N
Norway
Home
W
W
L
W
W
6W 2D 2L
▼ Declining
VS
—
10:00 pm
—
Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, FL)
E
England
Away
W
W
W
D
W
7W 2D 1L
▼ Declining
Implied Prob
84%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-7%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.19
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Norway vs England
Competition: 2026 World Cup
Date: Saturday, 11th July 2026
KO: 10:00 pm
Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals)
Odds: 1.19
Confidence: 77%
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Head to Head
Record
2
Norway
3
Draws
3
England
8
Meetings
1.6
Avg Goals
25%
BTTS
25%
Over 2.5
Neutral
Over 1.5 in 50% of H2H.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Norway
Metric
England
2.1
Goals For / Game
1.8
1.4
Goals Against / Game
0.7
10%
Clean Sheets
50%
6-2-2
W — D — L
7-2-1
Win Rate
3
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
E0
E1
E2
E3
E4
E5
N0
0-0
5.0%
0-1
8.0%
0-2
6.4%
0-3
3.4%
0-4
1.4%
0-5
0.4%
N1
1-0
7.0%
1-1
11.2%
1-2
8.9%
1-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
N2
2-0
4.9%
2-1
7.8%
2-2
6.3%
2-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
N3
3-0
2.3%
3-1
3.6%
3-2
2.9%
3-3
1.6%
3-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
N4
4-0
0.8%
4-1
1.3%
4-2
1.0%
4-3
0.5%
4-4
0.2%
4-5
0.1%
N5
5-0
0.2%
5-1
0.4%
5-2
0.3%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-1(11.2%)
1-2(8.9%)
0-1(8.0%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
N=Home goals ↓ E=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
26%
Home Win & BTTS No
14%
Draw & BTTS Yes
8%
Draw & BTTS No
5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
31%
Away Win & BTTS No
16%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
24%
Home Win & Under 2.5
16%
Draw & Over 2.5
8%
Draw & Under 2.5
5%
Away Win & Over 2.5
28%
Away Win & Under 2.5
19%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
England1
Norway0
Norway0
England1
Norway0
England0
England0
Norway0
Norway2
England0
England1
Norway1
Norway2
England1
England4
Norway0
Recent Form
Norway
Brazil1
Norway2
Ivory Coast1
Norway2
Norway1
France4
Norway3
Senegal2
Iraq1
Norway4
Morocco1
Norway1
Norway3
Sweden1
Norway0
Switzerland0
Netherlands2
Norway1
Italy1
Norway4
England
Mexico2
England3
England2
D.R. Congo1
Panama0
England2
England0
Ghana0
England4
Croatia2
England3
Costa Rica0
England1
New Zealand0
England0
Japan1
England1
Uruguay1
Albania0
England2
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Saturday, 11th July 2026, Norway host England at Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, FL) in 2026 World Cup. We recommend over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.
Norway arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.
England are travelling well, with a record of 7W 2D 1L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Norway, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to England's 3, with 3 draws from 8 encounters. Both teams have scored in 25% of those meetings.
Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.19 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this 2026 World Cup match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is Over 1.5 at @1.19, sitting at roughly 90% in our model. The match gets going at 10:00 pm over at Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, FL).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Norway vs England?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.19. Tip confidence rating: 77%.
What is Norway's current form?
Norway have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has England been performing recently?
England have recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Norway lead with 2 wins versus England's 3, with 3 draws across 8 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 25%.
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