WON
Tip WON
Orlando Pirates 2-0 Richards Bay
O
Orlando Pirates
Home
W
W
L
L
W
3W 0D 2L
▼ Declining
VS
2-0
R
Richards Bay
Away
W
D
L
L
W
2W 1D 2L
→ Steady
Orlando Pirates
50%
Draw
30%
Richards Bay
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
80.6%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-19.6%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Orlando Pirates to win
1.24
BTTS — No70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Orlando Pirates vs Richards Bay
Competition: Betway Premiership
Date: Wednesday, 11th March 2026
Pick: 1 (Orlando Pirates to win)
Odds: 1.24
Confidence: 61%
Also: BTTS — No (70%)
Head to Head
Record
4
Orlando Pirates
0
Draws
1
Richards Bay
5
Meetings
1.6
Avg Goals
20%
BTTS
20%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Orlando Pirates won 4 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Orlando Pirates
Metric
Richards Bay
1.8
Goals For / Game
1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.4
40%
Clean Sheets
40%
3-0-2
W — D — L
2-1-2
Win Rate
2.5
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
O0
0-0
8.2%
0-1
7.4%
0-2
3.3%
0-3
1.0%
0-4
0.2%
0-5
0.0%
O1
1-0
13.1%
1-1
11.8%
1-2
5.3%
1-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
O2
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
O3
3-0
5.6%
3-1
5.0%
3-2
2.3%
3-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
3-5
0.0%
O4
4-0
2.2%
4-1
2.0%
4-2
0.9%
4-3
0.3%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
O5
5-0
0.7%
5-1
0.7%
5-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(13.1%)
2-0(10.5%)
2-1(9.5%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
O=Home goals ↓ R=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Orlando Pirates Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Richards Bay Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
17%
Home Win & BTTS No
39%
Draw & BTTS Yes
3%
Draw & BTTS No
6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
11%
Away Win & BTTS No
25%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
33%
Home Win & Under 2.5
22%
Draw & Over 2.5
5%
Draw & Under 2.5
4%
Away Win & Over 2.5
22%
Away Win & Under 2.5
14%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
⚽ TK (08.11.25): Richards Bay0
Orlando Pirates1
⚽ NC (26.01.25): Richards Bay1
Orlando Pirates3
⚽ PS (05.11.24): Orlando Pirates1
Richards Bay0
⚽ PS (29.09.24): Richards Bay0
Orlando Pirates1
⚽ PS (11.05.24): Orlando Pirates0
Richards Bay1
Recent Form
Orlando Pirates
⚽ A crucial away triumph in the PS (04.03.26) for the Buccaneers: Polokwane1
Orlando Pirates2
⚽ The Soweto Derby was dominated by Pirates in the PS (28.02.26), securing a resounding victory: Kaizer Chiefs0
Orlando Pirates3
⚽ A surprising early exit from the NC (21.02.26) as Pirates fell short at home: Orlando Pirates0
Casric Stars1
⚽ A tight PS battle (18.02.26) against a top rival resulted in a narrow home defeat: Orlando Pirates1
Mamelodi Sundowns2
⚽ Earlier, a formidable home display in the PS (14.02.26) saw the team cruise to victory: Orlando Pirates3
Marumo Gallants0
Richards Bay
⚽ PS (03.03.26): Richards Bay1
Kaizer Chiefs0
⚽ PS (28.02.26): Orbit College0
Richards Bay0
⚽ NC (20.02.26): Richards Bay0
AmaZulu1
⚽ PS (14.02.26): Chippa Utd.3
Richards Bay0
⚽ NC (08.02.26): Siwelele3
Richards Bay4
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Wednesday, 11th March 2026, Orlando Pirates host Richards Bay in Betway Premiership. We recommend Orlando Pirates to win as the standout selection.
Orlando Pirates arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 outings.
Richards Bay are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 2W 1D 2L across 5 matches.
Historical meetings favour Orlando Pirates, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Richards Bay's 1, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 20% of those meetings.
Our verdict: orlando pirates to win at odds of 1.24 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Orlando Pirates vs Richards Bay?
Our selection is 1 — Orlando Pirates to win, priced at approximately 1.24. Tip confidence rating: 61%.
What is Orlando Pirates's current form?
Orlando Pirates have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches.
How has Richards Bay been performing recently?
Richards Bay have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Orlando Pirates lead with 4 wins versus Richards Bay's 1, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.
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