WON Tip WON Al Talaba 2-1 Al Najaf
A

Al Talaba

Home
L D W D W
5W 3D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
2-1
A
Al Najaf
Away
L L W L D
1W 2D 7L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Wednesday, 8th April 2026
1
Backing Al Talaba to win
Al Talaba 50%
Draw 30%
Al Najaf 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 74.1% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -24.1% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
5
Al Talaba
1
Draws
4
Al Najaf
10
Meetings
2.3
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Neutral Al Talaba won 5 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Talaba
Metric
Al Najaf
1.4
Goals For / Game
0.7
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.6
40%
Clean Sheets
0%
5-3-2
W — D — L
1-2-7
Win Rate
50%
10%
2.3
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 10.0%
0-1 8.0%
0-2 3.2%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
A1
1-0 15.0%
1-1 12.0%
1-2 4.8%
1-3 1.3%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.0%
A2
2-0 11.3%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 3.6%
2-3 1.0%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
A3
3-0 5.6%
3-1 4.5%
3-2 1.8%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 2.1%
4-1 1.7%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(15.0%) 2-0(11.3%) 2-1(9.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Al Talaba Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Al Najaf Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
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Team Ratings
Grades
Al Talaba
Overall
5.9
Scoring
4.7
Defence
7.0
Al Najaf
Overall
1.6
Scoring
2.3
Defence
4.7
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Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Home Win & BTTS No 27%
Draw & BTTS Yes 16%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 35%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 17%
Away Win & Over 2.5 5%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
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Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
26.10.25
Stars League: Al-Najaf1
Al-Talaba0
03.07.25
Stars League: Al-Najaf2
Al-Talaba0
04.01.25
Stars League: Al-Talaba2
Al-Najaf1
08.05.24
Stars League: Al-Najaf2
Al-Talaba0
09.03.24
Stars League: Al-Talaba2
Al-Najaf1
21.07.23
Stars League: Al-Najaf1
Al-Talaba2
01.03.23
Stars League: Al-Talaba1
Al-Najaf1
14.02.22
Stars League: Al-Najaf1
Al-Talaba3
26.09.21
Stars League: Al-Talaba1
Al-Najaf0
27.04.21
Stars League: Al-Najaf2
Al-Talaba0
Recent Form
Al Talaba
04.04.26
Stars League: Duhok SC1
Al-Talaba SC0
L
30.03.26
Stars League: Al-Talaba SC0
Al-Naft SC0
D
25.03.26
Stars League: Al-Talaba SC2
Amanat Baghdad1
W
17.03.26
Stars League: Al-Shorta SC3
Al-Talaba SC3
D
12.03.26
Stars League: Al-Kahrabaa1
Al-Talaba SC2
W
06.03.26
Stars League: Al-Talaba SC2
Al-Qasim SC0
W
28.02.26
Stars League: Naft Maysan0
Al-Talaba SC1
W
20.02.26
Stars League: Al-Talaba SC1
Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya2
L
13.02.26
Stars League: Al-Karkh SC0
Al-Talaba SC2
W
05.02.26
Stars League: Al-Karma SC1
Al-Talaba SC1
D
Al Najaf
04.04.26
Stars League: Al-Najaf SC1
Al-Shorta SC3
L
31.03.26
Stars League: Al-Gharraf SC1
Al-Najaf SC0
L
27.03.26
Stars League: Diyala SC1
Al-Najaf SC2
W
17.03.26
Stars League: Al-Najaf SC1
Al-Mosul SC2
L
13.03.26
Stars League: Al-Naft SC1
Al-Najaf SC1
D
06.03.26
Stars League: Al-Najaf SC0
Al-Minaa SC1
L
28.02.26
Stars League: Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya2
Al-Najaf SC0
L
20.02.26
Stars League: Newroz SC2
Al-Najaf SC0
L
14.02.26
Stars League: Al-Najaf SC1
Al-Kahrabaa SC2
L
05.02.26
Stars League: Al-Najaf SC1
Al-Qasim SC1
D
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Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 8th April 2026, Al Talaba host Al Najaf in Iraq Stars League. We recommend Al Talaba to win as the standout selection.

Al Talaba arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Al Najaf are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 2D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Talaba, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Al Najaf's 4, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al talaba to win at odds of 1.35 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Iraq Stars League match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.35. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Talaba vs Al Najaf?
Our selection is 1 — Al Talaba to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Al Talaba's current form?
Al Talaba have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Najaf been performing recently?
Al Najaf have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Talaba lead with 5 wins versus Al Najaf's 4, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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