WON Tip WON Gold Coast Knights 2-1 Magic United
G

Gold Coast Knights

Home
W L W W D
6W 2D 2L ▲ Improving
VS
2-1
M
Magic United
Away
W L L L L
2W 1D 7L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Friday, 19th June 2026
1
Backing Gold Coast Knights to win
Gold Coast Knights 60%
Draw 20%
Magic United 20%
H Fair Odds 1.67
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 90.9% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -23.9% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Gold Coast Knights to win
1.10
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Gold Coast Knights vs Magic United Competition: Australia NPL Queensland Date: Friday, 19th June 2026 Pick: 1 (Gold Coast Knights to win) Odds: 1.10 Confidence: 67% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Gold Coast Knights
0
Draws
0
Magic United
1
Meetings
7
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Gold Coast Knights won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Gold Coast Knights
Metric
Magic United
2.8
Goals For / Game
1.1
1.3
Goals Against / Game
2.7
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
6-2-2
W — D — L
2-1-7
Win Rate
60%
20%
4
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
G0
0-0 1.9%
0-1 2.3%
0-2 1.4%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
G1
1-0 5.3%
1-1 6.4%
1-2 3.8%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
G2
2-0 7.3%
2-1 8.7%
2-2 5.2%
2-3 2.1%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.2%
G3
3-0 6.7%
3-1 8.0%
3-2 4.8%
3-3 1.9%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.1%
G4
4-0 4.6%
4-1 5.5%
4-2 3.3%
4-3 1.3%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
G5
5-0 2.5%
5-1 3.0%
5-2 1.8%
5-3 0.7%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(8.7%) 3-1(8.0%) 2-0(7.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip G=Home goals ↓   M=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Gold Coast Knights Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Magic United Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Gold Coast Knights
Overall
6.6
Scoring
9.3
Defence
5.7
Magic United
Overall
2.3
Scoring
3.7
Defence
1.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 35%
Home Win & BTTS No 28%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 44%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
08.03.26QSL
Magic United0
Gold Coast Knights7
Recent Form
Gold Coast Knights
05.06.26QSL
Gold Coast Knights5
Olympic FC2
W
15.05.26QSL
Peninsula2
Gold Coast Knights0
L
10.05.26QSL
Gold Coast Knights3
Brisbane Roar U232
W
17.04.26QSL
Wynnum Wolves0
Gold Coast Knights4
W
10.04.26QSL
Gold Coast Knights1
Rochedale1
D
28.03.26QSL
Olympic FC1
Gold Coast Knights0
L
20.03.26QSL
Eastern Suburbs1
Gold Coast Knights2
W
14.03.26QSL
Brisbane City2
Gold Coast Knights4
W
08.03.26QSL
Magic United0
Gold Coast Knights7
W
27.02.26QSL
Queensland Lions2
Gold Coast Knights2
D
Magic United
06.06.26QSL
Magic United2
Brisbane Roar U231
W
03.06.26QSL
Rochedale4
Magic United0
L
31.05.26QSL
Magic United3
Queensland Lions5
L
23.05.26QSL
Peninsula3
Magic United2
L
10.05.26QSL
Magic United1
Wynnum Wolves3
L
24.04.26QSL
Olympic FC2
Magic United0
L
18.04.26QSL
Magic United0
Eastern Suburbs2
L
12.04.26QSL
Brisbane City2
Magic United2
D
07.04.26QSL
Magic United0
Moreton City Excelsior5
L
29.03.26QSL
Brisbane Roar U230
Magic United1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 19th June 2026, Gold Coast Knights host Magic United in Australia NPL Queensland. We recommend Gold Coast Knights to win as the standout selection.

Gold Coast Knights arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Magic United are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 1D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Gold Coast Knights, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Magic United's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: gold coast knights to win at odds of 1.10 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Australia NPL Queensland match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.10. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Gold Coast Knights vs Magic United?
Our selection is 1 — Gold Coast Knights to win, priced at approximately 1.10. Tip confidence rating: 67%.
What is Gold Coast Knights's current form?
Gold Coast Knights have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Magic United been performing recently?
Magic United have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Gold Coast Knights lead with 1 wins versus Magic United's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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