WON Tip WON Man City W 5-2 Tottenham W
M

Man City W

Home
D W W L W
7W 1D 2L ▲ Improving
VS
5-2
T
Tottenham W
Away
L W W L W
5W 1D 4L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Saturday, 21st March 2026
1
Backing Man City W to win
Man City W 60%
Draw 20%
Tottenham W 20%
H Fair Odds 1.67
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 82% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -11% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Man City W to win
1.22
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Man City W vs Tottenham W Competition: WSL Date: Saturday, 21st March 2026 Pick: 1 (Man City W to win) Odds: 1.22 Confidence: 71% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Head to Head
Record
9
Man City W
1
Draws
0
Tottenham W
10
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Man City W won 9 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Man City W
Metric
Tottenham W
3
Goals For / Game
2.1
0.5
Goals Against / Game
1.7
50%
Clean Sheets
20%
7-1-2
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
70%
50%
3.7
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
M0
0-0 2.6%
0-1 3.4%
0-2 2.2%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
M1
1-0 6.1%
1-1 7.9%
1-2 5.2%
1-3 2.2%
1-4 0.7%
1-5 0.2%
M2
2-0 7.2%
2-1 9.3%
2-2 6.1%
2-3 2.6%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.2%
M3
3-0 5.6%
3-1 7.3%
3-2 4.8%
3-3 2.1%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
M4
4-0 3.3%
4-1 4.3%
4-2 2.8%
4-3 1.2%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
M5
5-0 1.6%
5-1 2.0%
5-2 1.3%
5-3 0.6%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(9.3%) 3-1(7.3%) 2-0(7.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip M=Home goals ↓   T=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Man City W Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Tottenham W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Man City W
Overall
7.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
8.3
Tottenham W
Overall
5.3
Scoring
7.0
Defence
4.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 30%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 21%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 25%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
19.09.25
WSL: Tottenham W1
Manchester City5
02.03.25
WSL: Tottenham W1
Manchester City2
08.11.24
WSL: Manchester City W4
Tottenham0
10.03.24
FAC: Tottenham W1
Manchester City W (1-0)1
07.02.24
CUP: Tottenham W0
Manchester City1
28.01.24
WSL: Tottenham W0
Manchester City2
26.11.23
WSL: Manchester City W7
Tottenham0
05.03.23
WSL: Manchester City W3
Tottenham1
22.10.22
WSL: Tottenham W0
Manchester City3
13.03.22
WSL: Tottenham W0
Manchester City1
Recent Form
Man City W
15.03.26
WSL: Aston Villa W0
Manchester City W0
D
22.02.26
FAC: Manchester City W4
Sheffield Utd W0
W
13.02.26
WSL: Manchester City W6
Leicester W0
W
08.02.26
WSL: Arsenal W1
Manchester City W0
L
01.02.26
WSL: Manchester City W5
Chelsea W1
W
25.01.26
WSL: London City Lionesses W1
Manchester City W2
W
21.01.26
CUP: Manchester City W0
Chelsea W1
L
18.01.26
FAC: Bournemouth W0
Manchester City W6
W
11.01.26
WSL: Manchester City W2
Everton W0
W
21.12.25
CUP: West Ham W1
Manchester City W5
W
Tottenham W
15.03.26
WSL: Tottenham W1
Everton W2
L
23.02.26
FAC: London City Lionesses W2
Tottenham W3
W
15.02.26
WSL: Aston Villa W3
Tottenham W7
W
08.02.26
WSL: Tottenham W0
Chelsea W2
L
01.02.26
WSL: West Ham W1
Tottenham W2
W
25.01.26
WSL: Liverpool W2
Tottenham W0
L
18.01.26
FAC: Tottenham W3
Leicester W0
W
11.01.26
WSL: Tottenham W1
Leicester W0
W
21.12.25
CUP: Manchester Utd W2
Tottenham W1
L
14.12.25
WSL: Manchester Utd W3
Tottenham W3
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 21st March 2026, Man City W host Tottenham W in WSL. We recommend Man City W to win as the standout selection.

Man City W arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Tottenham W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Man City W, who lead the head-to-head with 9 wins to Tottenham W's 0, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: man city w to win at odds of 1.22 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming WSL match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.22. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Man City W vs Tottenham W?
Our selection is 1 — Man City W to win, priced at approximately 1.22. Tip confidence rating: 71%.
What is Man City W's current form?
Man City W have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Tottenham W been performing recently?
Tottenham W have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Man City W lead with 9 wins versus Tottenham W's 0, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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