U
U. De Chile
Home
D
W
W
D
D
5W 3D 2L
▲ Improving
VS
—
10:30 pm
Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos (Santiago de Chile)
S
San Felipe
Away
W
D
W
L
W
4W 2D 4L
→ Steady
U. De Chile
50%
Draw
30%
San Felipe
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
75.8%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-17.8%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
8
U. De Chile
1
Draws
1
San Felipe
10
Meetings
2.4
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
U. De Chile won 8 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
U. De Chile
Metric
San Felipe
2.1
Goals For / Game
1.1
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.6
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
5-3-2
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate
3
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
U0
0-0
5.2%
0-1
5.8%
0-2
3.2%
0-3
1.2%
0-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
U1
1-0
9.7%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
5.9%
1-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
U2
2-0
9.0%
2-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
2-3
2.0%
2-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
U3
3-0
5.5%
3-1
6.1%
3-2
3.3%
3-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
U4
4-0
2.6%
4-1
2.8%
4-2
1.6%
4-3
0.6%
4-4
0.2%
4-5
0.0%
U5
5-0
1.0%
5-1
1.0%
5-2
0.6%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
2-1(9.9%)
1-0(9.7%)
2-0(9.0%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
U=Home goals ↓ S=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
U. De Chile Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
San Felipe Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
19%
Home Win & BTTS No
24%
Draw & BTTS Yes
10%
Draw & BTTS No
12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
16%
Away Win & BTTS No
19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
26%
Home Win & Under 2.5
17%
Draw & Over 2.5
13%
Draw & Under 2.5
9%
Away Win & Over 2.5
21%
Away Win & Under 2.5
14%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
U. De Chile2
San Felipe0
San Felipe0
U. De Chile1
San Felipe0
U. De Chile3
U. De Chile1
San Felipe0
San Felipe0
U. De Chile1
U. De Chile1
San Felipe1
San Felipe1
U. De Chile2
U. De Chile0
San Felipe2
San Felipe1
U. De Chile2
U. De Chile4
San Felipe2
Recent Form
U. De Chile
Union La Calera3
U. De Chile3
U. De Chile4
S. Wanderers1
U. De Chile2
O’Higgins0
Union La Calera2
U. De Chile2
U. De Chile2
A. Italiano2
U. De Chile2
D. Concepcion1
Cobresal1
U. De Chile0
Union La Calera1
U. De Chile0
La Serena0
U. De Chile5
U. De Chile1
U. Catolica0
San Felipe
Union La Calera0
San Felipe2
U. Espanola2
San Felipe2
San Felipe1
D. Puerto Montt0
Deportes Temuco5
San Felipe0
San Felipe2
Rangers1
Copiapo2
San Felipe1
San Luis4
San Felipe0
San Felipe0
Magallanes1
CD Santa Cruz1
San Felipe3
San Felipe0
Curico Unido0
U. De Chile (Home)
U. De Chile4
S. Wanderers1
U. De Chile2
O’Higgins0
U. De Chile2
A. Italiano2
U. De Chile2
D. Concepcion1
U. De Chile1
U. Catolica0
U. De Chile4
La Serena0
U. De Chile0
Union La Calera1
U. De Chile2
La Serena2
U. De Chile1
U. De Concepcion1
U. De Chile1
Palestino2
San Felipe (Away)
Union La Calera0
San Felipe2
U. Espanola2
San Felipe2
Deportes Temuco5
San Felipe0
Copiapo2
San Felipe1
San Luis4
San Felipe0
CD Santa Cruz1
San Felipe3
Cobreloa2
San Felipe0
Recoleta2
San Felipe0
Deportes Iquique5
San Felipe0
S. Wanderers3
San Felipe1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Sunday, 28th June 2026, U. De Chile host San Felipe at Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos (Santiago de Chile) in Copa Chile. We recommend U. De Chile to win as the standout selection.
U. De Chile arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.
San Felipe are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour U. De Chile, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to San Felipe's 1, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.
Our verdict: u. de chile to win at odds of 1.32 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Copa Chile match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 2 wins, 3 draws from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.32, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 10:30 pm over at Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos (Santiago de Chile).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for U. De Chile vs San Felipe?
Our selection is 1 — U. De Chile to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is U. De Chile's current form?
U. De Chile have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has San Felipe been performing recently?
San Felipe have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
U. De Chile lead with 8 wins versus San Felipe's 1, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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