LOST Tip LOST TNS 0-2 Colwyn Bay
T

TNS

Home
W W D W W
8W 0D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
0-2
C
Colwyn Bay
Away
W L W L W
4W 1D 5L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Friday, 20th March 2026
1
Backing TNS to win
TNS 50%
Draw 30%
Colwyn Bay 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 84.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -38.7% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — TNS to win
1.18
Under 2.5 Goals65% BTTS — No70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
TNS vs Colwyn Bay Competition: Wales Cymru Premier Date: Friday, 20th March 2026 Pick: 1 (TNS to win) Odds: 1.18 Confidence: 46% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: BTTS — No (70%)
Head to Head
Record
0
TNS
7
Draws
0
Colwyn Bay
7
Meetings
2.7
Avg Goals
43%
BTTS
29%
Over 2.5
Against Tip TNS won 0 of the last 7 meetings (7 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
TNS
Metric
Colwyn Bay
0
Goals For / Game
1.3
0
Goals Against / Game
1.7
0%
Clean Sheets
10%
8-0-2
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate
80%
40%
1.5
Avg Goals
40%
Over 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
T0
0-0 22.3%
0-1 14.5%
0-2 4.7%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
T1
1-0 19.0%
1-1 12.3%
1-2 4.0%
1-3 0.9%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
T2
2-0 8.1%
2-1 5.2%
2-2 1.7%
2-3 0.4%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
T3
3-0 2.3%
3-1 1.5%
3-2 0.5%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
T4
4-0 0.5%
4-1 0.3%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
T5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(19.0%) 2-0(8.1%) 2-1(5.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip T=Home goals ↓   C=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
TNS Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Colwyn Bay Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
TNS
Overall
8.0
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
Colwyn Bay
Overall
4.3
Scoring
4.3
Defence
4.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 45%
Draw & BTTS Yes 1%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 22%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 42%
Draw & Over 2.5 1%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 21%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
13.02.26
PL: Colwyn Bay0
The New Saints2
13.01.26
PL: The New Saints1
Colwyn Bay0
25.08.25
PL: Colwyn Bay1
The New Saints1
15.12.24
FAC: The New Saints4
Colwyn Bay1
31.10.23
PL: The New Saints6
Colwyn Bay1
29.08.23
PL: Colwyn Bay0
The New Saints1
20.03.22
FAC: The New Saints1
Colwyn Bay0
Recent Form
TNS
14.03.26
PL: Penybont1
The New Saints2
W
03.03.26
PL: Connah’s Q.1
The New Saints2
W
28.02.26
CUP: The New Saints0
Barry2
L
20.02.26
PL: The New Saints2
Caernarfon1
W
13.02.26
PL: Colwyn Bay0
The New Saints2
W
07.02.26
PL: The New Saints6
Penybont0
W
24.01.26
PL: The New Saints1
Barry0
W
13.01.26
PL: The New Saints1
Colwyn Bay0
W
06.01.26
PL: The New Saints2
Bala1
W
31.12.25
PL: Connah’s Q.3
The New Saints1
L
Colwyn Bay
14.03.26
PL: Colwyn Bay3
Barry1
W
27.02.26
PL: Caernarfon3
Colwyn Bay0
L
21.02.26
PL: Colwyn Bay3
Penybont1
W
13.02.26
PL: Colwyn Bay0
The New Saints2
L
07.02.26
PL: Barry0
Colwyn Bay1
W
31.01.26
FAC: Caernarfon4
Colwyn Bay1
L
24.01.26
PL: Colwyn Bay2
Connah’s Q.2
D
13.01.26
PL: The New Saints1
Colwyn Bay0
L
01.01.26
PL: Colwyn Bay1
Flint2
L
27.12.25
PL: Caernarfon1
Colwyn Bay2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 20th March 2026, TNS host Colwyn Bay in Wales Cymru Premier. We recommend TNS to win as the standout selection.

TNS arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Colwyn Bay are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 1D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour TNS, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Colwyn Bay's 0, with 7 draws from 7 encounters. Both teams have scored in 43% of those meetings.

Our verdict: tns to win at odds of 1.18 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Wales Cymru Premier match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.18. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for TNS vs Colwyn Bay?
Our selection is 1 — TNS to win, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 46%.
What is TNS's current form?
TNS have won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Colwyn Bay been performing recently?
Colwyn Bay have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
TNS lead with 0 wins versus Colwyn Bay's 0, with 7 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 43%.
⚠️
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