WON Tip WON Levski Sofia 1-0 Arda
L

Levski Sofia

Home
D W W W L
6W 1D 3L ▲ Improving
VS
1-0
A
Arda
Away
W W W L D
6W 2D 2L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Thursday, 9th April 2026
1
Backing Levski Sofia to win
Levski Sofia 50%
Draw 20%
Arda 30%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 3.33
Implied Prob 70.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -14.4% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
6
Levski Sofia
4
Draws
0
Arda
10
Meetings
2.2
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Levski Sofia won 6 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Levski Sofia
Metric
Arda
1.8
Goals For / Game
1.5
1.1
Goals Against / Game
0.9
30%
Clean Sheets
40%
6-1-3
W — D — L
6-2-2
Win Rate
60%
60%
2.7
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
L0
0-0 7.1%
0-1 9.2%
0-2 6.0%
0-3 2.6%
0-4 0.8%
0-5 0.2%
L1
1-0 9.5%
1-1 12.4%
1-2 8.1%
1-3 3.5%
1-4 1.1%
1-5 0.3%
L2
2-0 6.4%
2-1 8.4%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 2.4%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.2%
L3
3-0 2.9%
3-1 3.8%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
L4
4-0 1.0%
4-1 1.3%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
L5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(9.5%) 2-1(8.4%) 2-0(6.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip L=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Levski Sofia Win
50%
2
Draw
20%
5
Arda Win
30%
3.33
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
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Team Ratings
Grades
Levski Sofia
Overall
6.3
Scoring
6.0
Defence
6.3
Arda
Overall
6.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
7.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Away Win & BTTS No 23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 20%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 25%
Away Win & Under 2.5 20%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
02.11.25
First League: Arda Kardzhali0
Levski Sofia3
14.05.25
First League: Arda Kardzhali0
Levski Sofia3
26.04.25
First League: Levski Sofia1
Arda Kardzhali1
16.03.25
First League: Arda Kardzhali1
Levski Sofia1
29.09.24
First League: Levski Sofia2
Arda Kardzhali1
06.07.24
Friendly: Levski Sofia0
Arda Kardzhali0
24.02.24
First League: Levski Sofia4
Arda Kardzhali0
01.11.23
First League: Arda Kardzhali0
Levski Sofia0
11.06.23
First League: Levski Sofia2
Arda Kardzhali0
19.03.23
First League: Arda Kardzhali0
Levski Sofia3
Recent Form
Levski Sofia
05.04.26
First League: Dobrudzha2
Levski Sofia2
D
21.03.26
First League: Levski Sofia2
Cherno More1
W
15.03.26
First League: Beroe0
Levski Sofia1
W
09.03.26
First League: Levski Sofia1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv0
W
05.03.26
First League: Ludogorets1
Levski Sofia0
L
01.03.26
First League: Levski Sofia4
Lokomotiv Sofia3
W
22.02.26
First League: CSKA 1948 Sofia1
Levski Sofia3
W
15.02.26
First League: Levski Sofia3
Botev Plovdiv0
W
11.02.26
Bulgarian Cup: Ludogorets1
Levski Sofia0
L
07.02.26
First League: Levski Sofia3
Botev Vratsa1
W
Arda
04.04.26
First League: Arda Kardzhali2
PFC Montana1
W
21.03.26
First League: Septemvri Sofia1
Arda Kardzhali4
W
16.03.26
First League: Arda Kardzhali2
Dobrudzha0
W
07.03.26
First League: Botev Vratsa1
Arda Kardzhali0
L
04.03.26
First League: Cherno More0
Arda Kardzhali0
D
27.02.26
First League: Arda Kardzhali1
Spartak Varna0
W
22.02.26
First League: Beroe0
Arda Kardzhali0
D
14.02.26
First League: Arda Kardzhali2
Slavia Sofia1
W
11.02.26
Bulgarian Cup: Botev Vratsa2
Arda Kardzhali3
W
06.02.26
First League: CSKA Sofia3
Arda Kardzhali1
L
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Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 9th April 2026, Levski Sofia host Arda in Bulgaria EFBET League. We recommend Levski Sofia to win as the standout selection.

Levski Sofia arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Arda are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 2D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Levski Sofia, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Arda's 0, with 4 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 30% of those meetings.

Our verdict: levski sofia to win at odds of 1.42 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Bulgaria EFBET League match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.42. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Levski Sofia vs Arda?
Our selection is 1 — Levski Sofia to win, priced at approximately 1.42. Tip confidence rating: 56%.
What is Levski Sofia's current form?
Levski Sofia have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Arda been performing recently?
Arda have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Levski Sofia lead with 6 wins versus Arda's 0, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
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