WON
Tip WON
Neftchi Fargona 3-0 Andijan
N
Neftchi Fargona
Home
W
W
W
W
L
4W 0D 1L
▼ Declining
VS
3-0
A
Andijan
Away
L
W
L
D
D
1W 2D 2L
▼ Declining
Neftchi Fargona
50%
Draw
30%
Andijan
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
69.9%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-12.9%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Neftchi Fargona to win
1.43
Over 2.5 Goals80%
Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Neftchi Fargona vs Andijan
Competition: Uzbekistan Super League
Date: Tuesday, 10th March 2026
Pick: 1 (Neftchi Fargona to win)
Odds: 1.43
Confidence: 57%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%)
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
Head to Head
Record
2
Neftchi Fargona
3
Draws
0
Andijan
5
Meetings
1.6
Avg Goals
20%
BTTS
20%
Over 2.5
Against Tip
Neftchi Fargona won 2 of the last 5 meetings (3 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Neftchi Fargona
Metric
Andijan
2.6
Goals For / Game
1.4
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1
40%
Clean Sheets
40%
4-0-1
W — D — L
1-2-2
Win Rate
2.9
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
N0
0-0
5.5%
0-1
6.1%
0-2
3.3%
0-3
1.2%
0-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
N1
1-0
9.9%
1-1
10.9%
1-2
6.0%
1-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
N2
2-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
2-3
2.0%
2-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
N3
3-0
5.4%
3-1
5.9%
3-2
3.2%
3-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
N4
4-0
2.4%
4-1
2.7%
4-2
1.5%
4-3
0.5%
4-4
0.2%
4-5
0.0%
N5
5-0
0.9%
5-1
1.0%
5-2
0.5%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(9.9%)
2-1(9.8%)
2-0(8.9%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
N=Home goals ↓ A=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Neftchi Fargona Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Andijan Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
40%
Home Win & BTTS No
27%
Draw & BTTS Yes
10%
Draw & BTTS No
7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
10%
Away Win & BTTS No
6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
54%
Home Win & Under 2.5
13%
Draw & Over 2.5
14%
Draw & Under 2.5
3%
Away Win & Over 2.5
13%
Away Win & Under 2.5
3%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
⚽ SL (05.10.25): Neftchi Fargona2
Andijan0
⚽ SL (09.05.25): Andijan0
Neftchi Fargona2
⚽ SL (25.09.24): Andijan0
Neftchi Fargona0
⚽ SL (12.05.24): Neftchi Fargona2
Andijan2
⚽ SL (31.08.23): Neftchi Fargona0
Andijan0
Recent Form
Neftchi Fargona
⚽ SL (05.03.26): Termez Surkhon0
Neftchi Fargona3
⚽ SL (28.02.26): Neftchi Fargona3
Mashal Muborak0
⚽ CF (10.02.26): Neftchi Fargona4
Dinamo Batumi1
⚽ CF (07.02.26): Oleksandriya1
Neftchi Fargona2
⚽ CF (31.01.26): Neftchi Fargona1
Arkadag2
Andijan
⚽ SL (04.03.26): Qizilqum2
Andijan1
⚽ SL (27.02.26): Andijan4
Sogdiana0
⚽ CF (17.02.26): Dynamo Makhachkala2
Andijan1
⚽ CF (05.02.26): FK Zorya Luhansk0
Andijan0
⚽ CF (20.01.26): Vardar1
Andijan1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Tuesday, 10th March 2026, Neftchi Fargona host Andijan in Uzbekistan Super League. We recommend Neftchi Fargona to win as the standout selection.
Neftchi Fargona arrive in strong form, having recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from their last 5 outings.
Andijan are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 2D 2L across 5 matches.
Historical meetings favour Neftchi Fargona, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Andijan's 0, with 3 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 20% of those meetings.
Our verdict: neftchi fargona to win at odds of 1.43 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Neftchi Fergana produces flawless defensive metrics, propelling them to the absolute summit of the Uzbekistan Super League and terrifying upcoming opponents.
Their current form represents the absolute gold standard in the division, seamlessly combining impenetrable defending with highly clinical finishing.
Andijan enters this match displaying painfully average form, consistently failing to generate dangerous scoring opportunities or sustain attacks on their travels. Head-to-head analysis strongly favors Neftchi, especially when they utilize the momentum of their home supporters.
The form watcher immediately recognizes Neftchi’s elite ability to completely suffocate opposing attacks while maximizing their own offensive efficiency. Andijan will struggle immensely just to record a single shot on target against this highly organized defensive unit.
The data strictly dictates a comfortable afternoon for the league leaders. Trusting Neftchi Fergana to secure a clean, professional home win represents a heavily data-backed decision.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Neftchi Fargona vs Andijan?
Our selection is 1 — Neftchi Fargona to win, priced at approximately 1.43. Tip confidence rating: 57%.
What is Neftchi Fargona's current form?
Neftchi Fargona have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.
How has Andijan been performing recently?
Andijan have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Neftchi Fargona lead with 2 wins versus Andijan's 0, with 3 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.
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