WON
Tip WON
Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 Stade Malien
M
Mamelodi Sundowns
Home
W
W
W
W
L
4W 0D 1L
▼ Declining
VS
3-0
S
Stade Malien
Away
L
L
D
W
L
1W 1D 3L
▲ Improving
Mamelodi Sundowns
50%
Draw
30%
Stade Malien
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
69%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-7%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Mamelodi Sundowns to win
1.45
Under 2.5 Goals70%
BTTS — No80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Stade Malien
Competition: CAF Champions League
Date: Friday, 13th March 2026
Pick: 1 (Mamelodi Sundowns to win)
Odds: 1.45
Confidence: 62%
Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%)
Also: BTTS — No (80%)
Head to Head
Record
Neutral
No head-to-head data found.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Mamelodi Sundowns
Metric
Stade Malien
1.6
Goals For / Game
0.2
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.2
40%
Clean Sheets
40%
4-0-1
W — D — L
1-1-3
Win Rate
1.9
Avg Goals
50%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
M0
0-0
15.0%
0-1
7.5%
0-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
0-4
0.0%
0-5
0.0%
M1
1-0
20.9%
1-1
10.5%
1-2
2.6%
1-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
1-5
0.0%
M2
2-0
14.7%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
2-4
0.0%
2-5
0.0%
M3
3-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
3-4
0.0%
3-5
0.0%
M4
4-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
4-3
0.1%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
M5
5-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(20.9%)
2-0(14.7%)
2-1(7.3%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
M=Home goals ↓ S=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Mamelodi Sundowns Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Stade Malien Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
15%
Home Win & BTTS No
58%
Draw & BTTS Yes
2%
Draw & BTTS No
7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
4%
Away Win & BTTS No
14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
22%
Home Win & Under 2.5
51%
Draw & Over 2.5
3%
Draw & Under 2.5
6%
Away Win & Over 2.5
5%
Away Win & Under 2.5
13%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
No data found.
Recent Form
Mamelodi Sundowns
⚽ PS (Mar 10, 2026): Orbit College0
Mamelodi Sundowns2
⚽ PS (Mar 4, 2026): Mamelodi Sundowns2
Golden Arrows1
⚽ PS (Mar 1, 2026): Mamelodi Sundowns3
Sekhukhune1
⚽ PS (Feb 24, 2026): AmaZulu0
Mamelodi Sundowns1
⚽ NC (Feb 21, 2026): TS Galaxy2
Mamelodi Sundowns0
Stade Malien
⚽ PD (Mar 4, 2026): Binga4
Stade Malien0
⚽ PD (Mar 1, 2026): Stade Malien0
Real Bamako1
⚽ PD (Feb 22, 2026): Stade Malien0
Bakaridjan0
⚽ PD (Feb 19, 2026): USFAS Bamako0
Stade Malien1
⚽ CL (Feb 14, 2026): Simba1
Stade Malien0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Friday, 13th March 2026, Mamelodi Sundowns host Stade Malien in CAF Champions League. We recommend Mamelodi Sundowns to win as the standout selection.
Mamelodi Sundowns arrive in strong form, having recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from their last 5 outings.
Stade Malien are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 1D 3L across 5 matches.
Our verdict: mamelodi sundowns to win at odds of 1.45 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Stade Malien?
Our selection is 1 — Mamelodi Sundowns to win, priced at approximately 1.45. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Mamelodi Sundowns's current form?
Mamelodi Sundowns have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.
How has Stade Malien been performing recently?
Stade Malien have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.9 goals per game.
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