WON Tip WON Vikingur Reykjavik 4-0 Vestri
V

Vikingur Reykjavik

Home
W W W L D
4W 2D 4L ▲ Improving
VS
4-0
V
Vestri
Away
D L L L W
1W 3D 6L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Sunday, 29th March 2026
1
Backing Vikingur Reykjavik to win
Vikingur Reykjavik 50%
Draw 30%
Vestri 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 82.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -27.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Vikingur Reykjavik to win
1.21
Over 1.5 Goals95%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Vestri Competition: Iceland Super Cup Date: Sunday, 29th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Vikingur Reykjavik to win) Odds: 1.21 Confidence: 55% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%)
Head to Head
Record
4
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
Draws
0
Vestri
5
Meetings
3.2
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Vikingur Reykjavik won 4 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Vikingur Reykjavik
Metric
Vestri
1.6
Goals For / Game
1.3
1.5
Goals Against / Game
3
10%
Clean Sheets
0%
4-2-4
W — D — L
1-3-6
Win Rate
40%
10%
3.7
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
V0
V1
V2
V3
V4
V5
V0
0-0 2.5%
0-1 3.5%
0-2 2.4%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
V1
1-0 5.7%
1-1 8.0%
1-2 5.6%
1-3 2.6%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.3%
V2
2-0 6.5%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 6.4%
2-3 3.0%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.3%
V3
3-0 5.0%
3-1 7.0%
3-2 4.9%
3-3 2.3%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.2%
V4
4-0 2.9%
4-1 4.0%
4-2 2.8%
4-3 1.3%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.1%
V5
5-0 1.3%
5-1 1.9%
5-2 1.3%
5-3 0.6%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(9.2%) 3-1(7.0%) 2-0(6.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip V=Home goals ↓   V=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Vikingur Reykjavik Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Vestri Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Vikingur Reykjavik
Overall
4.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
5.0
Vestri
Overall
1.9
Scoring
4.3
Defence
0.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 21%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 29%
Home Win & Under 2.5 24%
Draw & Over 2.5 18%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
26.08.25
BK: Vikingur Reykjavik4
Vestri1
29.05.25
BK: Vestri0
Vikingur Reykjavik1
11.08.24
BK: Vikingur Reykjavik1
Vestri1
20.05.24
BK: Vestri1
Vikingur Reykjavik4
02.10.21
CUP: Vestri0
Vikingur Reykjavik3
Recent Form
Vikingur Reykjavik
04.03.26
CUP: Vikingur Reykjavik2
IR Reykjavik0
W
25.02.26
CUP: Vikingur Reykjavik3
Throttur1
W
19.02.26
CUP: Vikingur Reykjavik1
KR Reykjavik0
W
15.02.26
CUP: KA Akureyri2
Vikingur Reykjavik0
L
07.02.26
CUP: Vikingur Reykjavik1
Njardvik1
D
31.01.26
CUP: Vikingur Reykjavik2
Grindavik0
W
24.01.26
CUP: Vikingur Reykjavik1
Fram1
D
19.01.26
CUP: Fjolnir3
Vikingur Reykjavik4
W
14.01.26
CUP: Vikingur Reykjavik2
IR Reykjavik0
W
11.12.25
CUP: Leiknir2
Vikingur Reykjavik5
W
Vestri
17.03.26
CUP: Stjarnan2
Vestri2
D
28.02.26
CUP: Fram5
Vestri2
L
18.02.26
CUP: HK Kópavogur3
Vestri2
L
14.02.26
CUP: Vestri2
Keflavík3
L
07.02.26
CUP: Ægir1
Vestri2
W
25.10.25
BK: Vestri1
KR Reykjavik5
L
19.10.25
BK: Afturelding1
Vestri1
D
05.10.25
BK: KA Akureyri1
Vestri1
D
28.09.25
BK: Vestri0
Vestmannaeyjar5
L
20.09.25
BK: Vestri0
Akranes4
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Sunday, 29th March 2026, Vikingur Reykjavik host Vestri in Iceland Super Cup. We recommend Vikingur Reykjavik to win as the standout selection.

Vikingur Reykjavik arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Vestri are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 3D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Vikingur Reykjavik, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Vestri's 0, with 1 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: vikingur reykjavik to win at odds of 1.21 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Iceland Super Cup match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.21. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Vikingur Reykjavik vs Vestri?
Our selection is 1 — Vikingur Reykjavik to win, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 55%.
What is Vikingur Reykjavik's current form?
Vikingur Reykjavik have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Vestri been performing recently?
Vestri have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Vikingur Reykjavik lead with 4 wins versus Vestri's 0, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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