WON
Tip WON
Flamengo SP 1-0 Paulinia FU
F
Flamengo SP
Home 5W 4D 1L ▼ Declining
VS
1-0
P
Paulinia FU
Away
2W 1D 5L
▲ Improving
Flamengo SP
50%
Draw
30%
Paulinia FU
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
71.4%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-30.4%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
0
Flamengo SP
1
Draws
0
Paulinia FU
1
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Against Tip
Flamengo SP won 0 of the last 1 meetings (1 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Flamengo SP
Metric
Paulinia FU
1.2
Goals For / Game
1
0.7
Goals Against / Game
1.5
40%
Clean Sheets
25%
5-4-1
W — D — L
2-1-5
Win Rate
2.2
Avg Goals
67%
Over 1.5
39%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
F0
0-0
11.1%
0-1
9.4%
0-2
4.0%
0-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
0-5
0.0%
F1
1-0
15.0%
1-1
12.7%
1-2
5.4%
1-3
1.5%
1-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
F2
2-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
2-3
1.0%
2-4
0.2%
2-5
0.0%
F3
3-0
4.5%
3-1
3.9%
3-2
1.6%
3-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
3-5
0.0%
F4
4-0
1.5%
4-1
1.3%
4-2
0.6%
4-3
0.2%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
F5
5-0
0.4%
5-1
0.4%
5-2
0.2%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(15.0%)
2-0(10.1%)
2-1(8.6%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
F=Home goals ↓ P=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Flamengo SP Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Paulinia FU Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
19%
Home Win & BTTS No
30%
Draw & BTTS Yes
11%
Draw & BTTS No
16%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
9%
Away Win & BTTS No
15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
19%
Home Win & Under 2.5
30%
Draw & Over 2.5
11%
Draw & Under 2.5
16%
Away Win & Over 2.5
9%
Away Win & Under 2.5
15%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Paulinia FU2
Flamengo SP2
Recent Form
Flamengo SP
Paulinense0
Flamengo SP1
Guarulhos1
Flamengo SP0
Flamengo SP2
Votoraty SP1
Flamengo SP2
Audax-SP1
Paulinia FU2
Flamengo SP2
Flamengo SP1
Paulinense0
Flamengo SP2
Guarulhos0
Votoraty SP1
Flamengo SP1
Flamengo SP0
Guarulhos0
Batatais1
Flamengo SP1
Paulinia FU
Guarulhos1
Paulinia FU0
Paulinia FU1
Audax-SP3
Paulinense1
Paulinia FU0
Votoraty SP3
Paulinia FU0
Paulinia FU2
Flamengo SP2
Paulinia FU3
Guarulhos0
Audax-SP2
Paulinia FU0
Paulinia FU2
Paulinense0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Saturday, 13th June 2026, Flamengo SP host Paulinia FU in Brazil Paulista B. We recommend Flamengo SP to win as the standout selection.
Flamengo SP arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Paulinia FU are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 1D 5L across 8 matches.
Historical meetings favour Flamengo SP, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Paulinia FU's 0, with 1 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.
Our verdict: flamengo sp to win at odds of 1.40 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Brazil Paulista B match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.
Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.
Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.
On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.
Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.40. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Flamengo SP vs Paulinia FU?
Our selection is 1 — Flamengo SP to win, priced at approximately 1.40. Tip confidence rating: 41%.
What is Flamengo SP's current form?
Flamengo SP have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Paulinia FU been performing recently?
Paulinia FU have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 8 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Flamengo SP lead with 0 wins versus Paulinia FU's 0, with 1 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
Bet Responsibly. StraightWinOdds provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.