WON
Tip WON
Villarreal 2-1 Elche
V
Villarreal
Home
L
W
W
L
W
3W 0D 2L
→ Steady
VS
2-1
E
Elche
Away
D
L
D
L
L
0W 2D 3L
→ Steady
Villarreal
50%
Draw
30%
Elche
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
65.4%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-9.4%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Villarreal to win
1.53
Over 2.5 Goals80%
Over 1.5 Goals80%
BTTS — Yes80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Villarreal vs Elche
Competition: La Liga
Date: Sunday, 8th March 2026
Pick: 1 (Villarreal to win)
Odds: 1.53
Confidence: 56%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%)
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Also: BTTS — Yes (80%)
Head to Head
Record
3
Villarreal
0
Draws
2
Elche
5
Meetings
3.6
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Villarreal won 3 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Villarreal
Metric
Elche
1.8
Goals For / Game
1
1.6
Goals Against / Game
2
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
3-0-2
W — D — L
0-2-3
Win Rate
3.2
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
E0
E1
E2
E3
E4
E5
V0
0-0
4.1%
0-1
5.3%
0-2
3.4%
0-3
1.5%
0-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
V1
1-0
7.7%
1-1
10.1%
1-2
6.5%
1-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
V2
2-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
V3
3-0
4.7%
3-1
6.1%
3-2
3.9%
3-3
1.7%
3-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
V4
4-0
2.2%
4-1
2.9%
4-2
1.9%
4-3
0.8%
4-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
V5
5-0
0.8%
5-1
1.1%
5-2
0.7%
5-3
0.3%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
2-1(9.6%)
1-0(7.7%)
2-0(7.4%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
V=Home goals ↓ E=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Villarreal Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Elche Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
60%
Home Win & BTTS No
15%
Draw & BTTS Yes
20%
Draw & BTTS No
5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
0%
Away Win & BTTS No
0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
60%
Home Win & Under 2.5
15%
Draw & Over 2.5
20%
Draw & Under 2.5
5%
Away Win & Over 2.5
0%
Away Win & Under 2.5
0%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
⚽ LL (Jan 3, 2026): Elche1
Villarreal3
⚽ LL (Feb 4, 2023): Elche3
Villarreal1
⚽ LL (Sep 4, 2022): Villarreal4
Elche0
⚽ LL (Jan 16, 2022): Elche1
Villarreal0
⚽ LL (Sep 22, 2021): Villarreal4
Elche1
Recent Form
Villarreal
⚽ LL (Feb 28, 2026): Barcelona4
Villarreal1
⚽ LL (Feb 22, 2026): Villarreal2
Valencia1
⚽ LL (Feb 18, 2026): Levante0
Villarreal1
⚽ LL (Feb 14, 2026): Getafe2
Villarreal1
⚽ LL (Feb 9, 2026): Villarreal4
Espanyol1
Elche
⚽ LL (Mar 1, 2026): Elche2
Espanyol2
⚽ LL (Feb 20, 2026): Ath Bilbao2
Elche1
⚽ LL (Feb 13, 2026): Elche0
Osasuna0
⚽ LL (Feb 7, 2026): Real Sociedad3
Elche1
⚽ LL (Jan 31, 2026): Elche1
Barcelona3
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Sunday, 8th March 2026, Villarreal host Elche in La Liga. We recommend Villarreal to win as the standout selection.
Villarreal arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 outings.
Elche are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 2D 3L across 5 matches.
Historical meetings favour Villarreal, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Elche's 2, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.
Our verdict: villarreal to win at odds of 1.53 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Villarreal vs Elche?
Our selection is 1 — Villarreal to win, priced at approximately 1.53. Tip confidence rating: 56%.
What is Villarreal's current form?
Villarreal have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches.
How has Elche been performing recently?
Elche have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Villarreal lead with 3 wins versus Elche's 2, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
Bet Responsibly. StraightWinOdds provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.