WON Tip WON St Etienne W 0-3 Paris FC W
S

St Etienne W

Home
L L L W L
1W 2D 7L ▼ Declining
VS
0-3
P
Paris FC W
Away
W W W L L
6W 0D 4L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Saturday, 21st March 2026
2
Backing Paris FC W to win
St Etienne W 20%
Draw 30%
Paris FC W 50%
H Fair Odds 5
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 73.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -13.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Paris FC W to win
1.36
Under 2.5 Goals70% BTTS — No95% Paris FC W Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
St Etienne W vs Paris FC W Competition: Premiere Ligue Women Date: Saturday, 21st March 2026 Pick: 2 (Paris FC W to win) Odds: 1.36 Confidence: 60% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: BTTS — No (95%) Also: Paris FC W Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
0
St Etienne W
2
Draws
7
Paris FC W
9
Meetings
3.7
Avg Goals
56%
BTTS
67%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Paris FC W won 7 of 9 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
St Etienne W
Metric
Paris FC W
0
Goals For / Game
1.6
0
Goals Against / Game
1.1
0%
Clean Sheets
60%
1-2-7
W — D — L
6-0-4
Win Rate
10%
60%
1.4
Avg Goals
40%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
5%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
S0
0-0 25.9%
0-1 20.7%
0-2 8.3%
0-3 2.2%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
S1
1-0 14.3%
1-1 11.4%
1-2 4.6%
1-3 1.2%
1-4 0.2%
1-5 0.0%
S2
2-0 3.9%
2-1 3.1%
2-2 1.3%
2-3 0.3%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
S3
3-0 0.7%
3-1 0.6%
3-2 0.2%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.0%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(20.7%) 0-2(8.3%) 1-2(4.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
St Etienne W Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Paris FC W Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
St Etienne W
Overall
1.6
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
Paris FC W
Overall
6.0
Scoring
5.3
Defence
6.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 1%
Home Win & BTTS No 12%
Draw & BTTS Yes 1%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 4%
Away Win & BTTS No 70%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 4%
Home Win & Under 2.5 9%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 22%
Away Win & Under 2.5 52%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
26.09.25
PL: Paris FC W2
Saint-Étienne0
14.02.25
PL: Paris FC W4
Saint-Étienne0
05.10.24
PL: Saint-Étienne W1
Paris FC0
17.08.24
CF: Saint-Étienne W1
Paris FC2
19.04.24
PL: Paris FC W0
Saint-Étienne1
11.11.23
PL: Saint-Étienne W1
Paris FC6
01.09.23
CF: Paris FC W6
Saint-Étienne2
05.02.22
PL: Paris FC W2
Saint-Étienne1
02.10.21
PL: Saint-Étienne W1
Paris FC3
Recent Form
St Etienne W
11.03.26
PL: Dijon W2
Saint-Étienne W0
L
21.02.26
PL: Saint-Étienne W0
Strasbourg W2
L
08.02.26
PL: Lyon W4
Saint-Étienne W0
L
31.01.26
PL: Saint-Étienne W1
Le Havre W1
D
17.01.26
PL: Saint-Étienne W0
Nantes W1
L
14.01.26
PL: Marseille W0
Saint-Étienne W1
W
10.01.26
COU: Saint-Étienne W0
Lyon W6
L
20.12.25
PL: Saint-Étienne W0
Dijon W1
L
13.12.25
PL: Fleury 91 W0
Saint-Étienne W0
D
05.12.25
PL: Lens W1
Saint-Étienne W0
L
Paris FC W
15.03.26
COU: Caen W0
Paris FC W2
W
11.03.26
PL: Paris FC W3
Strasbourg W0
W
22.02.26
PL: Le Havre W0
Paris FC W4
W
18.02.26
CL: Real Madrid W2
Paris FC W0
L
14.02.26
CLF: PSG W3
Paris FC W0
L
11.02.26
CL: Paris FC W2
Real Madrid W3
L
07.02.26
PL: Paris FC W0
PSG W3
L
04.02.26
CLF: Paris FC W1
Lens W0
W
30.01.26
PL: Marseille W0
Paris FC W3
W
25.01.26
COU: Saint-Malo W0
Paris FC W1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 21st March 2026, St Etienne W host Paris FC W in Premiere Ligue Women. We recommend Paris FC W to win as the standout selection.

St Etienne W arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Paris FC W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 0D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour St Etienne W, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Paris FC W's 7, with 2 draws from 9 encounters. Both teams have scored in 56% of those meetings.

Our verdict: paris fc w to win at odds of 1.36 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Premiere Ligue Women match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 2, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.36. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for St Etienne W vs Paris FC W?
Our selection is 2 — Paris FC W to win, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 60%.
What is St Etienne W's current form?
St Etienne W have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches.
How has Paris FC W been performing recently?
Paris FC W have recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
St Etienne W lead with 0 wins versus Paris FC W's 7, with 2 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 56%.
⚠️
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