WON Tip WON Heerenveen 4-1 Heracles
H

Heerenveen

Home
D W W W L
5W 2D 3L ▼ Declining
VS
4-1
H
Heracles
Away
D L D L L
1W 2D 7L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Sunday, 5th April 2026
1X
Backing Heerenveen to win or draw
Implied Prob 84.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +15.3% Value detected
Kelly % 100% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1X — Heerenveen to win or draw
1.18
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Heerenveen vs Heracles Competition: Eredivisie Date: Sunday, 5th April 2026 Pick: 1X (Heerenveen to win or draw) Odds: 1.18 Confidence: 100% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
Head to Head
Record
6
Heerenveen
1
Draws
3
Heracles
10
Meetings
2.5
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Heerenveen
Metric
Heracles
1.9
Goals For / Game
0.7
2
Goals Against / Game
2.4
10%
Clean Sheets
10%
5-2-3
W — D — L
1-2-7
Win Rate
50%
10%
3.5
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
H0
0-0 3.0%
0-1 4.1%
0-2 2.8%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
H1
1-0 6.5%
1-1 8.8%
1-2 5.9%
1-3 2.7%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
H2
2-0 7.0%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 6.4%
2-3 2.9%
2-4 1.0%
2-5 0.3%
H3
3-0 5.0%
3-1 6.8%
3-2 4.6%
3-3 2.1%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
H4
4-0 2.7%
4-1 3.6%
4-2 2.5%
4-3 1.1%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
H5
5-0 1.2%
5-1 1.6%
5-2 1.1%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.4%) 1-1(8.8%) 2-0(7.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip H=Home goals ↓   H=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Heerenveen
Overall
5.6
Scoring
6.3
Defence
3.3
Heracles
Overall
1.6
Scoring
2.3
Defence
2.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 41%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 16%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 4%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 47%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 19%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 3%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
20.12.25
Eredivisie: Heracles Almelo0
SC Heerenveen3
15.03.25
Eredivisie: SC Heerenveen1
Heracles Almelo1
27.09.24
Eredivisie: Heracles Almelo2
SC Heerenveen1
14.04.24
Eredivisie: Heracles Almelo0
SC Heerenveen2
28.10.23
Eredivisie: SC Heerenveen3
Heracles Almelo0
18.03.22
Eredivisie: SC Heerenveen2
Heracles Almelo0
04.12.21
Eredivisie: Heracles Almelo0
SC Heerenveen1
23.01.21
Eredivisie: Heracles Almelo1
SC Heerenveen0
20.12.20
Eredivisie: SC Heerenveen1
Heracles Almelo2
14.01.20
Friendly: Heracles Almelo2
SC Heerenveen3
Recent Form
Heerenveen
22.03.26
ERE: NEC Nijmegen2
SC Heerenveen2
D
14.03.26
ERE: SC Heerenveen3
SC Telstar0
W
07.03.26
ERE: Excelsior Rotterdam1
SC Heerenveen2
W
28.02.26
ERE: SC Heerenveen2
Sparta Rotterdam1
W
21.02.26
ERE: PSV Eindhoven3
SC Heerenveen1
L
15.02.26
ERE: SC Heerenveen4
PEC Zwolle2
W
11.02.26
ERE: Go Ahead Eagles1
SC Heerenveen3
W
07.02.26
ERE: FC Twente5
SC Heerenveen0
L
04.02.26
KNVB: PSV Eindhoven4
SC Heerenveen1
L
01.02.26
ERE: SC Heerenveen1
FC Utrecht1
D
Heracles
20.03.26
ERE: Heracles Almelo1
Excelsior Rotterdam1
D
15.03.26
ERE: AZ Alkmaar4
Heracles Almelo0
L
06.03.26
ERE: Heracles Almelo0
FC Utrecht0
D
28.02.26
ERE: Heracles Almelo1
PSV Eindhoven3
L
22.02.26
ERE: Go Ahead Eagles4
Heracles Almelo0
L
14.02.26
ERE: Heracles Almelo0
NAC Breda1
L
07.02.26
ERE: NEC Nijmegen4
Heracles Almelo1
L
01.02.26
ERE: Heracles Almelo2
Fortuna Sittard1
W
25.01.26
ERE: Feyenoord4
Heracles Almelo2
L
18.01.26
ERE: Heracles Almelo0
FC Twente2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Sunday, 5th April 2026, Heerenveen host Heracles in Eredivisie. We recommend Heerenveen to win or draw as the standout selection.

Heerenveen arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Heracles are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 2D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Heerenveen, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Heracles's 3, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: heerenveen to win or draw at odds of 1.18 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Eredivisie match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1X, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.18. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Heerenveen vs Heracles?
Our selection is 1X — Heerenveen to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 100%.
What is Heerenveen's current form?
Heerenveen have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Heracles been performing recently?
Heracles have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Heerenveen lead with 6 wins versus Heracles's 3, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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