LOST Tip LOST Naestved 1-2 Hellerup
N

Naestved

Home
L W L D L
3W 4D 3L ▼ Declining
VS
1-2
H
Hellerup
Away
L L L L L
1W 0D 9L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Wednesday, 13th May 2026
1
Backing Naestved to win
Naestved 50%
Draw 30%
Hellerup 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 75.8% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -34.8% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Naestved to win
1.32
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Naestved vs Hellerup Competition: Denmark 2 Division Date: Wednesday, 13th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Naestved to win) Odds: 1.32 Confidence: 41% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
4
Naestved
2
Draws
4
Hellerup
10
Meetings
3.4
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Naestved won 4 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Naestved
Metric
Hellerup
0.9
Goals For / Game
0.8
1.3
Goals Against / Game
2.9
30%
Clean Sheets
0%
3-4-3
W — D — L
1-0-9
Win Rate
30%
10%
3
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
N0
0-0 5.2%
0-1 5.5%
0-2 2.9%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
N1
1-0 9.9%
1-1 10.4%
1-2 5.5%
1-3 1.9%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
N2
2-0 9.5%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.2%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
N3
3-0 6.0%
3-1 6.3%
3-2 3.3%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
N4
4-0 2.8%
4-1 3.0%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
N5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(9.9%) 2-1(9.9%) 2-0(9.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip N=Home goals ↓   H=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Naestved Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Hellerup Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Naestved
Overall
4.2
Scoring
3.0
Defence
5.7
Hellerup
Overall
1.0
Scoring
2.7
Defence
0.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Home Win & BTTS No 20%
Draw & BTTS Yes 20%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 23%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
01.05.262D
Hellerup1
Naestved2
06.04.262D
Naestved2
Hellerup1
08.08.252D
Hellerup2
Naestved1
28.02.25CF
Hellerup3
Naestved0
25.10.242D
Hellerup1
Naestved0
25.08.242D
Naestved0
Hellerup3
29.05.222D
Naestved2
Hellerup2
18.04.222D
Hellerup1
Naestved2
20.03.222D
Naestved4
Hellerup3
21.08.212D
Hellerup2
Naestved2
Recent Form
Naestved
09.05.262D
Naestved1
Vendsyssel3
L
01.05.262D
Hellerup1
Naestved2
W
24.04.262D
AB Copenhagen3
Naestved0
L
17.04.262D
Naestved0
Roskilde0
D
11.04.262D
Thisted FC2
Naestved0
L
06.04.262D
Naestved2
Hellerup1
W
02.04.262D
Roskilde2
Naestved3
W
29.03.262D
Naestved0
Brabrand0
D
21.03.262D
Skive0
Naestved0
D
15.03.262D
Naestved1
Vendsyssel1
D
Hellerup
08.05.262D
Hellerup1
Roskilde2
L
01.05.262D
Hellerup1
Naestved2
L
26.04.262D
Vendsyssel4
Hellerup1
L
19.04.262D
Thisted FC4
Hellerup0
L
10.04.262D
Hellerup1
AB Copenhagen5
L
06.04.262D
Naestved2
Hellerup1
L
01.04.262D
Hellerup2
Ishoj1
W
27.03.262D
Hellerup0
F. Amager3
L
21.03.262D
VSK Aarhus4
Hellerup1
L
13.03.262D
Hellerup0
Roskilde2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 13th May 2026, Naestved host Hellerup in Denmark 2 Division. We recommend Naestved to win as the standout selection.

Naestved arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Hellerup are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 0D 9L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Naestved, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Hellerup's 4, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: naestved to win at odds of 1.32 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Denmark 2 Division match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.32. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Naestved vs Hellerup?
Our selection is 1 — Naestved to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 41%.
What is Naestved's current form?
Naestved have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Hellerup been performing recently?
Hellerup have recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Naestved lead with 4 wins versus Hellerup's 4, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
⚠️
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