WON Tip WON Man City 3-0 Crystal Palace
M

Man City

Home
W D W W W
7W 2D 1L โ–ผ Declining
VS
3-0
C
Crystal Palace
Away
D W L W L
5W 2D 3L โ–ฒ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection ยท Wednesday, 13th May 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob 70.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +8.6% Value detected
Kelly % 29% Suggested bankroll %
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Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 โ€” over 2.5 goals
1.42
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals90%
๐Ÿ“‹ Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Man City vs Crystal Palace Competition: Premier League Date: Wednesday, 13th May 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.42 Confidence: 79% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
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Head to Head
Record
5
Man City
3
Draws
2
Crystal Palace
10
Meetings
3.4
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 60% of H2H.
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Man City
Metric
Crystal Palace
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.6
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.4
50%
Clean Sheets
20%
7-2-1
W โ€” D โ€” L
5-2-3
Win Rate
70%
50%
3
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
M0
0-0 5.0%
0-1 6.0%
0-2 3.6%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
M1
1-0 9.0%
1-1 10.8%
1-2 6.5%
1-3 2.6%
1-4 0.8%
1-5 0.2%
M2
2-0 8.1%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 5.8%
2-3 2.3%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
M3
3-0 4.8%
3-1 5.8%
3-2 3.5%
3-3 1.4%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
M4
4-0 2.2%
4-1 2.6%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
M5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(10.8%) 2-1(9.7%) 1-0(9.0%)
โ–  Best match โ–  Possible โ–  Low ยท โ–  Contradicts tip M=Home goals โ†“   C=Away โ†’
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Team Ratings
Grades
Man City
Overall
7.6 โ–ผ
Scoring
7.3 โ–ผ
Defence
7.3 โ–ผ
Crystal Palace
Overall
5.6 โ–ฒ
Scoring
5.3 โ–ฒ
Defence
5.3 โ–ฒ
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Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Home Win & BTTS No 20%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 40%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 29%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
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Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
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Kelly %
โ€”
Stake
โ€”
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
14.12.25PL
Crystal Palace0
Manchester City3
17.05.25FAC
Crystal Palace1
Manchester City0
12.04.25PL
Manchester City5
Crystal Palace2
07.12.24PL
Crystal Palace2
Manchester City2
06.04.24PL
Crystal Palace2
Manchester City4
16.12.23PL
Manchester City2
Crystal Palace2
11.03.23PL
Crystal Palace0
Manchester City1
27.08.22PL
Manchester City4
Crystal Palace2
14.03.22PL
Crystal Palace0
Manchester City0
30.10.21PL
Manchester City0
Crystal Palace2
Recent Form
Man City
09.05.26PL
Manchester City3
Brentford0
W
04.05.26PL
Everton3
Manchester City3
D
25.04.26FAC
Manchester City2
Southampton1
W
22.04.26PL
Burnley0
Manchester City1
W
19.04.26PL
Manchester City2
Arsenal1
W
12.04.26PL
Chelsea0
Manchester City3
W
04.04.26FAC
Manchester City4
Liverpool0
W
22.03.26EFL
Arsenal0
Manchester City2
W
17.03.26CL
Manchester City1
Real Madrid2
L
14.03.26PL
West Ham1
Manchester City1
D
Crystal Palace
10.05.26PL
Crystal Palace2
Everton2
D
07.05.26UECL
Crystal Palace2
Shakhtar Donetsk1
W
03.05.26PL
Bournemouth3
Crystal Palace0
L
30.04.26UECL
Shakhtar Donetsk1
Crystal Palace3
W
25.04.26PL
Liverpool3
Crystal Palace1
L
20.04.26PL
Crystal Palace0
West Ham0
D
16.04.26UECL
Fiorentina2
Crystal Palace1
L
12.04.26PL
Crystal Palace2
Newcastle1
W
09.04.26UECL
Crystal Palace3
Fiorentina0
W
19.03.26UECL
AEK Larnaca1
Crystal Palace2
W
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Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 13th May 2026, Man City host Crystal Palace in Premier League. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Man City arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Crystal Palace are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 2D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Man City, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Crystal Palace's 2, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.42 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Premier League match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing Over 2.5, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.42. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Man City vs Crystal Palace?
Our selection is Over 2.5 โ€” over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.42. Tip confidence rating: 79%.
What is Man City's current form?
Man City have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Crystal Palace been performing recently?
Crystal Palace have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Man City lead with 5 wins versus Crystal Palace's 2, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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