Strong Signal 83% Confidence
A

Aarhus Fremad

Home
L L D W W
4W 2D 4L ▼ Declining
VS
11:00 am
N/A
S
Silkeborg
Away
L L W L L
5W 1D 4L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Wednesday, 8th July 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob 72.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +10.5% Value detected
Kelly % 38.3% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.38
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Aarhus Fremad vs Silkeborg Competition: Club Friendly Date: Wednesday, 8th July 2026 KO: 11:00 am Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.38 Confidence: 83% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
2
Aarhus Fremad
1
Draws
7
Silkeborg
10
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 80% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Aarhus Fremad
Metric
Silkeborg
1.8
Goals For / Game
2.4
1.1
Goals Against / Game
2.1
40%
Clean Sheets
10%
4-2-4
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
40%
50%
3.7
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
A0
0-0 2.5%
0-1 4.3%
0-2 3.8%
0-3 2.2%
0-4 1.0%
0-5 0.3%
A1
1-0 4.8%
1-1 8.4%
1-2 7.4%
1-3 4.3%
1-4 1.9%
1-5 0.7%
A2
2-0 4.7%
2-1 8.2%
2-2 7.2%
2-3 4.2%
2-4 1.8%
2-5 0.6%
A3
3-0 3.1%
3-1 5.4%
3-2 4.7%
3-3 2.7%
3-4 1.2%
3-5 0.4%
A4
4-0 1.5%
4-1 2.6%
4-2 2.3%
4-3 1.3%
4-4 0.6%
4-5 0.2%
A5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-1(8.4%) 2-1(8.2%) 1-2(7.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Aarhus Fremad
Overall
4.6
Scoring
6.0
Defence
6.3
Silkeborg
Overall
5.3
Scoring
8.0
Defence
3.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Home Win & BTTS No 15%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 29%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 36%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
04.07.25CF
Silkeborg1
Aarhus Fremad3
31.01.23CF
Silkeborg2
Aarhus Fremad1
13.08.08CUP
Aarhus Fremad1
Silkeborg3
20.03.081D
Silkeborg0
Aarhus Fremad0
13.10.071D
Aarhus Fremad1
Silkeborg3
17.04.062DIV
Aarhus Fremad3
Silkeborg1
13.08.052DIV
Silkeborg3
Aarhus Fremad2
23.05.041D
Silkeborg5
Aarhus Fremad0
06.09.031D
Aarhus Fremad0
Silkeborg3
18.04.01CUP
Aarhus Fremad0
Silkeborg1
Recent Form
Aarhus Fremad
04.07.26CF
Esbjerg2
Aarhus Fremad0
L
26.06.26CF
Aarhus Fremad1
Brann2
L
30.05.261D
B.932
Aarhus Fremad2
D
22.05.261D
Aarhus Fremad5
Aalborg0
W
14.05.261D
Hobro0
Aarhus Fremad3
W
09.05.261D
Aarhus Fremad0
Koge0
D
01.05.261D
Middelfart0
Aarhus Fremad1
W
26.04.261D
Aarhus Fremad0
Hobro1
L
22.04.261D
Aarhus Fremad5
Middelfart1
W
18.04.261D
Aalborg3
Aarhus Fremad1
L
Silkeborg
04.07.26CF
Midtjylland4
Silkeborg2
L
27.06.26CF
Silkeborg1
Fredericia2
L
01.06.26CF
Young Boys1
Silkeborg8
W
17.05.26SL
Fredericia4
Silkeborg1
L
10.05.26SL
Silkeborg0
FC Copenhagen4
L
03.05.26SL
Odense2
Silkeborg3
W
26.04.26SL
Silkeborg2
Randers FC0
W
22.04.26SL
Vejle1
Silkeborg2
W
19.04.26SL
Silkeborg2
Fredericia2
D
12.04.26SL
Silkeborg3
Odense1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 8th July 2026, Aarhus Fremad host Silkeborg at N/A in Club Friendly. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Aarhus Fremad arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Silkeborg are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Aarhus Fremad, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Silkeborg's 7, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.38 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Let me be honest with you about how this Club Friendly match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.

The home team rolls in on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.

Across from them, the away side brings 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.

Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is Over 2.5 at @1.38, sitting at roughly 90% in our model. The match gets going at 11:00 am over at N/A.

That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Aarhus Fremad vs Silkeborg?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 83%.
What is Aarhus Fremad's current form?
Aarhus Fremad have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Silkeborg been performing recently?
Silkeborg have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Aarhus Fremad lead with 2 wins versus Silkeborg's 7, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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