WON Tip WON Internacional 3-2 Athletic Club
I

Internacional

Home
D W W D W
5W 4D 1L ▲ Improving
VS
3-2
A
Athletic Club
Away
D D L L L
3W 4D 3L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Tuesday, 12th May 2026
1
Backing Internacional to win
Internacional 50%
Draw 30%
Athletic Club 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 78.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -19.7% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Internacional to win
1.27
Over 1.5 Goals80% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Internacional vs Athletic Club Competition: Copa Do Brasil Date: Tuesday, 12th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Internacional to win) Odds: 1.27 Confidence: 59% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Internacional
0
Draws
0
Athletic Club
1
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Internacional won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Internacional
Metric
Athletic Club
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.3
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.2
40%
Clean Sheets
10%
5-4-1
W — D — L
3-4-3
Win Rate
50%
30%
2.5
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
I0
0-0 8.6%
0-1 9.5%
0-2 5.2%
0-3 1.9%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
I1
1-0 11.7%
1-1 12.8%
1-2 7.1%
1-3 2.6%
1-4 0.7%
1-5 0.2%
I2
2-0 7.9%
2-1 8.7%
2-2 4.8%
2-3 1.7%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
I3
3-0 3.5%
3-1 3.9%
3-2 2.1%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
I4
4-0 1.2%
4-1 1.3%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
I5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.7%) 2-1(8.7%) 2-0(7.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip I=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Internacional Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Athletic Club Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Internacional
Overall
6.2
Scoring
5.0
Defence
7.0
Athletic Club
Overall
4.2
Scoring
4.3
Defence
6.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 23%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 17%
Draw & Under 2.5 17%
Away Win & Over 2.5 13%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
23.04.26COP
Athletic Club1
Internacional2
Recent Form
Internacional
09.05.26SA
Coritiba2
Internacional2
D
07.05.26RGC
Brasil de Pelotas1
Internacional2
W
03.05.26SA
Internacional2
Fluminense0
W
25.04.26SA
Botafogo RJ2
Internacional2
D
23.04.26COP
Athletic Club1
Internacional2
W
19.04.26SA
Internacional1
Mirassol2
L
12.04.26SA
Internacional0
Gremio0
D
05.04.26SA
Corinthians0
Internacional1
W
01.04.26SA
Internacional1
Sao Paulo1
D
22.03.26SA
Internacional2
Chapecoense-SC0
W
Athletic Club
09.05.26SB
Athletic Club0
Cuiaba0
D
04.05.26SB
Vila Nova FC1
Athletic Club1
D
27.04.26SB
Athletic Club0
Nautico1
L
23.04.26COP
Athletic Club1
Internacional2
L
20.04.26SB
Novorizontino2
Athletic Club1
L
13.04.26SB
CRB2
Athletic Club3
W
06.04.26SB
Athletic Club1
America MG1
D
02.04.26SB
Athletic Club1
Criciuma1
D
22.03.26SB
Athletic Club2
Ponte Preta1
W
18.03.26COP
Sport Recife1
Athletic Club3
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 12th May 2026, Internacional host Athletic Club in Copa Do Brasil. We recommend Internacional to win as the standout selection.

Internacional arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Athletic Club are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 4D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Internacional, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Athletic Club's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: internacional to win at odds of 1.27 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Copa Do Brasil match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.27. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Internacional vs Athletic Club?
Our selection is 1 — Internacional to win, priced at approximately 1.27. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Internacional's current form?
Internacional have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Athletic Club been performing recently?
Athletic Club have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Internacional lead with 1 wins versus Athletic Club's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
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