U
Union de Santa Fe W
Home
D
L
L
L
L
0W 3D 8L
→ Steady
VS
—
7:00 pm
—
Estadio 15 de Abril (Santa Fe)
S
San Lorenzo W
Away
W
W
D
W
W
8W 1D 1L
▼ Declining
Union de Santa Fe W
20%
Draw
20%
San Lorenzo W
60%
H Fair Odds
5
D Fair Odds
5
A Fair Odds
1.67
Implied Prob
84.7%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-16.7%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — San Lorenzo W to win
1.18
BTTS — No76%
San Lorenzo W Clean Sheet70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Union de Santa Fe W vs San Lorenzo W
Competition: Argentina Primera Women
Date: Wednesday, 8th July 2026
KO: 7:00 pm
Pick: 2 (San Lorenzo W to win)
Odds: 1.18
Confidence: 68%
Also: BTTS — No (76%)
Also: San Lorenzo W Clean Sheet (70%)
Head to Head
Record
Neutral
No head-to-head data found.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Union de Santa Fe W
Metric
San Lorenzo W
0.4
Goals For / Game
2.2
2.2
Goals Against / Game
0.3
18%
Clean Sheets
70%
0-3-8
W — D — L
8-1-1
Win Rate
2.5
Avg Goals
57%
Over 1.5
52%
Over 2.5
24%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
U0
0-0
7.8%
0-1
17.2%
0-2
18.9%
0-3
13.9%
0-4
7.6%
0-5
3.4%
U1
1-0
2.7%
1-1
6.0%
1-2
6.6%
1-3
4.9%
1-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
U2
2-0
0.5%
2-1
1.1%
2-2
1.2%
2-3
0.9%
2-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
U3
3-0
0.1%
3-1
0.1%
3-2
0.1%
3-3
0.1%
3-4
0.1%
3-5
0.0%
U4
4-0
0.0%
4-1
0.0%
4-2
0.0%
4-3
0.0%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
U5
5-0
0.0%
5-1
0.0%
5-2
0.0%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
0-2(18.9%)
0-1(17.2%)
0-3(13.9%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
U=Home goals ↓ S=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Union de Santa Fe W Win
5
20%
Draw
5
20%
San Lorenzo W Win
1.67
60%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
0%
Home Win & BTTS No
0%
Draw & BTTS Yes
5%
Draw & BTTS No
14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
19%
Away Win & BTTS No
62%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
0%
Home Win & Under 2.5
0%
Draw & Over 2.5
10%
Draw & Under 2.5
9%
Away Win & Over 2.5
42%
Away Win & Under 2.5
39%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
No data found.
Recent Form
Union de Santa Fe W
Talleres Cordoba W0
Union de Santa Fe W0
Union de Santa Fe W1
Ferro W2
Boca Juniors W3
Union de Santa Fe W0
Union de Santa Fe W0
Lanus W1
San Luis W3
Union de Santa Fe W0
Social Atletico Television W5
Union de Santa Fe W0
Union de Santa Fe W2
Independiente W2
Huracan W1
Union de Santa Fe W0
Union de Santa Fe W0
Belgrano W0
River Plate W6
Union de Santa Fe W1
Union de Santa Fe W0
Banfield W1
San Lorenzo W
San Lorenzo W2
Independiente W0
Huracan W0
San Lorenzo W1
San Lorenzo W0
Belgrano W0
River Plate W0
San Lorenzo W1
San Lorenzo W3
Banfield W0
Gimnasia L.P. W1
San Lorenzo W4
San Lorenzo W5
Newells Old Boys W0
Racing Club W1
San Lorenzo W0
San Lorenzo W3
Social Atletico Television W1
San Lorenzo W3
Talleres Cordoba W0
Union de Santa Fe W (Home)
Union de Santa Fe W1
Ferro W2
Union de Santa Fe W0
Lanus W1
Union de Santa Fe W2
Independiente W2
Union de Santa Fe W0
Belgrano W0
Union de Santa Fe W0
Banfield W1
San Lorenzo W (Away)
Huracan W0
San Lorenzo W1
River Plate W0
San Lorenzo W1
Gimnasia L.P. W1
San Lorenzo W4
Racing Club W1
San Lorenzo W0
Ferro W0
San Lorenzo W1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Wednesday, 8th July 2026, Union de Santa Fe W host San Lorenzo W at Estadio 15 de Abril (Santa Fe) in Argentina Primera Women. We recommend San Lorenzo W to win as the standout selection.
Union de Santa Fe W arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats from their last 11 outings.
San Lorenzo W are travelling well, with a record of 8W 1D 1L across 10 matches.
Our verdict: san lorenzo w to win at odds of 1.18 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Argentina Primera Women match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 2 at @1.18, sitting at roughly 20,20,60% in our model. The match gets going at 7:00 pm over at Estadio 15 de Abril (Santa Fe).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Union de Santa Fe W vs San Lorenzo W?
Our selection is 2 — San Lorenzo W to win, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Union de Santa Fe W's current form?
Union de Santa Fe W have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 8 of their last 11 matches.
How has San Lorenzo W been performing recently?
San Lorenzo W have recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game.
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