WON Tip WON Viimsi JK 2-0 Tartu Welco
V

Viimsi JK

Home
W L L W D
4W 1D 5L → Steady
VS
2-0
T
Tartu Welco
Away
W W W W W
6W 1D 3L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Thursday, 23rd April 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob 73% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +11% Value detected
Kelly % 40.8% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.37
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Viimsi JK vs Tartu Welco Competition: Estonia Esiliiga Date: Thursday, 23rd April 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.37 Confidence: 84% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
Head to Head
Record
7
Viimsi JK
1
Draws
2
Tartu Welco
10
Meetings
4.5
Avg Goals
90%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 80% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Viimsi JK
Metric
Tartu Welco
1.7
Goals For / Game
2.8
1.8
Goals Against / Game
1.7
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
4-1-5
W — D — L
6-1-3
Win Rate
40%
60%
4
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
V0
0-0 1.8%
0-1 4.2%
0-2 4.8%
0-3 3.7%
0-4 2.1%
0-5 1.0%
V1
1-0 3.1%
1-1 7.2%
1-2 8.2%
1-3 6.3%
1-4 3.6%
1-5 1.7%
V2
2-0 2.7%
2-1 6.1%
2-2 7.0%
2-3 5.4%
2-4 3.1%
2-5 1.4%
V3
3-0 1.5%
3-1 3.5%
3-2 4.0%
3-3 3.0%
3-4 1.8%
3-5 0.8%
V4
4-0 0.6%
4-1 1.5%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 1.3%
4-4 0.7%
4-5 0.3%
V5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.3%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-2(8.2%) 1-1(7.2%) 2-2(7.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip V=Home goals ↓   T=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Viimsi JK
Overall
4.3
Scoring
5.7
Defence
4.0
Tartu Welco
Overall
6.3
Scoring
9.3
Defence
4.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 36%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 29%
Home Win & Under 2.5 7%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 44%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
03.10.25ESI
Tartu Welco1
Viimsi JK4
18.08.25ESI
Viimsi JK3
Tartu Welco2
23.07.25ESI
Viimsi JK2
Tartu Welco1
26.04.25ESI
Tartu Welco3
Viimsi JK1
27.10.24ESI
Viimsi JK1
Tartu Welco1
10.08.24ESI
Tartu Welco1
Viimsi JK3
13.07.24ESI
Viimsi JK2
Tartu Welco4
07.04.24ESI
Tartu Welco0
Viimsi JK1
19.02.22CF
Viimsi JK8
Tartu Welco1
04.10.20ESB
Tartu Welco1
Viimsi JK5
Recent Form
Viimsi JK
16.04.26ESI
Viimsi JK5
FC Tallinn1
W
12.04.26ESI
Viimsi JK1
Nomme Utd U213
L
03.04.26ESI
FC Elva1
Viimsi JK0
L
19.03.26ESI
Viimsi JK2
Tallinna Kalev0
W
14.03.26ESI
Nomme Kalju U210
Viimsi JK0
D
11.03.26CUP
Trans Narva4
Viimsi JK3
L
06.03.26ESI
Viimsi JK2
Flora U211
W
20.02.26CF
Viimsi JK1
Nomme Utd5
L
15.02.26CF
Tammeka2
Viimsi JK0
L
07.02.26CF
Viimsi JK3
Levadia U211
W
Tartu Welco
17.04.26ESI
Tartu Welco3
Levadia U212
W
11.04.26ESI
Nomme Kalju U211
Tartu Welco5
W
03.04.26ESI
Nomme Utd U211
Tartu Welco3
W
21.03.26ESI
Tartu Welco5
Maardu1
W
14.03.26ESI
Flora U211
Tartu Welco6
W
10.03.26CUP
Parnu JK Vaprus2
Tartu Welco1
L
05.03.26ESI
Tartu Welco3
Tallinna Kalev0
W
25.02.26CF
Narva2
Tartu Welco2
D
21.02.26CF
Tartu Welco0
Metta4
L
24.01.26CF
Harju JK Laagri3
Tartu Welco0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 23rd April 2026, Viimsi JK host Tartu Welco in Estonia Esiliiga. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Viimsi JK arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Tartu Welco are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 1D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Viimsi JK, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Tartu Welco's 2, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 90% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.37 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Estonia Esiliiga match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing Over 2.5, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.37. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Viimsi JK vs Tartu Welco?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 84%.
What is Viimsi JK's current form?
Viimsi JK have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Tartu Welco been performing recently?
Tartu Welco have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Viimsi JK lead with 7 wins versus Tartu Welco's 2, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 90%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. StraightWinOdds provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.