H
HJS W
Home
L
W
W
L
W
6W 0D 4L
▲ Improving
VS
—
1:00 pm
Pullerin kenttä (Hämeenlinna)
T
TPS W
Away
L
W
D
D
L
1W 3D 6L
→ Steady
HJS W
50%
Draw
30%
TPS W
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
73.5%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-20.5%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — HJS W to win
1.36
Over 2.5 Goals65%
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
HJS W vs TPS W
Competition: Finland Kansallilen Women
Date: Sunday, 28th June 2026
KO: 1:00 pm
Pick: 1 (HJS W to win)
Odds: 1.36
Confidence: 53%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%)
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Head to Head
Record
1
HJS W
0
Draws
1
TPS W
2
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral
HJS W won 1 of the last 2 meetings (0 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
HJS W
Metric
TPS W
1.8
Goals For / Game
1.1
1.4
Goals Against / Game
2.2
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-0-4
W — D — L
1-3-6
Win Rate
3.3
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
H0
0-0
3.9%
0-1
4.9%
0-2
3.0%
0-3
1.3%
0-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
H1
1-0
7.8%
1-1
9.7%
1-2
6.1%
1-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
H2
2-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
H3
3-0
5.2%
3-1
6.5%
3-2
4.0%
3-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
H4
4-0
2.6%
4-1
3.2%
4-2
2.0%
4-3
0.8%
4-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
H5
5-0
1.0%
5-1
1.3%
5-2
0.8%
5-3
0.3%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
2-1(9.7%)
1-0(7.8%)
2-0(7.8%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
H=Home goals ↓ T=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
HJS W Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
TPS W Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
39%
Home Win & BTTS No
32%
Draw & BTTS Yes
10%
Draw & BTTS No
8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
6%
Away Win & BTTS No
5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
46%
Home Win & Under 2.5
25%
Draw & Over 2.5
12%
Draw & Under 2.5
6%
Away Win & Over 2.5
7%
Away Win & Under 2.5
4%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
TPS0
HJS1
HJS2
TPS3
Recent Form
HJS W
Keski-Uusimaa2
HJS1
HJS2
JyPK1
HJS4
KTP0
Honka1
HJS0
HJS3
HJK Akatemia2
ONS Oulu2
HJS1
HJS0
EBK3
Lahti0
HJS2
TPS0
HJS1
HJS4
Keski-Uusimaa3
TPS W
HJK Akatemia4
TPS1
TPS2
EBK0
TPS0
Honka0
ONS Oulu1
TPS1
KTP2
TPS1
Keski-Uusimaa3
TPS1
TPS4
Lahti4
JyPK4
TPS0
TPS0
HJS1
EBK3
TPS1
HJS W (Home)
HJS2
JyPK1
HJS4
KTP0
HJS3
HJK Akatemia2
HJS0
EBK3
HJS4
Keski-Uusimaa3
HJS5
Honka1
HJS2
TPS3
HJS3
TJK1
HJS1
Kuusysi Lahti0
HJS0
Merilappi10
TPS W (Away)
HJK Akatemia4
TPS1
ONS Oulu1
TPS1
KTP2
TPS1
Keski-Uusimaa3
TPS1
JyPK4
TPS0
EBK3
TPS1
Honka4
TPS0
RoPS Rovaniemi1
TPS6
ONS Oulu2
TPS1
Lahti3
TPS2
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Sunday, 28th June 2026, HJS W host TPS W at Pullerin kenttä (Hämeenlinna) in Finland Kansallilen Women. We recommend HJS W to win as the standout selection.
HJS W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.
TPS W are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 3D 6L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour HJS W, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to TPS W's 1, with 0 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.
Our verdict: hjs w to win at odds of 1.36 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Finland Kansallilen Women match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.36, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 1:00 pm over at Pullerin kenttä (Hämeenlinna).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for HJS W vs TPS W?
Our selection is 1 — HJS W to win, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is HJS W's current form?
HJS W have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has TPS W been performing recently?
TPS W have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
HJS W lead with 1 wins versus TPS W's 1, with 0 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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