WON Tip WON Krasnodar 5-0 Pari NN
K

Krasnodar

Home
W W L L W
5W 0D 5L ▲ Improving
VS
5-0
P
Pari NN
Away
W W L W D
5W 1D 4L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Saturday, 21st March 2026
1
Backing Krasnodar to win
Krasnodar 50%
Draw 30%
Pari NN 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 75.8% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -15.8% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Krasnodar to win
1.32
Over 2.5 Goals70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Krasnodar vs Pari NN Competition: Russia Premier League Date: Saturday, 21st March 2026 Pick: 1 (Krasnodar to win) Odds: 1.32 Confidence: 60% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%)
Head to Head
Record
9
Krasnodar
0
Draws
1
Pari NN
10
Meetings
2.9
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Krasnodar won 9 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Krasnodar
Metric
Pari NN
1.7
Goals For / Game
1.3
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.2
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
5-0-5
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
50%
50%
2.8
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
K0
0-0 6.4%
0-1 8.3%
0-2 5.4%
0-3 2.3%
0-4 0.8%
0-5 0.2%
K1
1-0 9.3%
1-1 12.1%
1-2 7.8%
1-3 3.4%
1-4 1.1%
1-5 0.3%
K2
2-0 6.7%
2-1 8.7%
2-2 5.7%
2-3 2.5%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.2%
K3
3-0 3.3%
3-1 4.2%
3-2 2.7%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
K4
4-0 1.2%
4-1 1.5%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
K5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(9.3%) 2-1(8.7%) 2-0(6.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip K=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Krasnodar Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Pari NN Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Krasnodar
Overall
5.0
Scoring
5.7
Defence
5.7
Pari NN
Overall
5.3
Scoring
4.3
Defence
6.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Away Win & BTTS No 21%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 34%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 33%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
20.07.25
PL: FC Pari NN0
FC Krasnodar3
07.03.25
PL: FC Pari NN0
FC Krasnodar3
23.10.24
CUP: FC Krasnodar1
FC Pari NN2
28.08.24
CUP: FC Pari NN0
FC Krasnodar1
18.08.24
PL: FC Krasnodar2
FC Pari NN1
06.04.24
PL: FC Pari NN3
FC Krasnodar4
04.10.23
CUP: FC Krasnodar3
FC Pari NN0
29.08.23
CUP: FC Pari NN0
FC Krasnodar1
04.08.23
PL: FC Krasnodar1
FC Pari NN0
09.04.23
PL: FC Krasnodar3
FC Pari NN1
Recent Form
Krasnodar
17.03.26
CUP: FC Krasnodar4
CSKA Moscow0
W
14.03.26
PL: Sochi1
FC Krasnodar2
W
08.03.26
PL: Rubin Kazan2
FC Krasnodar1
L
04.03.26
CUP: CSKA Moscow3
FC Krasnodar1
L
28.02.26
PL: FC Krasnodar2
FK Rostov1
W
17.02.26
CF: FC Krasnodar0
Zenit1
L
10.02.26
CF: Dynamo Moscow1
FC Krasnodar0
L
06.02.26
CF: FC Krasnodar3
Zenit0
W
03.02.26
CF: CSKA Moscow3
FC Krasnodar2
L
27.01.26
CF: FC Krasnodar2
Yelimay Semey1
W
Pari NN
15.03.26
PL: FC Pari NN3
Krylya Sovetov0
W
07.03.26
PL: FC Pari NN2
Sochi1
W
28.02.26
PL: Lokomotiv Moscow2
FC Pari NN1
L
13.02.26
CF: FC Pari NN2
Tobol1
W
07.02.26
CF: FC Pari NN0
Yenisey0
D
07.02.26
CF: Torpedo Moscow4
FC Pari NN2
L
17.01.26
CF: FC Pari NN0
Chelyabinsk1
L
07.12.25
PL: Dynamo Makhachkala0
FC Pari NN1
W
29.11.25
PL: Akron Togliatti1
FC Pari NN2
W
23.11.25
PL: FC Pari NN0
Zenit2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 21st March 2026, Krasnodar host Pari NN in Russia Premier League. We recommend Krasnodar to win as the standout selection.

Krasnodar arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Pari NN are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Krasnodar, who lead the head-to-head with 9 wins to Pari NN's 1, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: krasnodar to win at odds of 1.32 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Russia Premier League match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.32. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Krasnodar vs Pari NN?
Our selection is 1 — Krasnodar to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 60%.
What is Krasnodar's current form?
Krasnodar have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Pari NN been performing recently?
Pari NN have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Krasnodar lead with 9 wins versus Pari NN's 1, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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