LOST Tip LOST South Sudan 0-1 Djibouti
S

South Sudan

Home
W L D L D
2W 3D 5L ▲ Improving
VS
0-1
D
Djibouti
Away
L L L L L
0W 0D 10L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Sunday, 29th March 2026
1
Backing South Sudan to win
South Sudan 50%
Draw 30%
Djibouti 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 74.1% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -25.1% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — South Sudan to win
1.35
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals80% BTTS — No65%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
South Sudan vs Djibouti Competition: AFCON Qualifiers Date: Sunday, 29th March 2026 Pick: 1 (South Sudan to win) Odds: 1.35 Confidence: 49% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: BTTS — No (65%)
Head to Head
Record
5
South Sudan
0
Draws
1
Djibouti
6
Meetings
3.5
Avg Goals
17%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip South Sudan won 5 of the last 6 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
South Sudan
Metric
Djibouti
1
Goals For / Game
0.3
1.7
Goals Against / Game
4.1
30%
Clean Sheets
0%
2-3-5
W — D — L
0-0-10
Win Rate
20%
0%
3.6
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
D0
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
S0
0-0 2.9%
0-1 2.9%
0-2 1.4%
0-3 0.5%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
S1
1-0 7.3%
1-1 7.3%
1-2 3.7%
1-3 1.2%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
S2
2-0 9.3%
2-1 9.3%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 1.6%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
S3
3-0 7.9%
3-1 7.9%
3-2 4.0%
3-3 1.3%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
S4
4-0 5.1%
4-1 5.1%
4-2 2.5%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 2.6%
5-1 2.6%
5-2 1.3%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-0(9.3%) 2-1(9.3%) 3-0(7.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   D=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
South Sudan Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Djibouti Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
South Sudan
Overall
2.9
Scoring
3.3
Defence
4.3
Djibouti
Overall
0.0
Scoring
1.0
Defence
0.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 37%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 28%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 20%
Draw & Over 2.5 28%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
26.03.26
AC QLF: Djibouti0
South Sudan4
27.03.22
AC QLF: South Sudan1
Djibouti0
23.03.22
AC QLF: Djibouti2
South Sudan4
28.03.17
AC QLF: South Sudan6
Djibouti0
22.03.17
AC QLF: Djibouti2
South Sudan0
15.11.23
CHA: South Sudan2
Djibouti0
Recent Form
South Sudan
26.03.26
AC QLF: Djibouti0
South Sudan4
W
25.11.25
ARC: Syria2
South Sudan0
L
13.10.25
WC QLF: South Sudan0
Togo0
D
10.10.25
WC QLF: South Sudan0
Senegal5
L
09.09.25
WC QLF: Mauritania0
South Sudan0
D
05.09.25
WC QLF: South Sudan1
DR Congo4
L
25.03.25
WC QLF: Sudan1
South Sudan1
D
21.03.25
WC QLF: DR Congo1
South Sudan0
L
28.12.24
ANC QLF: Rwanda2
South Sudan1
L
22.12.24
ANC QLF: South Sudan3
Rwanda2
W
Djibouti
26.03.26
AC QLF: Djibouti0
South Sudan4
L
26.11.25
ARC: Bahrain1
Djibouti0
L
17.11.25
FI: Morocco B7
Djibouti0
L
15.11.25
FI: Morocco B6
Djibouti0
L
12.10.25
WC QLF: Djibouti1
Sierra Leone2
L
08.10.25
WC QLF: Djibouti0
Egypt3
L
08.09.25
WC QLF: Guinea-Bissau2
Djibouti0
L
05.09.25
WC QLF: Djibouti0
Burkina Faso6
L
24.03.25
WC QLF: Ethiopia6
Djibouti1
L
21.03.25
WC QLF: Burkina Faso4
Djibouti1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Sunday, 29th March 2026, South Sudan host Djibouti in AFCON Qualifiers. We recommend South Sudan to win as the standout selection.

South Sudan arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Djibouti are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 0D 10L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour South Sudan, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Djibouti's 1, with 0 draws from 6 encounters. Both teams have scored in 17% of those meetings.

Our verdict: south sudan to win at odds of 1.35 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming AFCON Qualifiers match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.35. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for South Sudan vs Djibouti?
Our selection is 1 — South Sudan to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 49%.
What is South Sudan's current form?
South Sudan have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Djibouti been performing recently?
Djibouti have recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
South Sudan lead with 5 wins versus Djibouti's 1, with 0 draws across 6 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 17%.
⚠️
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