A
Atletico GO
Home
D
D
W
D
L
2W 5D 2L
▲ Improving
VS
—
8:00 pm
Estádio Antonio Accioly (Goiânia)
P
Ponte Prata
Away
L
L
L
D
L
2W 1D 7L
▲ Improving
Atletico GO
50%
Draw
20%
Ponte Prata
30%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
5
A Fair Odds
3.33
Implied Prob
70.4%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-21.4%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
8
Atletico GO
2
Draws
0
Ponte Prata
10
Meetings
2.4
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Atletico GO won 8 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Atletico GO
Metric
Ponte Prata
1.1
Goals For / Game
0.8
1.1
Goals Against / Game
2.2
22%
Clean Sheets
20%
2-5-2
W — D — L
2-1-7
Win Rate
2.6
Avg Goals
74%
Over 1.5
53%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
A0
0-0
7.4%
0-1
7.1%
0-2
3.4%
0-3
1.1%
0-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
A1
1-0
12.3%
1-1
11.6%
1-2
5.5%
1-3
1.8%
1-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
A2
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
A3
3-0
5.6%
3-1
5.3%
3-2
2.5%
3-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
3-5
0.0%
A4
4-0
2.3%
4-1
2.2%
4-2
1.0%
4-3
0.3%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
A5
5-0
0.8%
5-1
0.7%
5-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(12.3%)
2-0(10.1%)
2-1(9.6%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
A=Home goals ↓ P=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Atletico GO Win
2
50%
Draw
5
20%
Ponte Prata Win
3.33
30%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
17%
Home Win & BTTS No
13%
Draw & BTTS Yes
25%
Draw & BTTS No
18%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
16%
Away Win & BTTS No
11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
16%
Home Win & Under 2.5
14%
Draw & Over 2.5
23%
Draw & Under 2.5
20%
Away Win & Over 2.5
14%
Away Win & Under 2.5
13%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Atletico GO1
Ponte Preta0
Ponte Preta0
Atletico GO2
Atletico GO1
Ponte Preta0
Atletico GO0
Ponte Preta0
Ponte Preta0
Atletico GO0
Atletico GO2
Ponte Preta0
Ponte Preta1
Atletico GO3
Ponte Preta1
Atletico GO3
Atletico GO3
Ponte Preta0
Ponte Preta3
Atletico GO4
Recent Form
Atletico GO
Sport Recife1
Atletico GO1
Atletico GO3
CRB3
America MG1
Atletico GO2
Atletico GO1
Goias1
Atletico GO0
Sao Bernardo1
Criciuma1
Atletico GO1
Ceara0
Atletico GO1
Atletico GO0
Juventude0
Atletico GO1
Gama2
Ponte Prata
Ponte Preta0
Novorizontino2
Juventude3
Ponte Preta0
Ponte Preta1
Cuiaba2
Ponte Preta0
Botafogo SP0
CRB4
Ponte Preta2
Ponte Preta1
Londrina4
Ponte Preta1
Sport Recife3
Sao Bernardo3
Ponte Preta0
Ponte Preta1
America MG0
Avai1
Ponte Preta2
Atletico GO (Home)
Atletico GO3
CRB3
Atletico GO1
Goias1
Atletico GO0
Sao Bernardo1
Atletico GO0
Juventude0
Atletico GO1
Gama2
Atletico GO2
Avai1
Atletico GO2
Londrina1
Atletico GO1
Cuiaba0
Atletico GO1
Nautico2
Ponte Prata (Away)
Juventude3
Ponte Preta0
CRB4
Ponte Preta2
Sao Bernardo3
Ponte Preta0
Avai1
Ponte Preta2
Nautico1
Ponte Preta0
Athletic Club2
Ponte Preta1
Atletico GO1
Ponte Preta0
Portuguesa2
Ponte Preta0
Guarani1
Ponte Preta0
Capivariano2
Ponte Preta0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Sunday, 28th June 2026, Atletico GO host Ponte Prata at Estádio Antonio Accioly (Goiânia) in Brazil Serie B. We recommend Atletico GO to win as the standout selection.
Atletico GO arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats from their last 9 outings.
Ponte Prata are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 1D 7L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Atletico GO, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to Ponte Prata's 0, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 30% of those meetings.
Our verdict: atletico go to win at odds of 1.42 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Brazil Serie B match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.42, sitting at roughly 50,20,30% in our model. The match gets going at 8:00 pm over at Estádio Antonio Accioly (Goiânia).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Atletico GO vs Ponte Prata?
Our selection is 1 — Atletico GO to win, priced at approximately 1.42. Tip confidence rating: 49%.
What is Atletico GO's current form?
Atletico GO have won 2, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 9 matches.
How has Ponte Prata been performing recently?
Ponte Prata have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Atletico GO lead with 8 wins versus Ponte Prata's 0, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
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