WON
Tip WON
Kairat Almaty 3-0 Kyzylzhar
K
Kairat Almaty
Home
D
L
D
W
D
4W 4D 2L
▼ Declining
VS
3-0
K
Kyzylzhar
Away
L
W
D
L
L
3W 1D 6L
▲ Improving
Kairat Almaty
50%
Draw
30%
Kyzylzhar
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
77.5%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-25.5%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
7
Kairat Almaty
2
Draws
1
Kyzylzhar
10
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Kairat Almaty won 7 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Kairat Almaty
Metric
Kyzylzhar
1.3
Goals For / Game
0.9
1
Goals Against / Game
1.4
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
4-4-2
W — D — L
3-1-6
Win Rate
2.3
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
K0
0-0
10.0%
0-1
9.5%
0-2
4.5%
0-3
1.4%
0-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
K1
1-0
13.5%
1-1
12.9%
1-2
6.1%
1-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
K2
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
K3
3-0
4.1%
3-1
3.9%
3-2
1.9%
3-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
3-5
0.0%
K4
4-0
1.4%
4-1
1.3%
4-2
0.6%
4-3
0.2%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
K5
5-0
0.4%
5-1
0.4%
5-2
0.2%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(13.5%)
2-0(9.1%)
2-1(8.7%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
K=Home goals ↓ K=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Kairat Almaty Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Kyzylzhar Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
25%
Home Win & BTTS No
17%
Draw & BTTS Yes
16%
Draw & BTTS No
10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
19%
Away Win & BTTS No
13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
21%
Home Win & Under 2.5
21%
Draw & Over 2.5
13%
Draw & Under 2.5
13%
Away Win & Over 2.5
16%
Away Win & Under 2.5
16%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Kyzylzhar0
Kairat Almaty1
Kairat Almaty1
Kyzylzhar0
Kyzylzhar0
Kairat Almaty1
Kyzylzhar1
Kairat Almaty1
Kairat Almaty2
Kyzylzhar1
Kyzylzhar2
Kairat Almaty1
Kairat Almaty3
Kyzylzhar0
Kyzylzhar1
Kairat Almaty2
Kairat Almaty1
Kyzylzhar1
Kairat Almaty1
Kyzylzhar0
Recent Form
Kairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty1
Atyrau1
Ordabasy2
Kairat Almaty1
Kairat Almaty0
Kaisar Kyzylorda0
Zhenis1
Kairat Almaty2
Ulytau1
Kairat Almaty1
Kaisar Kyzylorda1
Kairat Almaty2
Ertis Pavlodar0
Kairat Almaty1
Kaisar Kyzylorda2
Kairat Almaty1
Kairat Almaty2
Yelimay Semey2
Kairat Almaty2
Kaspij Aktau0
Kyzylzhar
Tobol2
Kyzylzhar0
Kyzylzhar3
Zhetysu Taldykorgan2
Aktobe0
Kyzylzhar0
Kyzylzhar1
Altai2
Zhenis2
Kyzylzhar0
FC Astana2
Kyzylzhar1
Kyzylzhar0
Okzhetpes1
Ertis Pavlodar1
Kyzylzhar2
Kyzylzhar1
Ordabasy2
Atyrau0
Kyzylzhar1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Wednesday, 17th June 2026, Kairat Almaty host Kyzylzhar in Kazakhstan Premier League. We recommend Kairat Almaty to win as the standout selection.
Kairat Almaty arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Kyzylzhar are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 1D 6L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Kairat Almaty, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Kyzylzhar's 1, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.
Our verdict: kairat almaty to win at odds of 1.29 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Kazakhstan Premier League match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.
Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.
Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.
On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.
Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.29. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kairat Almaty vs Kyzylzhar?
Our selection is 1 — Kairat Almaty to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 52%.
What is Kairat Almaty's current form?
Kairat Almaty have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Kyzylzhar been performing recently?
Kyzylzhar have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Kairat Almaty lead with 7 wins versus Kyzylzhar's 1, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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