WON
Tip WON
Slavia Mozyr 2-0 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
S
Slavia Mozyr
Home
W
W
L
W
W
4W 0D 1L
▼ Declining
VS
2-0
A
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Away
L
L
W
L
L
1W 0D 4L
▲ Improving
Slavia Mozyr
50%
Draw
30%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
73.5%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-22.5%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Slavia Mozyr to win
1.36
BTTS — No70%
Slavia Mozyr Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Slavia Mozyr vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Competition: Belarus Cup
Date: Sunday, 8th March 2026
Pick: 1 (Slavia Mozyr to win)
Odds: 1.36
Confidence: 51%
Also: BTTS — No (70%)
Also: Slavia Mozyr Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Slavia Mozyr
3
Draws
1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
5
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
20%
Over 2.5
Against Tip
Slavia Mozyr won 1 of the last 5 meetings (3 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Slavia Mozyr
Metric
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1.6
Goals For / Game
0.4
0.8
Goals Against / Game
2.8
60%
Clean Sheets
20%
4-0-1
W — D — L
1-0-4
Win Rate
2.8
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
S0
0-0
6.1%
0-1
3.7%
0-2
1.1%
0-3
0.2%
0-4
0.0%
0-5
0.0%
S1
1-0
13.4%
1-1
8.0%
1-2
2.4%
1-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
1-5
0.0%
S2
2-0
14.7%
2-1
8.8%
2-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
2-5
0.0%
S3
3-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
3-5
0.0%
S4
4-0
5.9%
4-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
S5
5-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
2-0(14.7%)
1-0(13.4%)
3-0(10.8%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
S=Home goals ↓ A=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Slavia Mozyr Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
24%
Home Win & BTTS No
56%
Draw & BTTS Yes
0%
Draw & BTTS No
0%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
6%
Away Win & BTTS No
14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
48%
Home Win & Under 2.5
32%
Draw & Over 2.5
0%
Draw & Under 2.5
0%
Away Win & Over 2.5
12%
Away Win & Under 2.5
8%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
⚽ VL (Sep 12, 2025): Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1
Slavia Mozyr0
⚽ VL (Apr 25, 2025): Slavia Mozyr1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1
⚽ VL (Sep 14, 2024): Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1
Slavia Mozyr1
⚽ VL (Apr 28, 2024): Slavia Mozyr3
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk0
⚽ VL (Oct 22, 2022): Slavia Mozyr1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1
Recent Form
Slavia Mozyr
⚽ CF (Feb 28, 2026): Slavia Mozyr1
Zhodino0
⚽ CF (Feb 25, 2026): Slavia Mozyr1
Belshina0
⚽ CF (Feb 21, 2026): Slavia Mozyr1
Din. Minsk3
⚽ CF (Feb 14, 2026): Slavia Mozyr2
Dnepr Mogilev0
⚽ CF (Feb 7, 2026): FC Minsk1
Slavia Mozyr3
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
⚽ CF (Feb 28, 2026): FC Gomel4
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk0
⚽ CF (Feb 7, 2026): Arsenal Dzerzhinsk0
Baranovici4
⚽ CF (Jan 31, 2026): BATE0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1
⚽ CF (Jan 24, 2026): Isloch4
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk0
⚽ CF (Jan 21, 2026): Din. Minsk 22
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Sunday, 8th March 2026, Slavia Mozyr host Arsenal Dzerzhinsk in Belarus Cup. We recommend Slavia Mozyr to win as the standout selection.
Slavia Mozyr arrive in strong form, having recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from their last 5 outings.
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 0D 4L across 5 matches.
Historical meetings favour Slavia Mozyr, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Arsenal Dzerzhinsk's 1, with 3 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.
Our verdict: slavia mozyr to win at odds of 1.36 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Slavia Mozyr vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk?
Our selection is 1 — Slavia Mozyr to win, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 51%.
What is Slavia Mozyr's current form?
Slavia Mozyr have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.
How has Arsenal Dzerzhinsk been performing recently?
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk have recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Slavia Mozyr lead with 1 wins versus Arsenal Dzerzhinsk's 1, with 3 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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