WON
Tip WON
Lyngby 4-1 Middelfart
L
Lyngby
Home
W
W
D
W
D
3W 2D 0L
▼ Declining
VS
4-1
M
Middelfart
Away
L
L
L
W
L
1W 0D 4L
▲ Improving
Lyngby
50%
Draw
30%
Middelfart
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
80%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-35%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Lyngby to win
1.25
Over 2.5 Goals80%
Over 1.5 Goals100%
BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Lyngby vs Middelfart
Competition: Denmark 1 Division
Date: Friday, 13th March 2026
Pick: 1 (Lyngby to win)
Odds: 1.25
Confidence: 45%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%)
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (100%)
Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
Head to Head
Record
0
Lyngby
1
Draws
0
Middelfart
1
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Against Tip
Lyngby won 0 of the last 1 meetings (1 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Lyngby
Metric
Middelfart
2
Goals For / Game
1.2
1
Goals Against / Game
2.6
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
3-2-0
W — D — L
1-0-4
Win Rate
3.4
Avg Goals
100%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
L0
0-0
3.3%
0-1
3.7%
0-2
2.0%
0-3
0.7%
0-4
0.2%
0-5
0.0%
L1
1-0
7.7%
1-1
8.4%
1-2
4.6%
1-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
L2
2-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
2-3
2.0%
2-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
L3
3-0
6.8%
3-1
7.4%
3-2
4.1%
3-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
L4
4-0
3.9%
4-1
4.3%
4-2
2.4%
4-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
4-5
0.1%
L5
5-0
1.8%
5-1
2.0%
5-2
1.1%
5-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
2-1(9.7%)
2-0(8.8%)
1-0(7.7%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
L=Home goals ↓ M=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Lyngby Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Middelfart Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
42%
Home Win & BTTS No
18%
Draw & BTTS Yes
14%
Draw & BTTS No
6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
14%
Away Win & BTTS No
6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
48%
Home Win & Under 2.5
12%
Draw & Over 2.5
16%
Draw & Under 2.5
4%
Away Win & Over 2.5
16%
Away Win & Under 2.5
4%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
⚽ 1D (Aug 30, 2025): Middelfart2
Lyngby2
Recent Form
Lyngby
⚽ 1D (Mar 9, 2026): Horsens1
Lyngby3
⚽ 1D (Feb 27, 2026): Lyngby2
Kolding IF0
⚽ CF (Feb 20, 2026): Hillerod2
Lyngby2
⚽ CF (Feb 12, 2026): Syunik1
Lyngby2
⚽ CF (Feb 12, 2026): Torpedo Kutaisi1
Lyngby1
Middelfart
⚽ 1D (Mar 7, 2026): Middelfart1
Hvidovre IF2
⚽ 1D (Feb 28, 2026): Aarhus Fremad4
Middelfart1
⚽ CF (Feb 21, 2026): Kolding IF4
Middelfart1
⚽ CF (Feb 13, 2026): Middelfart3
Jihlava0
⚽ CF (Feb 8, 2026): Middelfart0
Corvinul3
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Friday, 13th March 2026, Lyngby host Middelfart in Denmark 1 Division. We recommend Lyngby to win as the standout selection.
Lyngby arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 outings.
Middelfart are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 0D 4L across 5 matches.
Historical meetings favour Lyngby, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Middelfart's 0, with 1 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.
Our verdict: lyngby to win at odds of 1.25 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Lyngby vs Middelfart?
Our selection is 1 — Lyngby to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 45%.
What is Lyngby's current form?
Lyngby have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.
How has Middelfart been performing recently?
Middelfart have recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Lyngby lead with 0 wins versus Middelfart's 0, with 1 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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