WON
Tip WON
Kitchee 1-0 Kowloon City
K
Kitchee
Home
W
D
W
W
W
9W 1D 0L
→ Steady
VS
1-0
K
Kowloon City
Away
L
W
L
L
L
3W 0D 7L
→ Steady
Kitchee
60%
Draw
20%
Kowloon City
20%
H Fair Odds
1.67
D Fair Odds
5
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
87%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-13%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Kitchee to win
1.15
Over 2.5 Goals75%
Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Kitchee vs Kowloon City
Competition: Hong Kong Cup
Date: Wednesday, 18th March 2026
Pick: 1 (Kitchee to win)
Odds: 1.15
Confidence: 74%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%)
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
4
Kitchee
0
Draws
1
Kowloon City
5
Meetings
5.2
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Kitchee won 4 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Kitchee
Metric
Kowloon City
2.6
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.7
Goals Against / Game
2.5
50%
Clean Sheets
10%
9-1-0
W — D — L
3-0-7
Win Rate
3.5
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
K0
0-0
3.0%
0-1
2.9%
0-2
1.4%
0-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
0-5
0.0%
K1
1-0
7.7%
1-1
7.3%
1-2
3.5%
1-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
K2
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
K3
3-0
8.4%
3-1
7.9%
3-2
3.8%
3-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
K4
4-0
5.3%
4-1
5.1%
4-2
2.4%
4-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
4-5
0.0%
K5
5-0
2.7%
5-1
2.6%
5-2
1.2%
5-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
2-0(9.8%)
2-1(9.3%)
3-0(8.4%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
K=Home goals ↓ K=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Kitchee Win
1.67
60%
Draw
5
20%
Kowloon City Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
36%
Home Win & BTTS No
36%
Draw & BTTS Yes
2%
Draw & BTTS No
2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
12%
Away Win & BTTS No
12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
54%
Home Win & Under 2.5
18%
Draw & Over 2.5
3%
Draw & Under 2.5
1%
Away Win & Over 2.5
18%
Away Win & Under 2.5
6%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
DIV: Kitchee4
Kowloon City0
DIV: Kowloon City0
Kitchee5
DIV: Kitchee2
Kowloon City3
DIV: Kowloon City0
Kitchee5
DIV: Kitchee6
Kowloon City1
Recent Form
Kitchee
DIV: Kitchee4
Kowloon City0
FAC: Tai Po1
Kitchee (6-5 pens)1
DIV: Kitchee5
Hong Kong FC2
DIV: Kitchee1
Lee Man Warriors0
DIV: Kitchee3
Southern District0
DIV: Kitchee4
Tai Po2
DIV: Hong Kong Rangers0
Kitchee3
DIV: Hong Kong FC1
Kitchee2
DIV: North District1
Kitchee2
DIV: Kitchee1
Eastern District0
Kowloon City
DIV: Kitchee4
Kowloon City0
DIV: Kowloon City5
Hong Kong Rangers1
DIV: Kowloon City1
Lee Man Warriors4
DIV: North District2
Kowloon City1
DIV: Tai Po3
Kowloon City2
FAC: Lee Man Warriors3
Kowloon City0
DIV: Hong Kong FC0
Kowloon City1
DIV: Kowloon City2
Eastern AA1
DIV: Southern District2
Kowloon City0
DIV: Kowloon City0
Kitchee5
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Wednesday, 18th March 2026, Kitchee host Kowloon City in Hong Kong Cup. We recommend Kitchee to win as the standout selection.
Kitchee arrive in strong form, having recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Kowloon City are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 0D 7L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Kitchee, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Kowloon City's 1, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.
Our verdict: kitchee to win at odds of 1.15 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kitchee vs Kowloon City?
Our selection is 1 — Kitchee to win, priced at approximately 1.15. Tip confidence rating: 74%.
What is Kitchee's current form?
Kitchee have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Kowloon City been performing recently?
Kowloon City have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Kitchee lead with 4 wins versus Kowloon City's 1, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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