P
Patro Eisden
Home
D
W
L
D
W
3W 4D 3L
→ Steady
VS
—
5:30 pm
—
N/A
S
St Truiden
Away
W
W
W
L
D
6W 2D 2L
▲ Improving
Implied Prob
73.5%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-5.5%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Patro Eisden vs St Truiden
Competition: Club Friendly
Date: Wednesday, 15th July 2026
KO: 5:30 pm
Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals)
Odds: 1.36
Confidence: 68%
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
Head to Head
Record
0
Patro Eisden
3
Draws
4
St Truiden
7
Meetings
2.9
Avg Goals
57%
BTTS
57%
Over 2.5
Neutral
Over 2.5 in 57% of H2H.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Patro Eisden
Metric
St Truiden
1.5
Goals For / Game
2.1
1.6
Goals Against / Game
0.9
20%
Clean Sheets
40%
3-4-3
W — D — L
6-2-2
Win Rate
3.1
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
P0
0-0
4.7%
0-1
8.8%
0-2
8.1%
0-3
5.0%
0-4
2.3%
0-5
0.9%
P1
1-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
1-3
6.0%
1-4
2.8%
1-5
1.0%
P2
2-0
3.4%
2-1
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
2-3
3.6%
2-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
P3
3-0
1.4%
3-1
2.5%
3-2
2.3%
3-3
1.4%
3-4
0.7%
3-5
0.3%
P4
4-0
0.4%
4-1
0.8%
4-2
0.7%
4-3
0.4%
4-4
0.2%
4-5
0.1%
P5
5-0
0.1%
5-1
0.2%
5-2
0.2%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-1(10.5%)
1-2(9.7%)
0-1(8.8%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
P=Home goals ↓ S=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
14%
Home Win & BTTS No
11%
Draw & BTTS Yes
14%
Draw & BTTS No
11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
28%
Away Win & BTTS No
23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
15%
Home Win & Under 2.5
10%
Draw & Over 2.5
15%
Draw & Under 2.5
10%
Away Win & Over 2.5
30%
Away Win & Under 2.5
20%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Patro Eisden3
St. Truiden4
Patro Eisden0
St. Truiden0
St. Truiden2
Patro Eisden2
Patro Eisden1
St. Truiden2
St. Truiden3
Patro Eisden1
Patro Eisden0
St. Truiden0
St. Truiden2
Patro Eisden0
Recent Form
Patro Eisden
Union Rochefortoise3
Patro Eisden3
Schoonbeek-Beverst1
Patro Eisden2
Beerschot VA3
Patro Eisden (AET)2
Patro Eisden1
Beerschot VA1
Patro Eisden4
Francs Borains0
Seraing2
Patro Eisden0
Patro Eisden0
Beerschot VA4
K. Lierse S.K.1
Patro Eisden2
Patro Eisden1
RFC Liege1
Anderlecht U230
Patro Eisden0
St Truiden
Zepperen-Brustem0
St. Truiden6
Thes Sport1
St. Truiden2
St. Truiden3
KV Mechelen0
Anderlecht3
St. Truiden1
St. Truiden1
Gent1
Club Brugge KV2
St. Truiden0
St. Truiden2
Royale Union SG1
KV Mechelen1
St. Truiden4
St. Truiden2
Anderlecht0
Gent0
St. Truiden0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Wednesday, 15th July 2026, Patro Eisden host St Truiden at N/A in Club Friendly. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.
Patro Eisden arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.
St Truiden are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 2D 2L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Patro Eisden, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to St Truiden's 4, with 3 draws from 7 encounters. Both teams have scored in 57% of those meetings.
Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.36 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Club Friendly match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is Over 2.5 at @1.36, sitting at roughly 80% in our model. The match gets going at 5:30 pm over at N/A.
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Patro Eisden vs St Truiden?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Patro Eisden's current form?
Patro Eisden have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has St Truiden been performing recently?
St Truiden have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Patro Eisden lead with 0 wins versus St Truiden's 4, with 3 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 57%.
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