1
Zalgiris1
D
06.05.26TL
Zalgiris3
FA Siauliai1
W
03.05.26TL
FK Panevezys2
Zalgiris1
L
26.04.26TL
Dziugas Telsiai0
Zalgiris3
W
21.04.26CUP
Atmosfera2
Zalgiris1
L
17.04.26TL
Zalgiris1
Banga1
D
FK Panevezys
12.06.26TL
FK Panevezys1
Transinvest2
L
30.05.26TL
Dziugas Telsiai4
FK Panevezys0
L
24.05.26TL
FK Panevezys1
Banga0
W
20.05.26CUP
Atmosfera0
FK Panevezys3
W
15.05.26TL
Riteriai0
FK Panevezys3
W
10.05.26TL
FK Panevezys1
Kauno Zalgiris1
D
06.05.26TL
Hegelmann3
FK Panevezys2
L
03.05.26TL
FK Panevezys2
Zalgiris1
W
29.04.26CUP
FSK Radviliskis0
FK Panevezys2
W
25.04.26TL
Suduva1
FK Panevezys0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 16th June 2026, Zalgiris host FK Panevezys in Lithuania TopLyga. We recommend over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

Zalgiris arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

FK Panevezys are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Zalgiris, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to FK Panevezys's 4, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 90% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.14 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Lithuania TopLyga match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing Over 1.5, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.14. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.14. Tip confidence rating: 87%.
What is Zalgiris's current form?
Zalgiris have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has FK Panevezys been performing recently?
FK Panevezys have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Zalgiris lead with 5 wins versus FK Panevezys's 4, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 90%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. StraightWinOdds provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.