WON Tip WON Grebbestad 4-3 Vanersborgs IF
G

Grebbestad

Home
W L W W W
6W 0D 4L ▲ Improving
VS
4-3
V
Vanersborgs IF
Away
D L L L L
1W 1D 8L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Thursday, 18th June 2026
1
Backing Grebbestad to win
Grebbestad 50%
Draw 30%
Vanersborgs IF 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 68.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -17.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Grebbestad to win
1.46
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals95%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Grebbestad vs Vanersborgs IF Competition: Swe Div 2 Norra Gotaland Date: Thursday, 18th June 2026 Pick: 1 (Grebbestad to win) Odds: 1.46 Confidence: 51% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%)
Head to Head
Record
4
Grebbestad
2
Draws
3
Vanersborgs IF
9
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
56%
BTTS
67%
Over 2.5
Neutral Grebbestad won 4 of the last 9 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Grebbestad
Metric
Vanersborgs IF
2
Goals For / Game
0.8
1.3
Goals Against / Game
3
30%
Clean Sheets
0%
6-0-4
W — D — L
1-1-8
Win Rate
60%
10%
3.6
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
V0
V1
V2
V3
V4
V5
G0
0-0 2.9%
0-1 3.0%
0-2 1.6%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
G1
1-0 7.2%
1-1 7.5%
1-2 4.0%
1-3 1.4%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
G2
2-0 9.0%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 5.0%
2-3 1.7%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
G3
3-0 7.5%
3-1 7.9%
3-2 4.1%
3-3 1.4%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
G4
4-0 4.7%
4-1 4.9%
4-2 2.6%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
G5
5-0 2.3%
5-1 2.5%
5-2 1.3%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.4%) 2-0(9.0%) 3-1(7.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip G=Home goals ↓   V=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Grebbestad Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Vanersborgs IF Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Grebbestad
Overall
6.0
Scoring
6.7
Defence
5.7
Vanersborgs IF
Overall
1.3
Scoring
2.7
Defence
0.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 44%
Home Win & BTTS No 36%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 64%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 3%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
16.08.25DIV
Vanersborgs IF1
Grebbestad1
23.05.25DIV
Grebbestad3
Vanersborgs IF0
04.10.24DIV
Vanersborgs IF2
Grebbestad0
20.06.24DIV
Grebbestad4
Vanersborgs IF0
14.08.20DIV
Grebbestad1
Vanersborgs IF4
28.09.19DIV
Vanersborgs IF1
Grebbestad3
20.06.19DIV
Grebbestad0
Vanersborgs IF0
08.09.17DIV
Vanersborgs IF2
Grebbestad1
24.05.17DIV
Grebbestad3
Vanersborgs IF1
Recent Form
Grebbestad
12.06.26DIV
IFK Skovde0
Grebbestad4
W
05.06.26DIV
Grebbestad1
Husqvarna2
L
29.05.26DIV
Vanersborgs FK2
Grebbestad3
W
23.05.26DIV
Grebbestad2
Motala0
W
14.05.26DIV
Lidkoping1
Grebbestad3
W
09.05.26DIV
Grebbestad0
Ahlafors IF2
L
01.05.26DIV
Skara3
Grebbestad1
L
25.04.26DIV
Grebbestad3
Tord0
W
18.04.26DIV
Grebbestad2
Herrestads AIF1
W
10.04.26DIV
Stenungsunds2
Grebbestad1
L
Vanersborgs IF
15.06.26DIV
Vanersborgs IF2
Herrestads AIF2
D
04.06.26DIV
Stenungsunds5
Vanersborgs IF0
L
31.05.26DIV
Motala2
Vanersborgs IF0
L
22.05.26DIV
Vanersborgs IF0
Husqvarna4
L
15.05.26DIV
IFK Skovde6
Vanersborgs IF2
L
08.05.26DIV
Vanersborgs IF0
Lidkoping1
L
01.05.26DIV
Vanersborgs FK1
Vanersborgs IF2
W
24.04.26DIV
Vanersborgs IF1
Skara2
L
18.04.26DIV
Ahlafors IF3
Vanersborgs IF0
L
11.04.26DIV
Vanersborgs IF1
Karlstad II4
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 18th June 2026, Grebbestad host Vanersborgs IF in Swe Div 2 Norra Gotaland. We recommend Grebbestad to win as the standout selection.

Grebbestad arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Vanersborgs IF are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 1D 8L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Grebbestad, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Vanersborgs IF's 3, with 2 draws from 9 encounters. Both teams have scored in 56% of those meetings.

Our verdict: grebbestad to win at odds of 1.46 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Swe Div 2 Norra Gotaland match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.46. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Grebbestad vs Vanersborgs IF?
Our selection is 1 — Grebbestad to win, priced at approximately 1.46. Tip confidence rating: 51%.
What is Grebbestad's current form?
Grebbestad have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Vanersborgs IF been performing recently?
Vanersborgs IF have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Grebbestad lead with 4 wins versus Vanersborgs IF's 3, with 2 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 56%.
⚠️
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