WON Tip WON Zimbru Chisinau 2-0 Milsami
Z

Zimbru Chisinau

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W W W W L
7W 2D 1L ▲ Improving
VS
2-0
M
Milsami
Away
L L D L L
2W 3D 5L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Wednesday, 6th May 2026
1
Backing Zimbru Chisinau to win
Zimbru Chisinau 50%
Draw 30%
Milsami 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 66.2% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -10.2% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Zimbru Chisinau to win
1.51
BTTS — No70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Zimbru Chisinau vs Milsami Competition: Moldovan Cup Date: Wednesday, 6th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Zimbru Chisinau to win) Odds: 1.51 Confidence: 56% Also: BTTS — No (70%)
Head to Head
Record
5
Zimbru Chisinau
1
Draws
4
Milsami
10
Meetings
3.1
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Neutral Zimbru Chisinau won 5 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Zimbru Chisinau
Metric
Milsami
2.7
Goals For / Game
0.8
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.2
50%
Clean Sheets
50%
7-2-1
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate
70%
20%
2.8
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
Z0
0-0 6.1%
0-1 5.2%
0-2 2.2%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
Z1
1-0 11.9%
1-1 10.1%
1-2 4.3%
1-3 1.2%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.0%
Z2
2-0 11.6%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 4.2%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.0%
Z3
3-0 7.5%
3-1 6.4%
3-2 2.7%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
Z4
4-0 3.7%
4-1 3.1%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
Z5
5-0 1.4%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.9%) 2-0(11.6%) 2-1(9.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip Z=Home goals ↓   M=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Zimbru Chisinau Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Milsami Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Zimbru Chisinau
Overall
7.6
Scoring
9.0
Defence
7.0
Milsami
Overall
2.9
Scoring
2.7
Defence
6.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 43%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 24%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
18.04.26SL
Zimbru Chisinau3
Milsami1
07.03.26SL
Milsami0
Zimbru Chisinau0
05.10.25SL
Milsami0
Zimbru Chisinau3
10.08.25SL
Zimbru Chisinau2
Milsami1
21.06.25SL
Milsami3
Zimbru Chisinau0
19.04.25SL
Milsami2
Zimbru Chisinau0
08.03.25SL
Zimbru Chisinau1
Milsami2
06.10.24SL
Milsami3
Zimbru Chisinau1
11.08.24SL
Zimbru Chisinau4
Milsami1
21.04.24SL
Zimbru Chisinau3
Milsami1
Recent Form
Zimbru Chisinau
02.05.26SL
Zimbru Chisinau4
Balti1
W
25.04.26SL
Dacia Buiucani0
Zimbru Chisinau3
W
21.04.26CUP
Politehnica UTM0
Zimbru Chisinau5
W
18.04.26SL
Zimbru Chisinau3
Milsami1
W
11.04.26SL
Petrocub3
Zimbru Chisinau0
L
05.04.26SL
Zimbru Chisinau2
Sheriff Tiraspol2
D
21.03.26SL
Balti0
Zimbru Chisinau2
W
14.03.26SL
Zimbru Chisinau3
Dacia Buiucani2
W
07.03.26SL
Milsami0
Zimbru Chisinau0
D
03.03.26CUP
Zimbru Chisinau5
Politehnica UTM0
W
Milsami
02.05.26SL
Milsami0
Petrocub3
L
26.04.26SL
Balti1
Milsami0
L
22.04.26CUP
Sparta Selemet0
Milsami0
D
18.04.26SL
Zimbru Chisinau3
Milsami1
L
11.04.26SL
Sheriff Tiraspol3
Milsami1
L
04.04.26SL
Milsami1
Dacia Buiucani0
W
21.03.26SL
Petrocub2
Milsami0
L
15.03.26SL
Milsami0
Balti0
D
07.03.26SL
Milsami0
Zimbru Chisinau0
D
03.03.26CUP
Milsami5
Sparta Selemet0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 6th May 2026, Zimbru Chisinau host Milsami in Moldovan Cup. We recommend Zimbru Chisinau to win as the standout selection.

Zimbru Chisinau arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Milsami are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 3D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Zimbru Chisinau, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Milsami's 4, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: zimbru chisinau to win at odds of 1.51 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Moldovan Cup match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.51. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Zimbru Chisinau vs Milsami?
Our selection is 1 — Zimbru Chisinau to win, priced at approximately 1.51. Tip confidence rating: 56%.
What is Zimbru Chisinau's current form?
Zimbru Chisinau have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Milsami been performing recently?
Milsami have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Zimbru Chisinau lead with 5 wins versus Milsami's 4, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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