WON Tip WON Waterhouse 4-0 Dunbeholden
W

Waterhouse

Home
W L L W W
6W 1D 3L → Steady
VS
4-0
D
Dunbeholden
Away
L L W L D
5W 1D 4L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Wednesday, 6th May 2026
1
Backing Waterhouse to win
Waterhouse 50%
Draw 30%
Dunbeholden 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 77.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -27.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
4
Waterhouse
4
Draws
2
Dunbeholden
10
Meetings
1.9
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Waterhouse won 4 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Waterhouse
Metric
Dunbeholden
1.7
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.4
40%
Clean Sheets
40%
6-1-3
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
60%
50%
2.6
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
D0
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
W0
0-0 7.4%
0-1 7.8%
0-2 4.1%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
W1
1-0 11.5%
1-1 12.1%
1-2 6.4%
1-3 2.2%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
W2
2-0 8.9%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 4.9%
2-3 1.7%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
W3
3-0 4.6%
3-1 4.8%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
W4
4-0 1.8%
4-1 1.9%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
W5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.5%) 2-1(9.4%) 2-0(8.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip W=Home goals ↓   D=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Waterhouse Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Dunbeholden Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
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Team Ratings
Grades
Waterhouse
Overall
6.3
Scoring
5.7
Defence
7.0
Dunbeholden
Overall
5.3
Scoring
4.0
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Home Win & BTTS No 28%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Away Win & BTTS No 23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 23%
Away Win & Under 2.5 19%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
08.02.26PL
Dunbeholden1
Waterhouse2
19.10.25PL
Waterhouse0
Dunbeholden0
04.05.25PL
Waterhouse2
Dunbeholden0
16.02.25PL
Dunbeholden1
Waterhouse0
08.12.24PL
Waterhouse3
Dunbeholden2
24.03.24PL
Waterhouse1
Dunbeholden0
27.12.23PL
Dunbeholden2
Waterhouse1
28.03.23PL
Waterhouse0
Dunbeholden0
28.12.22PL
Dunbeholden0
Waterhouse0
17.04.22PL
Dunbeholden2
Waterhouse2
Recent Form
Waterhouse
03.05.26PL
Waterhouse3
Chapelton0
W
28.04.26PL
Mount Pleasant2
Waterhouse1
L
24.04.26PL
Waterhouse1
Treasure Beach2
L
19.04.26PL
Harbour View0
Waterhouse1
W
16.04.26PL
Waterhouse1
Tivoli0
W
12.04.26PL
Racing United0
Waterhouse1
W
06.04.26PL
Waterhouse1
Arnett Gardens1
D
31.03.26PL
Waterhouse5
Spanish Town Police1
W
26.03.26PL
Portmore2
Waterhouse1
L
23.03.26PL
Waterhouse2
Cavalier1
W
Dunbeholden
03.05.26PL
Dunbeholden0
Mount Pleasant5
L
26.04.26PL
Treasure Beach1
Dunbeholden0
L
23.04.26PL
Dunbeholden4
Harbour View0
W
19.04.26PL
Tivoli2
Dunbeholden0
L
15.04.26PL
Racing United0
Dunbeholden0
D
12.04.26PL
Arnett Gardens1
Dunbeholden2
W
05.04.26PL
Spanish Town Police4
Dunbeholden1
L
29.03.26PL
Dunbeholden2
Portmore1
W
26.03.26PL
Cavalier0
Dunbeholden2
W
22.03.26PL
Dunbeholden1
Molynes0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 6th May 2026, Waterhouse host Dunbeholden in Jamaica Premier League. We recommend Waterhouse to win as the standout selection.

Waterhouse arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Dunbeholden are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Waterhouse, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Dunbeholden's 2, with 4 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: waterhouse to win at odds of 1.29 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Jamaica Premier League match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.29. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Waterhouse vs Dunbeholden?
Our selection is 1 — Waterhouse to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Waterhouse's current form?
Waterhouse have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Dunbeholden been performing recently?
Dunbeholden have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Waterhouse lead with 4 wins versus Dunbeholden's 2, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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