A
Auda
Home
D
W
L
D
W
5W 2D 3L
โผ Declining
VS
โ
4:00 pm
Skonto stadions (Riga)
R
Riga
Away
D
W
W
W
W
8W 2D 0L
โผ Declining
Implied Prob
68%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
+14%
Value detected
Kelly %
43.7%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 โ over 2.5 goals
1.47
Over 2.5 Goals65%
Over 1.5 Goals85%
๐ Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Auda vs Riga
Competition: Latvia Virsliga
Date: Monday, 29th June 2026
KO: 4:00 pm
Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals)
Odds: 1.47
Confidence: 82%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%)
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Auda
2
Draws
7
Riga
10
Meetings
3.9
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Over 2.5 in 90% of H2H.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Auda
Metric
Riga
1.8
Goals For / Game
2.7
1.1
Goals Against / Game
0.7
50%
Clean Sheets
40%
5-2-3
W โ D โ L
8-2-0
Win Rate
3.2
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
A0
0-0
4.3%
0-1
8.1%
0-2
7.7%
0-3
4.9%
0-4
2.3%
0-5
0.9%
A1
1-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
1-3
6.1%
1-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
A2
2-0
3.4%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
6.0%
2-3
3.8%
2-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
A3
3-0
1.4%
3-1
2.7%
3-2
2.5%
3-3
1.6%
3-4
0.8%
3-5
0.3%
A4
4-0
0.4%
4-1
0.8%
4-2
0.8%
4-3
0.5%
4-4
0.2%
4-5
0.1%
A5
5-0
0.1%
5-1
0.2%
5-2
0.2%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-1(10.2%)
1-2(9.7%)
0-1(8.1%)
โ Best match
โ Possible
โ Low ยท โ Contradicts tip
A=Home goals โ R=Away โ
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
17%
Home Win & BTTS No
17%
Draw & BTTS Yes
7%
Draw & BTTS No
7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
27%
Away Win & BTTS No
27%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
21%
Home Win & Under 2.5
12%
Draw & Over 2.5
8%
Draw & Under 2.5
5%
Away Win & Over 2.5
35%
Away Win & Under 2.5
19%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ
Kelly %
โ
Stake
โ
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Riga FC4
Auda1
Auda1
Riga FC2
Riga FC4
Auda1
Riga FC1
Auda2
Riga FC6
Auda0
Auda1
Riga FC3
Auda1
Riga FC3
Riga FC2
Auda2
Auda2
Riga FC2
Riga FC1
Auda0
Recent Form
Auda
Grobina0
Auda0
Super Nova0
Auda2
Tukums 20002
Auda1
Auda1
Jelgava1
Auda2
Ogre United0
BFC Daugavpils0
Auda1
Auda3
FK Liepaja1
Auda0
RFS3
Riga FC4
Auda1
Auda7
Grobina0
Riga
BFC Daugavpils0
Riga FC0
Riga FC4
FK Liepaja0
Riga FC2
RFS1
Ogre United1
Riga FC4
Riga FC2
Grobina0
Riga FC3
Super Nova0
Tukums 20001
Riga FC3
Riga FC2
Jelgava2
Riga FC4
Auda1
BFC Daugavpils1
Riga FC3
Auda (Home)
Auda1
Jelgava1
Auda2
Ogre United0
Auda3
FK Liepaja1
Auda0
RFS3
Auda7
Grobina0
Auda2
Tukums 20001
Auda2
BFC Daugavpils3
Auda1
Riga FC2
Auda2
Super Nova1
Auda1
Dinamo Tbilisi0
Riga (Away)
BFC Daugavpils0
Riga FC0
Ogre United1
Riga FC4
Tukums 20001
Riga FC3
BFC Daugavpils1
Riga FC3
RFS3
Riga FC3
Grobina0
Riga FC3
Super Nova1
Riga FC4
Jelgava0
Riga FC8
Legia3
Riga FC1
Auda1
Riga FC2
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Monday, 29th June 2026, Auda host Riga at Skonto stadions (Riga) in Latvia Virsliga. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.
Auda arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Riga are travelling well, with a record of 8W 2D 0L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Auda, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Riga's 7, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.
Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.47 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Latvia Virsliga match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is Over 2.5 at @1.47, sitting at roughly 90% in our model. The match gets going at 4:00 pm over at Skonto stadions (Riga).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today โ but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Auda vs Riga?
Our selection is Over 2.5 โ over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.47. Tip confidence rating: 82%.
What is Auda's current form?
Auda have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Riga been performing recently?
Riga have recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Auda lead with 1 wins versus Riga's 7, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
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