Moderate Signal 62% Confidence
G

Guangdong GZ-Power

Home
W W W D W
6W 2D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
12:30 pm
Huangpu Sports Center (Guangzhou)
F
Foshan Nanshi
Away
L L L L L
0W 3D 7L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Saturday, 1st August 2026
1
Backing Guangdong GZ-Power to win
Guangdong GZ-Power 50%
Draw 30%
Foshan Nanshi 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 78.1% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -16.1% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
3
Guangdong GZ-Power
0
Draws
0
Foshan Nanshi
3
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
67%
BTTS
67%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Guangdong GZ-Power won 3 of the last 3 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Guangdong GZ-Power
Metric
Foshan Nanshi
1.7
Goals For / Game
0.7
1.1
Goals Against / Game
2.1
40%
Clean Sheets
0%
6-2-2
W — D — L
0-3-7
Win Rate
60%
0%
2.8
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
G0
0-0 6.1%
0-1 5.5%
0-2 2.5%
0-3 0.7%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
G1
1-0 11.6%
1-1 10.4%
1-2 4.7%
1-3 1.4%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
G2
2-0 11.0%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.5%
2-3 1.3%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
G3
3-0 7.0%
3-1 6.3%
3-2 2.8%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
G4
4-0 3.3%
4-1 3.0%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
G5
5-0 1.3%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.6%) 2-0(11.0%) 2-1(9.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip G=Home goals ↓   F=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Guangdong GZ-Power Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Foshan Nanshi Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Guangdong GZ-Power
Overall
6.6
Scoring
5.7
Defence
6.3
Foshan Nanshi
Overall
0.9
Scoring
2.3
Defence
3.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 39%
Home Win & BTTS No 32%
Draw & BTTS Yes 16%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 36%
Home Win & Under 2.5 36%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
21.03.26L1
Foshan Nanshi2
Guangdong GZ-Power3
16.08.25L1
Foshan Nanshi2
Guangdong GZ-Power3
27.04.25L1
Guangdong GZ-Power2
Foshan Nanshi0
Recent Form
Guangdong GZ-Power
25.07.26L1
Ningbo Professional1
Guangdong GZ-Power2
W
18.07.26L1
Nanjing City0
Guangdong GZ-Power1
W
11.07.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
W
04.07.26L1
Suzhou Dongwu2
Guangdong GZ-Power2
D
27.06.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power2
Shaanxi Union1
W
19.06.26FAC
Guangdong GZ-Power1
Beijing Guoan2
L
13.06.26L1
Dingnan Ganlian1
Guangdong GZ-Power3
W
29.05.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power0
Shenzhen Juniors0
D
24.05.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power3
Yanbian Longding4
L
17.05.26FAC
Wuhan Lianzhen0
Guangdong GZ-Power1
W
Foshan Nanshi
25.07.26L1
Foshan Nanshi0
Wuxi Wugou2
L
17.07.26L1
Foshan Nanshi1
Nantong Zhiyun2
L
13.07.26L1
Ningbo Professional1
Foshan Nanshi0
L
05.07.26L1
Nanjing City3
Foshan Nanshi1
L
27.06.26L1
Foshan Nanshi0
Yanbian Longding2
L
14.06.26L1
Foshan Nanshi0
Shaanxi Union5
L
30.05.26L1
Guangxi Hengchen3
Foshan Nanshi3
D
23.05.26L1
Foshan Nanshi1
Dingnan Ganlian1
D
15.05.26FAC
Hangzhou Linping1
Foshan Nanshi0
L
10.05.26L1
Foshan Nanshi1
Suzhou Dongwu1
D
Guangdong GZ-Power (Home)
11.07.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
W
27.06.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power2
Shaanxi Union1
W
19.06.26FAC
Guangdong GZ-Power1
Beijing Guoan2
L
29.05.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power0
Shenzhen Juniors0
D
24.05.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power3
Yanbian Longding4
L
02.05.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power3
Nantong Zhiyun1
W
19.04.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power3
Meizhou Hakka0
W
11.04.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power1
Wuxi Wugou0
W
14.03.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power2
Ningbo Professional0
W
08.11.25L1
Guangdong GZ-Power3
Nantong Zhiyun1
W
Foshan Nanshi (Away)
13.07.26L1
Ningbo Professional1
Foshan Nanshi0
L
05.07.26L1
Nanjing City3
Foshan Nanshi1
L
30.05.26L1
Guangxi Hengchen3
Foshan Nanshi3
D
15.05.26FAC
Hangzhou Linping1
Foshan Nanshi0
L
02.05.26L1
Dalian K’un City2
Foshan Nanshi2
D
25.04.26L1
Shenzhen Juniors0
Foshan Nanshi3
W
12.04.26L1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
Foshan Nanshi1
W
14.03.26L1
Wuxi Wugou2
Foshan Nanshi0
L
08.11.25L1
Liaoning Tieren5
Foshan Nanshi0
L
18.10.25L1
Yanbian Longding4
Foshan Nanshi - L`1
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 1st August 2026, Guangdong GZ-Power host Foshan Nanshi at Huangpu Sports Center (Guangzhou) in China League One. We recommend Guangdong GZ-Power to win as the standout selection.

Guangdong GZ-Power arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Foshan Nanshi are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 3D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Guangdong GZ-Power, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Foshan Nanshi's 0, with 0 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 67% of those meetings.

Our verdict: guangdong gz-power to win at odds of 1.28 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Let me be honest with you about how this China League One match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.

The home team rolls in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.

Across from them, the away side brings 5 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.

Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.28, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 12:30 pm over at Huangpu Sports Center (Guangzhou).

That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Guangdong GZ-Power vs Foshan Nanshi?
Our selection is 1 — Guangdong GZ-Power to win, priced at approximately 1.28. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Guangdong GZ-Power's current form?
Guangdong GZ-Power have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Foshan Nanshi been performing recently?
Foshan Nanshi have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Guangdong GZ-Power lead with 3 wins versus Foshan Nanshi's 0, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
⚠️
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