WON Tip WON Noah 2-0 BKMA
N

Noah

Home
D W W W W
6W 3D 1L ▼ Declining
VS
2-0
B
BKMA
Away
L L L W D
2W 2D 6L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Sunday, 5th April 2026
1
Backing Noah to win
Noah 50%
Draw 30%
BKMA 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 83.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -25.3% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
7
Noah
0
Draws
3
BKMA
10
Meetings
2.9
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Noah won 7 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Noah
Metric
BKMA
1.9
Goals For / Game
1
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.8
50%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-3-1
W — D — L
2-2-6
Win Rate
60%
20%
3
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
N0
0-0 5.0%
0-1 5.7%
0-2 3.3%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
N1
1-0 9.2%
1-1 10.6%
1-2 6.1%
1-3 2.3%
1-4 0.7%
1-5 0.2%
N2
2-0 8.5%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 5.6%
2-3 2.2%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
N3
3-0 5.3%
3-1 6.0%
3-2 3.5%
3-3 1.3%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
N4
4-0 2.4%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
N5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.8%) 1-0(9.2%) 2-0(8.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip N=Home goals ↓   B=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Noah Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
BKMA Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Noah
Overall
6.9
Scoring
6.3
Defence
5.7
BKMA
Overall
2.6
Scoring
3.3
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 31%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 31%
Home Win & Under 2.5 26%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
08.03.26
Premier League: BKMA Yerevan0
FC Noah2
06.12.25
Premier League: FC Noah2
BKMA Yerevan3
13.04.25
Premier League: BKMA Yerevan1
FC Noah5
09.04.25
Premier League: FC Noah3
BKMA Yerevan0
25.08.24
Premier League: BKMA Yerevan1
FC Noah2
19.04.24
Premier League: FC Noah1
BKMA Yerevan0
08.12.23
Premier League: BKMA Yerevan0
FC Noah2
05.10.23
Premier League: FC Noah3
BKMA Yerevan0
04.08.23
Premier League: BKMA Yerevan1
FC Noah0
01.05.23
Premier League: FC Noah1
BKMA Yerevan2
Recent Form
Noah
01.04.26
Armenian Cup: FC Noah2
FC Pyunik2
D
22.03.26
Premier League: FC Noah3
Shirak Gyumri0
W
16.03.26
Premier League: Shirak Gyumri0
FC Noah2
W
12.03.26
Armenian Super Cup: FC Noah2
(AET) Ararat-Armenia1
W
08.03.26
Premier League: BKMA Yerevan0
FC Noah2
W
05.03.26
Armenian Cup: FC Pyunik1
FC Noah2
W
26.02.26
UECL: AZ Alkmaar4
FC Noah0
L
19.02.26
UECL: FC Noah1
AZ Alkmaar0
W
07.02.26
Friendly: FC Noah0
FC Astana0
D
07.02.26
Friendly: FC Noah5
Yunnan Yukun5
D
BKMA
20.03.26
PL: BKMA Yerevan0
FC Urartu1
L
15.03.26
PL: FC Urartu4
BKMA Yerevan1
L
08.03.26
PL: BKMA Yerevan0
FC Noah2
L
07.02.26
Friendly: BKMA Yerevan1
FC Van0
W
31.01.26
Friendly: BKMA Yerevan2
FC Van2
D
06.12.25
PL: FC Noah2
BKMA Yerevan3
W
28.11.25
PL: Gandzasar FC0
BKMA Yerevan0
D
23.11.25
PL: FC Van3
BKMA Yerevan2
L
08.11.25
PL: FC Alashkert2
BKMA Yerevan0
L
02.11.25
PL: BKMA Yerevan1
FC Pyunik2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Sunday, 5th April 2026, Noah host BKMA in Armenia Premier League. We recommend Noah to win as the standout selection.

Noah arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

BKMA are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 2D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Noah, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to BKMA's 3, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: noah to win at odds of 1.20 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Armenia Premier League match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.20. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Noah vs BKMA?
Our selection is 1 — Noah to win, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Noah's current form?
Noah have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has BKMA been performing recently?
BKMA have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Noah lead with 7 wins versus BKMA's 3, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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