P
Palmeiras U20
Home
D
W
W
L
W
7W 2D 1L
▼ Declining
VS
—
8:00 pm
—
Arena Barueri (Barueri)
C
Corinthians U20
Away
W
L
W
L
D
6W 2D 2L
▲ Improving
Palmeiras U20
50%
Draw
30%
Corinthians U20
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
72.5%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-5.5%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Palmeiras U20 to win
1.38
Palmeiras U20 Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Palmeiras U20 vs Corinthians U20
Competition: Brasileiro U20
Date: Thursday, 16th July 2026
KO: 8:00 pm
Pick: 1 (Palmeiras U20 to win)
Odds: 1.38
Confidence: 67%
Also: Palmeiras U20 Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
9
Palmeiras U20
1
Draws
0
Corinthians U20
10
Meetings
2.2
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Palmeiras U20 won 9 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Palmeiras U20
Metric
Corinthians U20
2.9
Goals For / Game
1.7
0.8
Goals Against / Game
0.8
60%
Clean Sheets
40%
7-2-1
W — D — L
6-2-2
Win Rate
3.1
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
P0
0-0
4.5%
0-1
5.6%
0-2
3.5%
0-3
1.5%
0-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
P1
1-0
8.3%
1-1
10.4%
1-2
6.5%
1-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
P2
2-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
2-2
6.0%
2-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
P3
3-0
4.8%
3-1
5.9%
3-2
3.7%
3-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
P4
4-0
2.2%
4-1
2.8%
4-2
1.7%
4-3
0.7%
4-4
0.2%
4-5
0.1%
P5
5-0
0.8%
5-1
1.0%
5-2
0.6%
5-3
0.3%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
2-1(9.6%)
1-0(8.3%)
2-0(7.7%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
P=Home goals ↓ C=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Palmeiras U20 Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Corinthians U20 Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
19%
Home Win & BTTS No
28%
Draw & BTTS Yes
5%
Draw & BTTS No
8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
16%
Away Win & BTTS No
24%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
26%
Home Win & Under 2.5
21%
Draw & Over 2.5
7%
Draw & Under 2.5
6%
Away Win & Over 2.5
22%
Away Win & Under 2.5
18%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Corinthians U200
Palmeiras U201
Corinthians U200
Palmeiras U201
Palmeiras U203
Corinthians U200
Palmeiras U202
Corinthians U200
Palmeiras U202
Corinthians U201
Corinthians U201
Palmeiras U201
Palmeiras U202
Corinthians U200
Corinthians U200
Palmeiras U201
Palmeiras U205
Corinthians U201
Corinthians U200
Palmeiras U201
Recent Form
Palmeiras U20
Palmeiras U202
Capivariano U202
Corinthians U200
Palmeiras U201
Porto Football U200
Palmeiras U201
Palmeiras U201
Cuiaba U203
Palmeiras U204
Guarani U200
Fluminense U200
Palmeiras U203
Palmeiras U207
America MG U201
Criciuma U200
Palmeiras U206
Palmeiras U202
Osasco Audax U200
Palmeiras U202
Santos U202
Corinthians U20
Portuguesa U200
Corinthians U202
Corinthians U200
Palmeiras U201
Corinthians U201
Sertaozinho U200
Juventude U201
Corinthians U200
Santos U200
Corinthians U200
Corinthians U202
Flamengo RJ U202
Cruzeiro U201
Corinthians U202
Corinthians U202
Vitoria U201
Corinthians U202
Portuguesa Santista U200
Corinthians U206
Avai U202
Palmeiras U20 (Home)
Palmeiras U202
Capivariano U202
Palmeiras U201
Cuiaba U203
Palmeiras U204
Guarani U200
Palmeiras U207
America MG U201
Palmeiras U202
Osasco Audax U200
Palmeiras U202
Santos U202
Palmeiras U202
Vitoria U202
Palmeiras U203
Avai U200
Palmeiras U201
Juventude U201
Palmeiras U202
Vasco U202
Corinthians U20 (Away)
Portuguesa U200
Corinthians U202
Juventude U201
Corinthians U200
Santos U200
Corinthians U200
Cruzeiro U201
Corinthians U202
Mirassol U200
Corinthians U201
RB Bragantino U203
Corinthians U203
Cuiaba U200
Corinthians U202
Sao Paulo U200
Corinthians U201
Criciuma U201
Corinthians U202
Botafogo U201
Corinthians U201
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Thursday, 16th July 2026, Palmeiras U20 host Corinthians U20 at Arena Barueri (Barueri) in Brasileiro U20. We recommend Palmeiras U20 to win as the standout selection.
Palmeiras U20 arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Corinthians U20 are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 2D 2L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Palmeiras U20, who lead the head-to-head with 9 wins to Corinthians U20's 0, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 30% of those meetings.
Our verdict: palmeiras u20 to win at odds of 1.38 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Brasileiro U20 match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.38, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 8:00 pm over at Arena Barueri (Barueri).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Palmeiras U20 vs Corinthians U20?
Our selection is 1 — Palmeiras U20 to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 67%.
What is Palmeiras U20's current form?
Palmeiras U20 have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Corinthians U20 been performing recently?
Corinthians U20 have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Palmeiras U20 lead with 9 wins versus Corinthians U20's 0, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
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