WON Tip WON Nice 0-4 PSG
N

Nice

Home
W L W L D
7W 1D 2L → Steady
VS
0-4
P
PSG
Away
W W L W D
3W 3D 4L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Saturday, 21st March 2026
2
Backing PSG to win
Nice 20%
Draw 30%
PSG 50%
H Fair Odds 5
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 73% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -29% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — PSG to win
1.37
Under 2.5 Goals100% BTTS — No100%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Nice vs PSG Competition: Ligue 1 Date: Saturday, 21st March 2026 Pick: 2 (PSG to win) Odds: 1.37 Confidence: 44% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (100%) Also: BTTS — No (100%)
Head to Head
Record
3
Nice
2
Draws
5
PSG
10
Meetings
2.5
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral PSG won 5 of 10 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Nice
Metric
PSG
0
Goals For / Game
0
0
Goals Against / Game
0
0%
Clean Sheets
0%
7-1-2
W — D — L
3-3-4
Win Rate
70%
30%
0
Avg Goals
0%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
N0
0-0 67.0%
0-1 13.4%
0-2 1.3%
0-3 0.1%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
N1
1-0 13.4%
1-1 2.7%
1-2 0.3%
1-3 0.0%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
N2
2-0 1.3%
2-1 0.3%
2-2 0.0%
2-3 0.0%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
N3
3-0 0.1%
3-1 0.0%
3-2 0.0%
3-3 0.0%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
N4
4-0 0.0%
4-1 0.0%
4-2 0.0%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
N5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(13.4%) 0-2(1.3%) 1-2(0.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip N=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Nice Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
PSG Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Nice
Overall
7.3
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
PSG
Overall
3.9
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Home Win & BTTS No 58%
Draw & BTTS Yes 0%
Draw & BTTS No 17%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 25%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 0%
Home Win & Under 2.5 58%
Draw & Over 2.5 0%
Draw & Under 2.5 17%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 25%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
01.11.25
L1: PSG1
Nice0
25.04.25
L1: PSG1
Nice3
06.10.24
L1: Nice1
PSG1
15.05.24
L1: Nice1
PSG2
13.03.24
CDF: PSG3
Nice1
15.09.23
L1: PSG2
Nice3
08.04.23
L1: Nice0
PSG2
01.10.22
L1: PSG2
Nice1
05.03.22
L1: Nice1
PSG0
31.01.22
CDF: PSG0
Nice (0-1)0
Recent Form
Nice
17.03.26
UCL: Chelsea0
PSG3
W
11.03.26
UCL: PSG5
Chelsea2
W
06.03.26
L1: PSG1
Monaco3
L
28.02.26
L1: Le Havre0
PSG1
W
25.02.26
UCL: PSG2
Monaco2
D
21.02.26
L1: PSG3
Metz0
W
17.02.26
UCL: Monaco2
PSG3
W
13.02.26
L1: Rennes3
PSG1
L
08.02.26
L1: PSG5
Marseille0
W
01.02.26
L1: Strasbourg1
PSG2
W
PSG
14.03.26
L1: Angers0
Nice2
W
08.03.26
L1: Nice0
Rennes4
L
04.03.26
CDF: Lorient0
Nice (0-1)0
W
01.03.26
L1: Paris FC1
Nice0
L
22.02.26
L1: Nice3
Lorient3
D
15.02.26
L1: Lyon2
Nice0
L
08.02.26
L1: Nice0
Monaco0
D
04.02.26
CDF: Nice3
Montpellier2
W
01.02.26
L1: Nice2
Brest2
D
29.01.26
EL: Ludogorets1
Nice0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 21st March 2026, Nice host PSG in Ligue 1. We recommend PSG to win as the standout selection.

Nice arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

PSG are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 3D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Nice, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to PSG's 5, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: psg to win at odds of 1.37 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Ligue 1 match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 2, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.37. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Nice vs PSG?
Our selection is 2 — PSG to win, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 44%.
What is Nice's current form?
Nice have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has PSG been performing recently?
PSG have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Nice lead with 3 wins versus PSG's 5, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 0 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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