WON
Tip WON
Young Boys 1-2 Thun
Y
Young Boys
Home
W
W
L
W
L
4W 0D 1L
▼ Declining
VS
1-2
T
Thun
Away
D
W
W
W
W
4W 1D 0L
▲ Improving
Implied Prob
72.5%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
+19.5%
Value detected
Kelly %
70.9%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.38
Over 2.5 Goals90%
Over 1.5 Goals90%
BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Young Boys vs Thun
Competition: Swiss Super League
Date: Sunday, 8th March 2026
Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals)
Odds: 1.38
Confidence: 92%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (90%)
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
Head to Head
Record
3
Young Boys
0
Draws
2
Thun
5
Meetings
4.4
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Over 2.5 in 80% of H2H.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Young Boys
Metric
Thun
3
Goals For / Game
2.6
1
Goals Against / Game
0.8
20%
Clean Sheets
40%
4-0-1
W — D — L
4-1-0
Win Rate
3.7
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
90%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
Y0
0-0
2.5%
0-1
4.5%
0-2
4.0%
0-3
2.4%
0-4
1.1%
0-5
0.4%
Y1
1-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
1-3
4.6%
1-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
Y2
2-0
4.5%
2-1
8.0%
2-2
7.2%
2-3
4.3%
2-4
2.0%
2-5
0.7%
Y3
3-0
2.8%
3-1
5.1%
3-2
4.6%
3-3
2.8%
3-4
1.2%
3-5
0.5%
Y4
4-0
1.3%
4-1
2.4%
4-2
2.2%
4-3
1.3%
4-4
0.6%
4-5
0.2%
Y5
5-0
0.5%
5-1
0.9%
5-2
0.8%
5-3
0.5%
5-4
0.2%
5-5
0.1%
Top Scores
1-1(8.5%)
2-1(8.0%)
1-2(7.6%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
Y=Home goals ↓ T=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
33%
Home Win & BTTS No
14%
Draw & BTTS Yes
4%
Draw & BTTS No
2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
33%
Away Win & BTTS No
14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
42%
Home Win & Under 2.5
5%
Draw & Over 2.5
5%
Draw & Under 2.5
1%
Away Win & Over 2.5
42%
Away Win & Under 2.5
5%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
⚽ SL (Jan 25, 2026): Thun4
Young Boys1
⚽ SL (Sep 28, 2025): Young Boys4
Thun2
⚽ CF (Jun 28, 2024): Young Boys0
Thun2
⚽ CF (Jul 15, 2023): Young Boys4
Thun0
⚽ CUP (Feb 28, 2023): Thun0
Young Boys5
Recent Form
Young Boys
⚽ SL (Mar 4, 2026): Luzern1
Young Boys2
⚽ SL (Mar 1, 2026): Young Boys3
Zurich0
⚽ SL (Feb 22, 2026): Sion1
Young Boys3
⚽ SL (Feb 14, 2026): Young Boys6
Winterthur1
⚽ SL (Feb 11, 2026): St. Gallen2
Young Boys1
Thun
⚽ SL (Mar 5, 2026): Thun2
St. Gallen2
⚽ SL (Feb 28, 2026): Thun2
Luzern1
⚽ SL (Feb 25, 2026): Winterthur0
Thun3
⚽ SL (Feb 15, 2026): Thun1
Sion0
⚽ SL (Feb 12, 2026): Thun5
Lausanne1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Sunday, 8th March 2026, Young Boys host Thun in Swiss Super League. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.
Young Boys arrive in strong form, having recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from their last 5 outings.
Thun are travelling well, with a record of 4W 1D 0L across 5 matches.
Historical meetings favour Young Boys, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Thun's 2, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.
Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.38 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Young Boys vs Thun?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 92%.
What is Young Boys's current form?
Young Boys have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.
How has Thun been performing recently?
Thun have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Young Boys lead with 3 wins versus Thun's 2, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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