WON
Tip WON
Lens 3-0 Metz
L
Lens
Home
W
D
L
W
W
3W 1D 1L
→ Steady
VS
3-0
M
Metz
Away
L
L
L
D
L
0W 1D 4L
→ Steady
Lens
50%
Draw
30%
Metz
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
76.9%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-26.9%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
2
Lens
1
Draws
2
Metz
5
Meetings
1.8
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Against Tip
Lens won 2 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Lens
Metric
Metz
2.8
Goals For / Game
0.2
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1.6
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
3-1-1
W — D — L
0-1-4
Win Rate
3
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
L0
0-0
5.0%
0-1
4.0%
0-2
1.6%
0-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
0-5
0.0%
L1
1-0
11.0%
1-1
8.8%
1-2
3.5%
1-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
1-5
0.0%
L2
2-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
2-3
1.0%
2-4
0.2%
2-5
0.0%
L3
3-0
8.8%
3-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
3-5
0.0%
L4
4-0
4.9%
4-1
3.9%
4-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
L5
5-0
2.1%
5-1
1.7%
5-2
0.7%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
2-0(12.1%)
1-0(11.0%)
2-1(9.6%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
L=Home goals ↓ M=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Lens Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Metz Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
38%
Home Win & BTTS No
38%
Draw & BTTS Yes
13%
Draw & BTTS No
13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
0%
Away Win & BTTS No
0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
45%
Home Win & Under 2.5
30%
Draw & Over 2.5
15%
Draw & Under 2.5
10%
Away Win & Over 2.5
0%
Away Win & Under 2.5
0%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
⚽ Ligue 1 (Oct 29, 2025): Metz1
Lens2
⚽ Club Friendly (Jul 25, 2024): Lens2
Metz0
⚽ Ligue 1 (Apr 12, 2024): Metz2
Lens1
⚽ Ligue 1 (Sep 16, 2023): Lens0
Metz1
⚽ Ligue 1 (Mar 13, 2022): Metz0
Lens0
Recent Form
Lens
⚽ CDF (Mar 5, 2026): Lyon2
Lens3
⚽ L1 (Feb 27, 2026): Strasbourg1
Lens1
⚽ L1 (Feb 21, 2026): Lens2
Monaco3
⚽ L1 (Feb 14, 2026): Paris FC0
Lens5
⚽ L1 (Feb 7, 2026): Lens3
Rennes1
Metz
⚽ L1 (Mar 1, 2026): Metz0
Brest1
⚽ L1 (Feb 21, 2026): PSG3
Metz0
⚽ L1 (Feb 15, 2026): Metz1
Auxerre3
⚽ L1 (Feb 6, 2026): Metz0
Lille0
⚽ L1 (Feb 1, 2026): Angers1
Metz0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Sunday, 8th March 2026, Lens host Metz in Ligue 1. We recommend Lens to win as the standout selection.
Lens arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 5 outings.
Metz are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 1D 4L across 5 matches.
Historical meetings favour Lens, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Metz's 2, with 1 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.
Our verdict: lens to win at odds of 1.30 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Lens vs Metz?
Our selection is 1 — Lens to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Lens's current form?
Lens have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.
How has Metz been performing recently?
Metz have recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Lens lead with 2 wins versus Metz's 2, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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