LOST Tip LOST Wolfsburg W 3-3 Union Berlin W
W

Wolfsburg W

Home
W W W W W
7W 2D 1L ▼ Declining
VS
3-3
U
Union Berlin W
Away
W D W D L
5W 3D 2L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Sunday, 29th March 2026
1
Backing Wolfsburg W to win
Wolfsburg W 50%
Draw 30%
Union Berlin W 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 79.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -19.4% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Wolfsburg W to win
1.26
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals85% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Wolfsburg W vs Union Berlin W Competition: Bundesliga Women Date: Sunday, 29th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Wolfsburg W to win) Odds: 1.26 Confidence: 60% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
Head to Head
Record
2
Wolfsburg W
0
Draws
1
Union Berlin W
3
Meetings
4.3
Avg Goals
33%
BTTS
67%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Wolfsburg W won 2 of the last 3 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Wolfsburg W
Metric
Union Berlin W
1.5
Goals For / Game
2.7
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.4
50%
Clean Sheets
10%
7-2-1
W — D — L
5-3-2
Win Rate
70%
50%
3.3
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
U0
U1
U2
U3
U4
U5
W0
0-0 3.9%
0-1 7.0%
0-2 6.3%
0-3 3.8%
0-4 1.7%
0-5 0.6%
W1
1-0 5.6%
1-1 10.1%
1-2 9.1%
1-3 5.5%
1-4 2.5%
1-5 0.9%
W2
2-0 4.1%
2-1 7.3%
2-2 6.6%
2-3 4.0%
2-4 1.8%
2-5 0.6%
W3
3-0 2.0%
3-1 3.6%
3-2 3.2%
3-3 1.9%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.3%
W4
4-0 0.7%
4-1 1.3%
4-2 1.2%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
W5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(7.3%) 1-0(5.6%) 2-0(4.1%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip W=Home goals ↓   U=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Wolfsburg W Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Union Berlin W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Wolfsburg W
Overall
7.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
7.0
Union Berlin W
Overall
5.9
Scoring
9.0
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 31%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 23%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
04.11.25
BUN: Union Berlin1
Wolfsburg4
10.08.25
CF: Wolfsburg0
Union Berlin2
08.10.17
POK: Union Berlin0
Wolfsburg6
Recent Form
Wolfsburg W
24.03.26
UWCL: Wolfsburg1
Lyon0
W
21.03.26
BUN: Hoffenheim0
Wolfsburg1
W
18.03.26
BUN: Jena0
Wolfsburg2
W
15.03.26
BUN: Wolfsburg2
Bayer Leverkusen1
W
11.03.26
POK: Wolfsburg1
Eintracht Frankfurt0
W
22.02.26
BUN: Bayern Munich4
Wolfsburg1
L
19.02.26
UWCL: Juventus0
Wolfsburg2
W
15.02.26
BUN: Wolfsburg1
SGS Essen1
D
12.02.26
UWCL: Wolfsburg2
Juventus2
D
02.02.26
BUN: Wolfsburg2
FC Köln1
W
Union Berlin W
23.03.26
BUN: Union Berlin4
Werder Bremen1
W
14.03.26
BUN: RB Leipzig2
Union Berlin2
D
20.02.26
BUN: Union Berlin2
FC Köln1
W
14.02.26
BUN: Freiburg1
Union Berlin1
D
08.02.26
BUN: Union Berlin1
Carl Zeiss Jena2
L
31.01.26
BUN: SGS Essen2
Union Berlin4
W
23.01.26
BUN: Union Berlin1
Bayer Leverkusen2
L
07.01.26
CF: Castellon0
Union Berlin8
W
20.12.25
BUN: 1. FC Nürnberg1
Union Berlin2
W
15.12.25
BUN: Union Berlin2
Eintracht Frankfurt2
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Sunday, 29th March 2026, Wolfsburg W host Union Berlin W in Bundesliga Women. We recommend Wolfsburg W to win as the standout selection.

Wolfsburg W arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Union Berlin W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 3D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Wolfsburg W, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Union Berlin W's 1, with 0 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 33% of those meetings.

Our verdict: wolfsburg w to win at odds of 1.26 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Bundesliga Women match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.26. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Wolfsburg W vs Union Berlin W?
Our selection is 1 — Wolfsburg W to win, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 60%.
What is Wolfsburg W's current form?
Wolfsburg W have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Union Berlin W been performing recently?
Union Berlin W have recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Wolfsburg W lead with 2 wins versus Union Berlin W's 1, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.
⚠️
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