C
Celtic
Home
D
D
L
D
W
6W 3D 1L
→ Steady
VS
—
7:30 pm
—
Celtic Park (Glasgow)
D
Dundee FC
Away
W
L
L
W
W
5W 1D 3L
▲ Improving
Implied Prob
72.5%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
+4.5%
Value detected
Kelly %
16.5%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.38
Over 2.5 Goals79%
Over 1.5 Goals100%
BTTS — Yes78%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Celtic vs Dundee FC
Competition: Scotland Premiership
Date: Monday, 3rd August 2026
KO: 7:30 pm
Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals)
Odds: 1.38
Confidence: 77%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (79%)
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (100%)
Also: BTTS — Yes (78%)
Head to Head
Record
8
Celtic
1
Draws
1
Dundee FC
10
Meetings
3.7
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Over 2.5 in 70% of H2H.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Celtic
Metric
Dundee FC
2.2
Goals For / Game
2.2
1.5
Goals Against / Game
1.6
0%
Clean Sheets
22%
6-3-1
W — D — L
5-1-3
Win Rate
3.7
Avg Goals
100%
Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
78%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
D0
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
C0
0-0
2.4%
0-1
4.4%
0-2
4.0%
0-3
2.5%
0-4
1.2%
0-5
0.4%
C1
1-0
4.5%
1-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
1-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
C2
2-0
4.2%
2-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
2-3
4.5%
2-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
C3
3-0
2.7%
3-1
5.0%
3-2
4.6%
3-3
2.8%
3-4
1.3%
3-5
0.5%
C4
4-0
1.3%
4-1
2.4%
4-2
2.2%
4-3
1.4%
4-4
0.6%
4-5
0.2%
C5
5-0
0.5%
5-1
0.9%
5-2
0.8%
5-3
0.5%
5-4
0.2%
5-5
0.1%
Top Scores
1-1(8.3%)
2-1(7.9%)
1-2(7.7%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
C=Home goals ↓ D=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
35%
Home Win & BTTS No
9%
Draw & BTTS Yes
12%
Draw & BTTS No
3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
32%
Away Win & BTTS No
9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
35%
Home Win & Under 2.5
9%
Draw & Over 2.5
12%
Draw & Under 2.5
3%
Away Win & Over 2.5
32%
Away Win & Under 2.5
9%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Dundee FC1
Celtic2
Celtic2
Dundee FC (AET)1
Celtic1
Dundee FC0
Dundee FC2
Celtic0
Celtic6
Dundee FC0
Dundee FC3
Celtic3
Celtic2
Dundee FC0
Dundee FC1
Celtic2
Celtic7
Dundee FC1
Dundee FC0
Celtic3
Recent Form
Celtic
Celtic2
AC Milan2
Celtic1
Middlesbrough1
Sporting CP4
Celtic1
Shelbourne1
Celtic1
Celtic3
Dunfermline1
Celtic3
Hearts1
Motherwell2
Celtic3
Celtic3
Rangers1
Hibernian1
Celtic2
Celtic3
Falkirk1
Dundee FC
Dundee FC4
Clyde0
Dundee FC0
Everton4
Annan0
Dundee FC5
Dundee FC4
Airdrieonians2
Brechin1
Dundee FC1
Dundee FC1
Maccabi Haifa2
Paks1
Dundee FC2
Livingston2
Dundee FC0
Dundee FC3
Aberdeen2
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Monday, 3rd August 2026, Celtic host Dundee FC at Celtic Park (Glasgow) in Scotland Premiership. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.
Celtic arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Dundee FC are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 3L across 9 matches.
Historical meetings favour Celtic, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to Dundee FC's 1, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.
Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.38 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Scotland Premiership match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is Over 2.5 at @1.38, sitting at roughly 80% in our model. The match gets going at 7:30 pm over at Celtic Park (Glasgow).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Celtic vs Dundee FC?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 77%.
What is Celtic's current form?
Celtic have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Dundee FC been performing recently?
Dundee FC have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 9 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Celtic lead with 8 wins versus Dundee FC's 1, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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