Moderate Signal 51% Confidence
L

Ludogorets

Home
W W W W W
7W 1D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
C
Cherno More
Away
L L W W D
3W 4D 3L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Thursday, 9th April 2026
1
Backing Ludogorets to win
Ludogorets 50%
Draw 30%
Cherno More 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 76.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -25.3% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Ludogorets to win
1.31
Cherno More Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Ludogorets vs Cherno More Competition: Bulgaria EFBET League Date: Thursday, 9th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Ludogorets to win) Odds: 1.31 Confidence: 51% Also: Cherno More Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
3
Ludogorets
4
Draws
3
Cherno More
10
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Ludogorets won 3 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Ludogorets
Metric
Cherno More
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.9
Goals Against / Game
0.8
40%
Clean Sheets
60%
7-1-2
W — D — L
3-4-3
Win Rate
70%
30%
2.5
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
L0
0-0 8.2%
0-1 8.2%
0-2 4.1%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
L1
1-0 12.3%
1-1 12.3%
1-2 6.2%
1-3 2.1%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
L2
2-0 9.2%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 4.6%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
L3
3-0 4.6%
3-1 4.6%
3-2 2.3%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
L4
4-0 1.7%
4-1 1.7%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
L5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(12.3%) 2-0(9.2%) 2-1(9.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip L=Home goals ↓   C=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Ludogorets Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Cherno More Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Ludogorets
Overall
7.3
Scoring
7.3
Defence
7.0
Cherno More
Overall
4.2
Scoring
3.7
Defence
7.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 31%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 34%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
02.11.25
First League: Cherno More0
Ludogorets0
13.05.25
First League: Cherno More2
Ludogorets0
27.04.25
First League: Ludogorets2
Cherno More0
22.02.25
First League: Cherno More1
Ludogorets1
01.09.24
First League: Ludogorets0
Cherno More0
19.05.24
First League: Cherno More4
Ludogorets0
19.02.24
First League: Ludogorets3
Cherno More1
20.08.23
First League: Cherno More1
Ludogorets0
07.06.23
First League: Cherno More0
Ludogorets1
11.05.23
Bulgarian Cup: Ludogorets2
Cherno More2
Recent Form
Ludogorets
05.04.26
First League: Ludogorets3
CSKA 1948 Sofia0
W
29.03.26
Friendly: Ludogorets3
Farul Constanta2
W
19.03.26
First League: Spartak Varna1
Ludogorets5
W
14.03.26
First League: Ludogorets3
CSKA Sofia0
W
09.03.26
First League: PFC Montana0
Ludogorets3
W
05.03.26
First League: Ludogorets1
Levski Sofia0
W
02.03.26
First League: Ludogorets1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv1
D
26.02.26
Europa League: Ferencvaros2
Ludogorets0
L
23.02.26
First League: Botev Plovdiv2
Ludogorets1
L
19.02.26
Europa League: Ludogorets2
Ferencvaros1
W
Cherno More
05.04.26
First League: Cherno More1
Slavia Sofia3
L
21.03.26
First League: Levski Sofia2
Cherno More1
L
15.03.26
First League: Cherno More1
PFC Montana0
W
07.03.26
First League: Septemvri Sofia0
Cherno More3
W
04.03.26
First League: Cherno More0
Arda Kardzhali0
D
28.02.26
First League: Dobrudzha2
Cherno More1
L
20.02.26
First League: Cherno More0
Botev Vratsa0
D
15.02.26
First League: Lokomotiv Plovdiv1
Cherno More1
D
07.02.26
First League: Cherno More0
Spartak Varna0
D
31.01.26
Friendly: Cherno More3
Etar Veliko Tarnovo0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 9th April 2026, Ludogorets host Cherno More in Bulgaria EFBET League. We recommend Ludogorets to win as the standout selection.

Ludogorets arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Cherno More are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 4D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Ludogorets, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Cherno More's 3, with 4 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 30% of those meetings.

Our verdict: ludogorets to win at odds of 1.31 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Bulgaria EFBET League match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.31. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Ludogorets vs Cherno More?
Our selection is 1 — Ludogorets to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 51%.
What is Ludogorets's current form?
Ludogorets have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Cherno More been performing recently?
Cherno More have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Ludogorets lead with 3 wins versus Cherno More's 3, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. StraightWinOdds provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.