WON Tip WON Freiburg W 1-2 Hoffenheim W
F

Freiburg W

Home
L W L D L
4W 1D 5L ▲ Improving
VS
1-2
H
Hoffenheim W
Away
L L W W L
6W 1D 3L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Sunday, 29th March 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob 64.9% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +20.1% Value detected
Kelly % 57.2% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals80% BTTS — No80% Hoffenheim W Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Freiburg W vs Hoffenheim W Competition: Bundesliga Women Date: Sunday, 29th March 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.54 Confidence: 85% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: BTTS — No (80%) Also: Hoffenheim W Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
3
Freiburg W
0
Draws
7
Hoffenheim W
10
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 90% of H2H.
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Freiburg W
Metric
Hoffenheim W
1.2
Goals For / Game
2
1.6
Goals Against / Game
0.8
30%
Clean Sheets
60%
4-1-5
W — D — L
6-1-3
Win Rate
40%
60%
2.8
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
F0
0-0 6.1%
0-1 11.0%
0-2 9.9%
0-3 5.9%
0-4 2.7%
0-5 1.0%
F1
1-0 6.1%
1-1 11.0%
1-2 9.9%
1-3 5.9%
1-4 2.7%
1-5 1.0%
F2
2-0 3.0%
2-1 5.5%
2-2 4.9%
2-3 3.0%
2-4 1.3%
2-5 0.5%
F3
3-0 1.0%
3-1 1.8%
3-2 1.6%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.2%
F4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.5%
4-2 0.4%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
F5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(11.0%) 1-1(11.0%) 0-2(9.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip F=Home goals ↓   H=Away →
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Team Ratings
Grades
Freiburg W
Overall
4.3
Scoring
4.0
Defence
4.7
Hoffenheim W
Overall
6.3
Scoring
6.7
Defence
7.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 44%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 33%
Away Win & Under 2.5 22%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
18.01.26
CF: Freiburg0
Hoffenheim4
06.11.25
BUN: Hoffenheim2
Freiburg1
02.02.25
BUN: Freiburg0
Hoffenheim3
16.09.24
BUN: Hoffenheim2
Freiburg3
18.08.24
CF: Freiburg0
Hoffenheim3
22.03.24
BUN: Freiburg2
Hoffenheim4
04.11.23
BUN: Hoffenheim2
Freiburg3
02.09.23
CF: Hoffenheim2
Freiburg3
19.03.23
BUN: Freiburg0
Hoffenheim1
14.10.22
BUN: Hoffenheim3
Freiburg2
Recent Form
Freiburg W
22.03.26
BUN: RB Leipzig2
Freiburg0
L
13.03.26
BUN: Freiburg2
FC Nürnberg1
W
23.02.26
BUN: Eintracht Frankfurt3
Freiburg0
L
14.02.26
BUN: Freiburg1
Union Berlin1
D
06.02.26
BUN: Freiburg1
Bayern Munich4
L
01.02.26
BUN: Hamburger SV0
Freiburg2
W
24.01.26
BUN: FC Köln1
Freiburg0
L
18.01.26
CF: Freiburg0
Hoffenheim4
L
11.01.26
CF: Freiburg3
VfB Stuttgart0
W
21.12.25
BUN: Freiburg3
Werder Bremen0
W
Hoffenheim W
21.03.26
BUN: Hoffenheim0
Wolfsburg1
L
18.03.26
BUN: Eintracht Frankfurt2
Hoffenheim0
L
15.03.26
BUN: Hoffenheim4
SGS Essen0
W
22.02.26
BUN: Bayer Leverkusen0
Hoffenheim1
W
15.02.26
BUN: Hoffenheim0
Hamburger SV4
L
08.02.26
BUN: FC Nürnberg0
Hoffenheim3
W
01.02.26
BUN: Hoffenheim0
Werder Bremen0
D
18.01.26
CF: Freiburg0
Hoffenheim4
W
14.01.26
CF: Hoffenheim4
PSV1
W
11.01.26
CF: Hoffenheim4
Basel0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Sunday, 29th March 2026, Freiburg W host Hoffenheim W in Bundesliga Women. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Freiburg W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Hoffenheim W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 1D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Freiburg W, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Hoffenheim W's 7, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.54 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Bundesliga Women match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing Over 2.5, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.54. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Freiburg W vs Hoffenheim W?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.54. Tip confidence rating: 85%.
What is Freiburg W's current form?
Freiburg W have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Hoffenheim W been performing recently?
Hoffenheim W have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Freiburg W lead with 3 wins versus Hoffenheim W's 7, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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