WON Tip WON APR 1-0 Muhanga
A

APR

Home
W W W L D
4W 4D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
1-0
M
Muhanga
Away
L L W D D
2W 3D 5L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Sunday, 5th April 2026
1
Backing APR to win
APR 50%
Draw 30%
Muhanga 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 76.9% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -19.9% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — APR to win
1.30
Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
APR vs Muhanga Competition: Rwanda Premier League Date: Sunday, 5th April 2026 Pick: 1 (APR to win) Odds: 1.30 Confidence: 57% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
9
APR
0
Draws
1
Muhanga
10
Meetings
3.1
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip APR won 9 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
APR
Metric
Muhanga
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.1
1
Goals Against / Game
1.8
30%
Clean Sheets
0%
4-4-2
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate
40%
20%
2.7
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
A0
0-0 6.7%
0-1 7.1%
0-2 3.7%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 11.1%
1-1 11.6%
1-2 6.1%
1-3 2.1%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
A2
2-0 9.2%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 5.0%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
A3
3-0 5.0%
3-1 5.3%
3-2 2.8%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
A4
4-0 2.1%
4-1 2.2%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.1%) 2-1(9.6%) 2-0(9.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   M=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
APR Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Muhanga Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
APR
Overall
5.2
Scoring
5.0
Defence
6.7
Muhanga
Overall
2.9
Scoring
3.7
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 22%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 20%
Draw & Under 2.5 17%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
26.12.25
PL: AS Muhanga1
APR FC2
14.05.21
PL: APR FC3
AS Muhanga1
05.05.21
PL: AS Muhanga1
APR FC3
16.02.20
PL: AS Muhanga0
APR FC2
27.10.19
PL: APR FC2
AS Muhanga0
18.05.19
PL: AS Muhanga2
APR FC1
06.01.19
PL: APR FC2
AS Muhanga1
15.05.16
PL: AS Muhanga0
APR FC3
07.11.15
PL: APR FC3
AS Muhanga1
04.05.14
PL: APR FC3
AS Muhanga0
Recent Form
APR
20.03.26
PL: APR FC1
Amagaju FC0
W
17.03.26
CUP: APR FC4
Gasogi United0
W
14.03.26
PL: APR FC2
Musanze FC0
W
11.03.26
CUP: Gasogi United1
APR FC0
L
07.03.26
PL: Marines FC2
APR FC2
D
27.02.26
PL: APR FC2
Gorilla FC1
W
20.02.26
PL: Police FC1
APR FC1
D
14.02.26
PL: APR FC1
SC Kiyovu Sports1
D
10.02.26
PL: Al-Hilal S.C.2
APR FC0
L
07.02.26
PL: Bugesera FC2
APR FC2
D
Muhanga
22.03.26
PL: AS Muhanga0
Musanze FC1
L
19.03.26
PL: Al Merrikh SC3
AS Muhanga0
L
15.03.26
PL: AS Muhanga2
Mukura Victory Sports1
W
08.03.26
PL: AS Kigali2
AS Muhanga2
D
01.03.26
PL: AS Muhanga1
Police FC1
D
21.02.26
PL: AS Muhanga2
Rutsiro FC1
W
15.02.26
PL: Etincelles FC2
AS Muhanga1
L
08.02.26
PL: AS Muhanga1
Gasogi United1
D
14.01.26
PL: Al-Hilal S.C.3
AS Muhanga0
L
09.01.26
PL: AS Muhanga2
Gicumbi FC3
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Sunday, 5th April 2026, APR host Muhanga in Rwanda Premier League. We recommend APR to win as the standout selection.

APR arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Muhanga are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 3D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour APR, who lead the head-to-head with 9 wins to Muhanga's 1, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: apr to win at odds of 1.30 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Rwanda Premier League match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.30. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for APR vs Muhanga?
Our selection is 1 — APR to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 57%.
What is APR's current form?
APR have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Muhanga been performing recently?
Muhanga have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
APR lead with 9 wins versus Muhanga's 1, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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