H
Heracles
Home
L
L
L
L
L
0W 2D 8L
→ Steady
VS
—
6:00 pm
—
N/A
G
Groningen
Away
L
W
W
L
L
5W 2D 3L
▲ Improving
Implied Prob
70.9%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
+1.1%
Value detected
Kelly %
3.7%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.41
Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Heracles vs Groningen
Competition: Club Friendly
Date: Wednesday, 8th July 2026
KO: 6:00 pm
Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals)
Odds: 1.41
Confidence: 72%
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
5
Heracles
1
Draws
4
Groningen
10
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral
Over 2.5 in 50% of H2H.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Heracles
Metric
Groningen
0.4
Goals For / Game
1.6
2.3
Goals Against / Game
1.2
10%
Clean Sheets
30%
0-2-8
W — D — L
5-2-3
Win Rate
2.8
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
H0
0-0
6.4%
0-1
12.5%
0-2
12.2%
0-3
7.9%
0-4
3.9%
0-5
1.5%
H1
1-0
5.1%
1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.7%
1-3
6.3%
1-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
H2
2-0
2.1%
2-1
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
2-3
2.5%
2-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
H3
3-0
0.6%
3-1
1.1%
3-2
1.0%
3-3
0.7%
3-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
H4
4-0
0.1%
4-1
0.2%
4-2
0.2%
4-3
0.1%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
H5
5-0
0.0%
5-1
0.0%
5-2
0.0%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
0-1(12.5%)
0-2(12.2%)
1-1(10.0%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
H=Home goals ↓ G=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
0%
Home Win & BTTS No
0%
Draw & BTTS Yes
15%
Draw & BTTS No
15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
36%
Away Win & BTTS No
36%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
0%
Home Win & Under 2.5
0%
Draw & Over 2.5
17%
Draw & Under 2.5
12%
Away Win & Over 2.5
43%
Away Win & Under 2.5
28%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Heracles1
Groningen2
Groningen4
Heracles0
Groningen4
Heracles1
Heracles1
Groningen1
Groningen2
Heracles0
Heracles4
Groningen1
Groningen0
Heracles1
Heracles4
Groningen2
Heracles1
Groningen0
Groningen0
Heracles1
Recent Form
Heracles
Heracles1
Groningen2
Telstar3
Heracles0
Zwolle1
Heracles0
Heracles0
FC Volendam2
Heracles0
Ajax3
Heerenveen4
Heracles1
Heracles1
Excelsior1
AZ Alkmaar4
Heracles0
Heracles0
Utrecht0
Heracles1
PSV3
Groningen
Ajax2
Groningen0
Heracles1
Groningen2
Groningen2
Nijmegen1
Groningen2
Excelsior3
Feyenoord3
Groningen1
Groningen0
G.A. Eagles0
Telstar0
Groningen2
Groningen3
AZ Alkmaar0
Zwolle1
Groningen1
Groningen3
Ajax1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Wednesday, 8th July 2026, Heracles host Groningen at N/A in Club Friendly. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.
Heracles arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Groningen are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 2D 3L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Heracles, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Groningen's 4, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.
Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.41 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Club Friendly match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 5 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is Over 2.5 at @1.41, sitting at roughly 90% in our model. The match gets going at 6:00 pm over at N/A.
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Heracles vs Groningen?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.41. Tip confidence rating: 72%.
What is Heracles's current form?
Heracles have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches.
How has Groningen been performing recently?
Groningen have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Heracles lead with 5 wins versus Groningen's 4, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
Bet Responsibly. StraightWinOdds provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.