S
Spain U19
Home
W
W
W
W
W
10W 0D 0L
→ Steady
VS
—
4:30 pm
—
Central Park (Denbigh)
C
Croatia U19
Away
W
D
L
L
D
4W 3D 3L
▼ Declining
Spain U19
60%
Draw
20%
Croatia U19
20%
H Fair Odds
1.67
D Fair Odds
5
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
84.7%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-9.7%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Spain U19 to win
1.18
Over 1.5 Goals80%
BTTS — No80%
Spain U19 Clean Sheet90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Spain U19 vs Croatia U19
Competition: Euro U19
Date: Wednesday, 8th July 2026
KO: 4:30 pm
Pick: 1 (Spain U19 to win)
Odds: 1.18
Confidence: 75%
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Also: BTTS — No (80%)
Also: Spain U19 Clean Sheet (90%)
Head to Head
Record
2
Spain U19
1
Draws
0
Croatia U19
3
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
67%
BTTS
67%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Spain U19 won 2 of the last 3 meetings (1 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Spain U19
Metric
Croatia U19
3.6
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.1
Goals Against / Game
1.1
90%
Clean Sheets
50%
10-0-0
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate
3
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
S0
0-0
5.2%
0-1
3.1%
0-2
0.9%
0-3
0.2%
0-4
0.0%
0-5
0.0%
S1
1-0
12.3%
1-1
7.4%
1-2
2.2%
1-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
1-5
0.0%
S2
2-0
14.5%
2-1
8.7%
2-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
2-5
0.0%
S3
3-0
11.3%
3-1
6.8%
3-2
2.0%
3-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
3-5
0.0%
S4
4-0
6.7%
4-1
4.0%
4-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
S5
5-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
2-0(14.5%)
1-0(12.3%)
3-0(11.3%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
S=Home goals ↓ C=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Spain U19 Win
1.67
60%
Draw
5
20%
Croatia U19 Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
13%
Home Win & BTTS No
52%
Draw & BTTS Yes
2%
Draw & BTTS No
8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
5%
Away Win & BTTS No
20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
39%
Home Win & Under 2.5
26%
Draw & Over 2.5
6%
Draw & Under 2.5
4%
Away Win & Over 2.5
15%
Away Win & Under 2.5
10%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Spain U194
Croatia U190
Croatia U191
Spain U191
Croatia U191
Spain U192
Recent Form
Spain U19
Spain U194
Germany U190
Denmark U190
Spain U193
Wales U190
Spain U197
Netherlands U190
Spain U193
Bulgaria U190
Spain U192
Spain U194
Finland U190
England U191
Spain U193
Spain U194
Slovenia U190
Spain U194
Croatia U190
Spain U192
Norway U190
Croatia U19
Serbia U190
Croatia U193
Croatia U190
Italy U190
Croatia U191
Ukraine U193
Croatia U190
England U192
France U191
Croatia U191
Croatia U191
Bulgaria U190
Croatia U191
Norway U190
Spain U194
Croatia U190
Croatia U194
Switzerland U191
Croatia U190
Czech Republic U190
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Wednesday, 8th July 2026, Spain U19 host Croatia U19 at Central Park (Denbigh) in Euro U19. We recommend Spain U19 to win as the standout selection.
Spain U19 arrive in strong form, having recorded 10 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Croatia U19 are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 3D 3L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Spain U19, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Croatia U19's 0, with 1 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 67% of those meetings.
Our verdict: spain u19 to win at odds of 1.18 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Euro U19 match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 5 wins from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.18, sitting at roughly 60,20,20% in our model. The match gets going at 4:30 pm over at Central Park (Denbigh).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Spain U19 vs Croatia U19?
Our selection is 1 — Spain U19 to win, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 75%.
What is Spain U19's current form?
Spain U19 have won 10, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Croatia U19 been performing recently?
Croatia U19 have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Spain U19 lead with 2 wins versus Croatia U19's 0, with 1 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
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